Ambitious-Orchard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-04 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% $-28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-07 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-06 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-07 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-08 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-05 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-07 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-03 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-04 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-27 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-27 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-28 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-04 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-11 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	$-20	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	open	—	04-28 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	open	—	04-28 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-01 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-01 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-28 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-28 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 20:29:49	btc updown 5m 1780604700	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf16f85…
06-04 19:59:46	eth updown 5m 1780602900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85b7f5…
06-04 18:54:45	eth updown 5m 1780599000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4ca77…
06-04 18:09:43	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x20510c…
06-04 15:34:49	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x72c8ec…
06-04 14:34:45	eth updown 5m 1780583400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc61cc0…
06-04 14:14:43	btc updown 5m 1780582200	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x515824…
06-04 14:04:43	btc updown 5m 1780581600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1215c…
06-04 12:59:48	btc updown 5m 1780577700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4068a…
06-04 02:49:46	eth updown 5m 1780541100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa31dd…
06-04 02:19:55	eth updown 5m 1780539300	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b6f39…
06-04 01:59:45	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d2e5d…
06-04 01:39:49	btc updown 5m 1780536900	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8070a6…
06-04 01:29:45	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x310162…
06-04 01:04:49	btc updown 5m 1780534800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d2856…
06-03 22:24:48	eth updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7719e…
06-03 21:54:45	eth updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c87b6…
06-03 16:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd2752…
06-03 04:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a6e88…
06-03 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d449a…
06-03 00:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29dc2f…
06-02 23:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x89a11c…
06-02 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x71a7c4…
06-02 22:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x961ec5…
06-02 22:29:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3ce9f…
06-02 15:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51816…
06-02 15:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf40838…
06-01 13:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe996c9…
05-29 16:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1800bf…
05-29 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6da785…
05-28 04:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe45042…
05-28 04:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d09f0…
05-28 01:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6675f2…
05-26 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9f382e…
05-26 15:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01ed11…
05-26 15:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9caf8…
05-26 14:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95c74d…
05-26 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb23816…
05-26 02:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x296a91…
05-25 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x552e19…
05-25 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6fb449…
05-25 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x89a78d…
05-25 04:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x336268…
05-24 21:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x6f4ba0…
05-23 22:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf31e57…
05-23 21:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8e5bc…
05-23 21:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a2551…
05-23 21:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1b4ba…
05-23 21:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00d13d…
05-23 21:23:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56467c…
05-23 21:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x91bf48…
05-23 20:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf49b47…
05-23 18:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xadd1e8…
05-23 18:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f7451…
05-23 18:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20af10…
05-23 17:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe145a9…
05-23 15:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbdd9d1…
05-23 08:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdc01c2…
05-23 08:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcfe5ad…
05-23 07:58:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x913246…
05-23 00:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd23ae6…
05-23 00:13:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89055a…
05-22 23:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0b3af…
05-22 20:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcda143…
05-22 20:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc60a4…
05-22 20:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8effa5…
05-22 20:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2627a…
05-22 19:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb95fe0…
05-22 19:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b4fac…
05-22 18:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01860c…
05-22 18:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72646c…
05-22 17:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x975bc2…
05-22 15:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2553c3…
05-22 14:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x025783…
05-22 14:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaddaa3…
05-22 14:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e0578…
05-22 14:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16f222…
05-22 14:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa944aa…
05-22 06:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x93c999…
05-22 01:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x607312…
05-21 14:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x43c810…
05-21 13:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3846d2…
05-20 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xede131…
05-19 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x6379cd…
05-19 13:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9a7ec2…
05-19 05:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x923b68…
05-19 03:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3b32b5…
05-19 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x72ef4d…
05-18 19:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x554bfd…
05-18 18:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2e309e…
05-18 16:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0e52e0…
05-18 15:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x8a74ad…
05-18 14:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4de79c…
05-18 14:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xe469c9…
05-18 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x699a09…
05-18 13:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0c75ab…
05-18 12:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x38a212…
05-18 12:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xba1d0f…
05-11 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1195d3…
05-11 10:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ed643…