Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-06

last 10-25 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 41% -$40

Other

1% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+98	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	10-04 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+111	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-13 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$192	137	137	+0	Down	-$8	10-25 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$156	98	98	+0	Up	+$6	10-25 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$153	100	100	+0	Down	+$3	10-25 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$137	114	77	+36	Up	-$15	10-25 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	10	$111	147	147	+0	Up	+$5	10-25 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$109	67	67	+0	Down	+$7	10-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$109	71	71	+0	Down	+$7	10-25 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$108	63	63	+0	Down	+$8	10-25 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$107	60	60	+0	Down	+$5	10-25 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$88	81	81	+0	Up	-$14	10-25 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	8	$60	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	10-25 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$56	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	10-25 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$54	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	10-25 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$53	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	10-25 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$50	27	27	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$20	195	0	+195	Down	-$15	09-12 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	110	0	+110	Down	-$10	09-06 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:30 UTC	4	$8	40	0	+40	Up	-$8	09-26 04:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$5	98	0	+98	open	—	10-04 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	09-12 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	09-12 04:54
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	09-20 09:52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	-$3	10-13 07:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-13 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?	2	$2	1,048	0	+1,048	Down	-$2	09-12 17:25
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-13 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	09-26 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:25 UTC	1	$2	67	0	+67	Down	-$2	09-26 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	10-06 01:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 7?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	09-06 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x38b629…
10-25 15:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x7a20ae…
10-25 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0xaaa284…
10-25 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x1dcdc2…
10-25 15:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x42c544…
10-25 15:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x7bc922…
10-25 15:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x4dd96f…
10-25 15:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x22b66c…
10-25 15:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x00390d…
10-25 15:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6ad9d8…
10-25 15:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xb33e71…
10-25 15:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x00ed45…
10-25 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x38422d…
10-25 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x5a7e7e…
10-25 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x01fb46…
10-25 15:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x862118…
10-25 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x0de37b…
10-25 15:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x35ac54…
10-25 15:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x823716…
10-25 15:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf3e70…
10-25 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0xe8814e…
10-25 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x31a408…
10-25 13:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0xc97877…
10-25 13:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x6e266f…
10-25 13:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x949857…
10-25 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9565a9…
10-25 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xb514ef…
10-25 13:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x66ffd2…
10-25 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x502fae…
10-25 13:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x64ae62…
10-25 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0x4e55e2…
10-25 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xfd4942…
10-25 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb580dd…
10-25 12:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xac3eed…
10-25 12:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3719bd…
10-25 12:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x3b5ab8…
10-25 12:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x115d37…
10-25 12:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x778e7b…
10-25 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xaaed3a…
10-25 11:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x40fcb1…
10-25 11:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3a2ea9…
10-25 11:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0x5d423b…
10-25 11:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xfeedb9…
10-25 11:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x873217…
10-25 11:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbd82e5…
10-25 11:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x970299…
10-25 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x679573…
10-25 11:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x391f08…
10-25 11:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x28c558…
10-25 11:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x202e9e…
10-25 11:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xf4684b…
10-25 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	99	31¢	$30	0x6c6d3b…
10-25 11:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x3187ea…
10-25 11:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x3604af…
10-25 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x19ef27…
10-25 11:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ce20d…
10-25 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7949bb…
10-25 11:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc3ac8e…
10-25 11:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa17f95…
10-25 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc3f8f5…
10-25 11:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb71095…
10-25 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xdb5c9a…
10-25 11:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x14cdbc…
10-25 11:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x556e51…
10-25 11:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x5f25bb…
10-25 11:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab01cb…
10-25 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9955df…
10-25 11:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0xf2ed0e…
10-25 11:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0xc85afd…
10-25 11:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x7931ed…
10-25 11:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xbd2e64…
10-25 11:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x926fc8…
10-25 11:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdbf148…
10-25 11:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xa769fe…
10-25 11:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa7fe60…
10-25 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x862984…
10-25 11:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2ce87b…
10-25 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe476d1…
10-25 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	73¢	$28	0x471db8…
10-25 11:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8a4878…
10-25 11:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe71156…
10-25 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x35acd4…
10-25 11:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x40be82…
10-25 11:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x677366…
10-25 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x95df22…
10-13 07:17:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf14e32…
10-13 07:15:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5821fa…
10-13 02:58:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x11d0db…
10-13 02:57:06	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2f533f…
10-06 01:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x61832f…
10-04 14:40:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x87d031…
09-26 07:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca2e69…
09-26 07:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3fe788…
09-26 05:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe881ee…
09-26 05:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x52456c…
09-26 05:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbebabf…
09-26 04:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf5aa33…
09-26 04:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2f6dc2…
09-26 04:31:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfca9ef…
09-26 04:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2c64d1…