Surprised-Spectrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$409

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

149

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-03 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

77% 66% -$274

Crypto

23% 61% -$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
djia up or down on june 23 2026	4	$1.4K	834	834	+0	Down	+$125	06-23 20:33
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	18	$1.0K	1,340	873	+467	No	-$392	03-23 14:50
spx up or down on july 1 2026	4	$994	567	567	+0	Down	+$17	07-01 21:22
bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	2	$837	440	440	+0	Up	+$31	06-08 14:06
djia up or down on june 30 2026	2	$738	397	397	+0	Up	+$56	06-30 20:09
ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	4	$696	793	110	+683	Down	+$11	06-11 15:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	6	$694	420	420	+0	Up	+$5	05-21 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	2	$691	375	375	+0	Up	+$38	05-29 15:18
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$623	330	330	+0	Up	+$35	05-28 20:06
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$599	666	666	+0	Yes	-$181	03-18 06:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$554	294	294	+0	Up	+$20	05-28 17:32
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$424	224	224	+0	Down	+$24	05-19 20:00
djia up or down on june 29 2026	1	$309	343	0	+343	Up	+$34	06-29 16:53
rut up or down on june 29 2026	1	$307	337	0	+337	Up	-$307	06-29 16:55
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	4	$300	191	191	+0	Up	+$26	06-01 20:21
xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	2	$296	196	196	+0	Down	+$96	06-30 21:24
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$194	140	140	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 21:04
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	3	$178	195	105	+90	Down	-$22	06-24 13:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?	2	$170	102	102	+0	Up	+$32	06-12 20:08
pltr up or down on april 21 2026	1	$165	206	0	+206	Up	+$41	04-21 16:01
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 15?	2	$163	94	94	+0	Up	+$17	06-15 15:39
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	2	$160	149	149	+0	Yes	-$40	10-01 18:28
spx up or down on july 10 2026	2	$148	90	90	+0	Up	+$31	07-10 21:35
spx up or down on june 10 2026	2	$148	80	80	+0	Down	+$12	06-10 20:29
wti up or down on june 17 2026	2	$117	108	108	+0	Down	-$29	06-17 11:56
googl up or down on june 9 2026	2	$106	64	64	+0	Up	+$20	06-09 20:00
spx up or down on june 16 2026	2	$103	145	145	+0	Down	-$45	06-16 15:45
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$102	62	62	+0	Up	+$22	05-14 20:00
will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	1	$100	121	0	+121	Yes	-$100	10-03 08:23
spx up or down on june 26 2026	2	$98	94	94	+0	Down	-$36	06-26 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 08:23:26	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x8e4824…
10-01 18:28:12	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	No	SELL	149	40¢	$60	0x637831…
09-30 20:03:41	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb97471…
07-10 21:35:46	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xeed0c8…
07-10 15:40:05	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	90	65¢	$58	0x8e71f4…
07-09 18:09:05	amzn up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	85	64¢	$54	0x311748…
07-08 16:57:47	rklb up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	67	80¢	$53	0x10a805…
07-03 17:52:22	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xb599af…
07-01 21:22:11	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	497	100¢	$497	0x84d222…
07-01 19:43:43	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	497	88¢	$439	0x79c3e1…
07-01 19:43:34	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x9ee8ab…
07-01 17:14:16	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x397b57…
06-30 21:24:19	xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x642015…
06-30 20:21:53	xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x313210…
06-30 20:09:56	djia up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	397	100¢	$397	0x2ce602…
06-30 16:24:56	djia up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	397	86¢	$341	0xf84d2d…
06-29 16:55:11	rut up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	337	91¢	$307	0x88cb98…
06-29 16:53:02	djia up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0x857955…
06-26 18:45:58	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	94	32¢	$31	0x7aae2a…
06-26 16:45:58	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0xcb8ec2…
06-25 17:35:53	djia up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x9a1e89…
06-24 16:20:34	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x55b20b…
06-24 13:14:35	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	90	77¢	$70	0x5830eb…
06-24 13:07:04	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	105	31¢	$33	0x7ea049…
06-24 12:47:20	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	105	71¢	$75	0x75ba54…
06-23 20:33:31	djia up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	745	100¢	$744	0xf2cf78…
06-23 19:39:58	djia up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	745	78¢	$580	0x89cc76…
06-23 19:39:13	djia up or down on june 23 2026	Up	SELL	89	27¢	$24	0x3ee172…
06-23 16:16:25	djia up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	89	71¢	$63	0x1d7733…
06-22 14:20:19	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x330b20…
06-21 06:31:26	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	37	70¢	$26	0x78cebf…
06-21 06:31:19	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0d8846…
06-21 06:31:10	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2e6488…
06-21 06:27:17	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa50617…
06-21 06:25:59	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Up	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0xe49321…
06-18 16:01:55	googl up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	88	73¢	$64	0xbbcae2…
06-17 18:05:43	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	108	19¢	$20	0x1dd4b6…
06-17 13:05:25	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	108	64¢	$69	0x0fea27…
06-17 11:56:38	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	108	41¢	$44	0x8b9ba6…
06-17 10:45:17	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	108	67¢	$73	0x1111db…
06-16 16:58:14	meta up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x255533…
06-16 16:04:07	tsla up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	81	80¢	$65	0x7cc9a6…
06-16 15:45:41	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	145	20¢	$29	0x927b67…
06-16 05:07:09	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	145	51¢	$74	0xfe01be…
06-15 15:39:09	aapl up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	94	96¢	$90	0x52d10b…
06-15 10:10:52	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 15?	Up	BUY	94	78¢	$73	0x883580…
06-12 20:08:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?	Up	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0xacf81a…
06-12 10:52:52	spy up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	102	68¢	$69	0x8fbd4d…
06-11 15:15:22	ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	93	11¢	$10	0x2c168b…
06-11 15:11:34	ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	683	90¢	$615	0x6400f6…
06-11 15:10:25	ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x693627…
06-11 11:29:45	ethereum up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x6d7569…
06-10 20:29:45	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x8fa420…
06-10 15:32:39	spx up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x62c90a…
06-10 15:17:31	googl up or down on june 10 2026	Up	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0x99ba4f…
06-10 13:58:51	googl up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0x2cfdaa…
06-10 13:57:21	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x48715d…
06-10 09:24:16	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0x7b18b5…
06-09 20:00:45	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x397b47…
06-09 11:01:24	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	64	68¢	$43	0x85c90d…
06-08 14:06:34	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	440	99¢	$434	0x324b73…
06-08 10:07:06	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	440	92¢	$403	0x0364b3…
06-06 16:01:42	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x64982b…
06-06 05:43:42	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	56	67¢	$38	0xb78677…
06-05 20:43:37	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x65ef64…
06-05 15:12:03	amzn up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x47e4bb…
06-05 11:59:39	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	46	77¢	$35	0xb3cf0b…
06-04 18:38:15	pltr up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0xe6421e…
06-04 17:25:27	pltr up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x01acb2…
06-04 16:48:42	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0xdbe7d3…
06-04 07:03:22	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xcee47f…
06-03 20:01:36	spy up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xba3868…
06-03 20:01:27	tsla up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x7f4d6a…
06-03 19:23:22	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x029ee5…
06-03 13:06:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0x48a803…
06-02 15:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	63	1¢	$1	0xaa6b54…
06-02 10:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x7a56e1…
06-01 20:21:31	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x3f5898…
06-01 20:12:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4a2df5…
06-01 18:49:15	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x26bdfe…
06-01 18:47:37	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	44	36¢	$16	0x8e7593…
06-01 17:15:24	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0x021f1c…
06-01 05:10:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0x97a376…
05-29 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	375	97¢	$364	0xebe9e6…
05-29 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	375	87¢	$327	0x7511eb…
05-28 20:06:39	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x4293d0…
05-28 17:33:32	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	330	89¢	$294	0x0ab2f5…
05-28 17:32:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	294	98¢	$287	0x63b74a…
05-28 16:56:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0xbc7148…
05-28 15:09:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	294	91¢	$267	0x6f9e48…
05-28 10:54:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x93e8ec…
05-27 19:38:09	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xa933de…
05-27 18:58:51	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x5b26d3…
05-27 17:29:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	51	31¢	$16	0x2f86a2…
05-27 12:03:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x34243b…
05-26 21:08:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x507070…
05-26 20:08:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	42	78¢	$33	0x2196c6…
05-26 15:02:47	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	58	25¢	$15	0x1e569a…
05-26 12:23:41	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0xd4df10…
05-25 16:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x3718f3…