Ambitious-Orchard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

152

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 08-06 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-07 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-07 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-06 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-07 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-03 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	04-27 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	-$20	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	04-28 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	04-27 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	04-28 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Up	+$2	04-28 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$2	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-02 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$20	24	+24	Down	+$4	05-01 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$2	05-01 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$1	04-28 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 04:19:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fdf27…
08-03 08:24:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc88dd9…
08-02 02:24:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ad6d3…
07-23 01:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3b72c…
06-04 20:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf16f85…
06-04 19:59:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85b7f5…
06-04 18:54:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4ca77…
06-04 18:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x20510c…
06-04 15:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72c8ec…
06-04 14:34:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc61cc0…
06-04 14:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x515824…
06-04 14:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1215c…
06-04 13:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1feb20…
06-04 12:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4068a…
06-04 11:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3ba82…
06-04 02:49:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa31dd…
06-04 02:19:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b6f39…
06-04 01:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d2e5d…
06-04 01:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8070a6…
06-04 01:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x310162…
06-04 01:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d2856…
06-03 22:24:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7719e…
06-03 21:54:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c87b6…
06-03 16:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd2752…
06-03 04:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a6e88…
06-03 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d449a…
06-03 00:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29dc2f…
06-02 23:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x89a11c…
06-02 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x71a7c4…
06-02 22:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x961ec5…
06-02 22:29:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3ce9f…
06-02 15:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51816…
06-02 15:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf40838…
06-02 00:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb7d50c…
06-01 13:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe996c9…
05-29 16:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1800bf…
05-29 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6da785…
05-28 04:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe45042…
05-28 04:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d09f0…
05-28 01:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6675f2…
05-26 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9f382e…
05-26 15:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01ed11…
05-26 15:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9caf8…
05-26 14:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95c74d…
05-26 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb23816…
05-26 02:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x296a91…
05-25 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x552e19…
05-25 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6fb449…
05-25 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x89a78d…
05-25 04:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x336268…
05-24 21:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x6f4ba0…
05-23 22:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f6b1c…
05-23 22:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf31e57…
05-23 21:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8e5bc…
05-23 21:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a2551…
05-23 21:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1b4ba…
05-23 21:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf65e59…
05-23 21:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00d13d…
05-23 21:23:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56467c…
05-23 21:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x91bf48…
05-23 20:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x76edee…
05-23 20:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a32d0…
05-23 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeaff26…
05-23 20:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbdc9f6…
05-23 20:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf49b47…
05-23 18:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xadd1e8…
05-23 18:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f7451…
05-23 18:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20af10…
05-23 17:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe145a9…
05-23 15:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbdd9d1…
05-23 08:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdc01c2…
05-23 08:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcfe5ad…
05-23 07:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x913246…
05-23 07:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x274641…
05-23 00:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd23ae6…
05-23 00:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x03e045…
05-23 00:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89055a…
05-22 23:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0b3af…
05-22 20:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcda143…
05-22 20:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc60a4…
05-22 20:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8effa5…
05-22 20:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2627a…
05-22 19:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb95fe0…
05-22 19:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b4fac…
05-22 19:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8a89ca…
05-22 19:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c77f0…
05-22 19:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd66c34…
05-22 19:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x030eb7…
05-22 18:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01860c…
05-22 18:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72646c…
05-22 18:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fd56c…
05-22 17:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x975bc2…
05-22 15:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2553c3…
05-22 14:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x025783…
05-22 14:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaddaa3…
05-22 14:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e0578…
05-22 14:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16f222…
05-22 14:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa944aa…
05-22 06:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x93c999…
05-22 01:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x607312…