Vital-Hormone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-24 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% -$2,397

Other

16% 60% -$363

Tech

5% 0% -$32

Sports

4% 100% +$49

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	48	$5.0K	7,023	2,210	+4,813	Yes	+$1,085	01-21 10:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$3.6K	4,509	0	+4,509	Yes	-$3,601	02-28 06:12
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	12	$3.0K	4,101	0	+4,101	No	+$1,113	02-15 16:58
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,667	0	+1,667	Yes	-$1,000	02-24 10:41
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	12	$778	393	393	+0	No	+$7	01-23 08:33
will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	11	$735	340	450	-110	Yes	+$49	02-04 22:38
Will the US strike Somalia next?	14	$714	379	472	-93	Yes	-$28	02-04 17:29
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	8	$573	328	328	+0	No	-$28	02-06 08:57
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	2	$565	558	558	+0	No	+$163	07-15 20:32
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	7	$501	641	0	+641	Yes	-$501	02-04 09:40
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	3	$396	225	225	+0	No	-$5	02-05 04:27
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	2	$395	11	384	-373	No	$0	01-22 08:13
over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	24	$230	3,429	0	+3,429	Yes	-$230	07-24 15:25
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$202	132	132	+0	Yes	+$2	02-04 17:26
us strike on somalia by february 7	5	$180	206	0	+206	Yes	+$26	02-03 13:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$104	129	0	+129	Yes	+$25	01-30 15:48
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	2	$100	145	0	+145	Yes	+$45	01-26 16:20
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	1	$100	145	0	+145	Yes	+$45	01-27 04:59
will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	9	$63	205	0	+205	Yes	+$142	02-19 23:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	05-30 03:43
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	1	$19	100	0	+100	No	-$19	06-29 16:36
Argentina leading at halftime?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	06-22 15:41
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-22 15:41
over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	2	$6	251	0	+251	Yes	-$6	07-24 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 15:25:54	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	305	2¢	$5	0x33512a…
07-24 14:19:52	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x55483a…
07-24 13:05:39	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x304b87…
07-24 13:03:22	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0x31a684…
07-24 12:59:33	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	211	6¢	$13	0x006f33…
07-24 12:58:03	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x5cf2f7…
07-24 10:31:57	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xebedb6…
07-24 09:32:55	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4c8905…
07-24 08:39:36	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9fd0c3…
07-24 08:39:30	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xfa5fc7…
07-24 07:45:51	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x3d067c…
07-24 06:52:55	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	320	11¢	$35	0x608125…
07-24 06:48:03	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0x5aad3c…
07-24 06:11:27	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0xe98613…
07-24 06:04:19	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x227572…
07-24 04:12:39	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	165	8¢	$13	0x0ab60a…
07-23 16:45:43	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x55af4b…
07-23 15:28:48	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x1d51a6…
07-23 14:09:49	over 27pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa07d5c…
07-23 14:08:33	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x427031…
07-15 20:32:41	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	558	65¢	$364	0x790ad7…
07-14 05:04:49	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	558	36¢	$201	0xe11c01…
06-29 16:36:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x38d73d…
06-22 15:41:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5bc707…
06-22 15:41:20	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x756377…
05-30 03:43:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x27cfda…
02-28 06:12:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,409	71¢	$1,000	0xd0dcd3…
02-27 10:49:39	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x3b3329…
02-26 11:37:46	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,001	0x39c87e…
02-24 10:41:22	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0x9b5ff9…
02-19 23:33:36	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xda3610…
02-18 05:10:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x6b0bbb…
02-16 07:12:59	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x196b8a…
02-15 16:58:31	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0xdd9c62…
02-15 16:58:13	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x49ed50…
02-15 16:26:27	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x0cf3b9…
02-15 16:23:35	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x66d1e5…
02-15 15:31:41	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x9423fc…
02-15 15:24:55	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x73952c…
02-15 15:03:39	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xbacf77…
02-15 14:55:45	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1,047	74¢	$775	0xbd8fe8…
02-15 12:17:45	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1,200	75¢	$900	0x18409f…
02-14 19:58:31	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x6cf28e…
02-13 07:52:27	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1,409	71¢	$1,000	0xfc3141…
02-10 14:52:39	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x74d9c0…
02-10 14:50:51	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x8b8ce4…
02-10 01:15:49	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x1391c2…
02-07 02:53:07	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xc22ce8…
02-06 08:57:17	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	216	83¢	$178	0x0e148e…
02-06 08:53:25	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x828c4f…
02-06 08:48:17	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x722643…
02-06 08:41:31	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc32060…
02-05 18:21:29	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4f8827…
02-05 04:27:21	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	225	87¢	$196	0xad47e5…
02-04 22:38:55	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	SELL	393	99¢	$390	0xb47828…
02-04 20:12:39	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x3df7ec…
02-04 17:29:39	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	472	82¢	$389	0xf01835…
02-04 17:26:07	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	132	77¢	$102	0xda2c09…
02-04 16:59:15	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7882a2…
02-04 16:18:51	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x9441d4…
02-04 16:10:07	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0xdecd37…
02-04 15:38:17	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x15d3db…
02-04 15:26:26	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xe8dce7…
02-04 15:26:00	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x43efdd…
02-04 15:16:22	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xb7b7cf…
02-04 15:16:20	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xd40619…
02-04 15:16:20	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7640b2…
02-04 15:16:20	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x228433…
02-04 15:12:14	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	171	89¢	$152	0xd339e4…
02-04 15:10:42	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0xe8b7e2…
02-04 14:19:24	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x5ceccc…
02-04 13:44:54	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4be0aa…
02-04 13:43:26	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x71166d…
02-04 13:32:42	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	110	87¢	$95	0x7df21c…
02-04 13:32:32	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf77abd…
02-04 13:32:32	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe8c704…
02-04 13:32:32	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb1e45d…
02-04 13:32:32	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1d2536…
02-04 13:32:30	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xef0d72…
02-04 13:32:30	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd6b163…
02-04 13:32:30	will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x492934…
02-04 09:40:52	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	354	81¢	$287	0xe13a96…
02-04 09:39:54	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x71a8e3…
02-04 07:17:28	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x92a8bf…
02-04 06:24:34	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0xfce25f…
02-04 05:57:12	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xe5afa8…
02-04 05:55:54	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	76	82¢	$62	0x00af8c…
02-04 05:53:52	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x441ba9…
02-04 05:52:44	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xd656e8…
02-04 05:34:36	will 3 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	Yes	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0xb07c35…
02-04 05:25:20	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xba1149…
02-04 05:20:42	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x45ee61…
02-04 04:09:02	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x3e4f0e…
02-03 20:36:04	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x44c974…
02-03 13:16:02	us strike on somalia by february 7	Yes	BUY	91	87¢	$79	0x8e1ac6…
02-03 13:15:14	us strike on somalia by february 7	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x5c31e0…
02-03 13:11:08	us strike on somalia by february 7	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8fe6c7…
02-01 05:36:26	us strike on somalia by february 7	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x887da9…
02-01 05:34:52	us strike on somalia by february 7	Yes	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0xbfbe6f…
02-01 05:29:42	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x7f8935…