Realized P&L
-$42.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
44.7%
Resolved
89
Trades
533
lifetime
Volume
$385.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$722
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-03 11:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
70%
14%
-$17,828
Crypto
23%
42%
-$19,076
Other
7%
0%
-$5,311
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 10 | $81.1K | 77,128 | 77,128 | +0 | Yes | +$54,616 | 02-28 06:38 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 40 | $53.3K | 561,804 | 61,804 | +500,000 | No | -$35,125 | 04-01 14:12 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 29 | $38.6K | 128,865 | 128,865 | +0 | Yes | +$6,448 | 04-08 04:30 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 11 | $16.6K | 37,565 | 16,019 | +21,547 | Yes | -$7,585 | 03-05 05:00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 50 | $15.7K | 50,212 | 50,212 | +0 | No | -$8,583 | 05-06 00:51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 5 | $14.0K | 16,568 | 16,568 | +0 | No | -$3,092 | 04-08 10:39 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $11.3K | 44,122 | 44,122 | +0 | Yes | -$2,057 | 04-17 14:01 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 15 | $10.2K | 8,988 | 8,988 | +0 | Yes | +$6,876 | 04-07 22:34 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 10 | $9.5K | 178,083 | 178,083 | +0 | No | -$4,966 | 03-23 09:06 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 7 | $9.1K | 40,945 | 40,945 | +0 | No | -$1,014 | 05-07 16:11 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 145 | $7.2K | 508,386 | 0 | +508,386 | Yes | -$7,176 | 05-12 11:44 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 5 | $5.0K | 100,156 | 0 | +100,156 | No | -$5,009 | 03-14 11:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 08:40 UTC | 4 | $5.0K | 7,059 | 0 | +7,059 | Down | +$2,059 | 04-02 08:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 10:55 UTC | 6 | $5.0K | 8,392 | 0 | +8,392 | Down | -$5,000 | 04-08 10:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 10:50 UTC | 4 | $4.3K | 4,143 | 4,012 | +132 | Down | -$2,685 | 04-02 10:54 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 1 | $3.6K | 16,199 | 0 | +16,199 | No | -$3,571 | 05-06 00:51 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 10:55 UTC | 3 | $3.5K | 4,963 | 0 | +4,963 | Up | -$3,490 | 04-02 10:56 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 08:45 UTC | 5 | $3.0K | 4,114 | 3,070 | +1,044 | Down | +$288 | 04-02 08:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:35 UTC | 4 | $3.0K | 4,713 | 0 | +4,713 | Up | +$1,713 | 04-02 09:39 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31 | 3 | $2.9K | 5,922 | 5,922 | +0 | No | -$725 | 03-23 09:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:50 UTC | 3 | $2.8K | 1,916 | 1,887 | +30 | Down | +$795 | 03-18 09:53 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:40 UTC | 2 | $2.7K | 1,933 | 1,905 | +28 | Up | +$1,114 | 03-25 10:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC | 2 | $2.5K | 2,883 | 0 | +2,883 | Down | +$347 | 04-02 09:34 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 2 | $2.5K | 21,051 | 21,051 | +0 | No | -$471 | 04-08 01:01 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 3 | $2.5K | 618,180 | 0 | +618,180 | No | -$2,473 | 06-03 11:39 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 4 | $2.2K | 27,319 | 27,319 | +0 | Yes | -$912 | 05-11 12:47 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:25 UTC | 6 | $2.2K | 3,671 | 1,948 | +1,722 | Up | -$2,161 | 04-05 06:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:10 UTC | 2 | $2.1K | 1,367 | 1,347 | +20 | Down | +$553 | 02-20 16:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | 6 | $2.0K | 4,487 | 0 | +4,487 | Up | +$1,270 | 05-04 19:48 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:40 UTC | 2 | $2.0K | 2,570 | 0 | +2,570 | Up | +$570 | 04-06 08:44 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||