Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
2,215
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$329
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-19 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% +$22
Other
24% 0% $-9
Crypto
15%
Sports
6%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +206 $79 64¢ $133 +$54 06-19 09:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +77 $37 94¢ $73 +$35 06-19 17:59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +115 $69 36¢ $41 $-28 06-19 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +60 $30 52¢ $32 +$2 06-12 17:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-11 98¢ $-11 +$0 06-18 13:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -9 $-9 97¢ $-9 +$0 06-18 13:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 06-19 09:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-18 13:05
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 13:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +6 $4 79¢ $5 +$1 06-17 06:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +42 $3 $2 $-1 06-19 09:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +44 $29 $2 $-26 06-19 19:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +26 $4 $1 $-2 06-15 19:06
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 13:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -18 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 13:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -14 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-19 12:50
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-12 15:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-12 15:53