Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

126

Trades

2,288

lifetime

Volume

$769

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

13 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-05 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

63% 51% -$6

Politics

18% 58% +$13

Crypto

17% 50% -$7

Sports

2% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+12	$1	8¢	$1	$0	10-20 18:52
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	15¢	$1	$0	10-19 06:31
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+443	-$1	0¢	$1	+$2	11-06 02:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes		+10	$3	6¢	$1	-$2	10-03 15:16
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	—	+10	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	10-15 03:14
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+66	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-31 21:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+5	$0	3¢	$0	+$0	10-29 21:28
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes		+9	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	10-07 01:38
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+13	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-17 16:04
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes		+15	-$2	1¢	$0	+$2	11-05 08:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes		+28	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-28 22:48
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+7	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-26 08:05
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+6	-$1	0¢	$0	+$1	10-31 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	71	$63	312	312	+0	Yes	+$7	09-04 18:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	25	$39	213	213	+0	No	+$2	09-08 07:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	39	$38	225	225	+0	open	—	09-29 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:40 UTC	3	$26	29	17	+12	Down	+$7	08-31 13:44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	9	$24	150	150	+0	No	+$3	09-12 00:15
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	45	$20	195	195	+0	open	—	09-26 01:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	17	$20	165	165	+0	No	+$0	09-21 15:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	37	$18	467	467	+0	No	+$2	09-08 09:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	19	$18	60	60	+0	open	—	09-06 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	22	$17	79	79	+0	open	—	09-16 11:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	58	$15	530	530	+0	No	-$2	09-23 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:50 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	08-31 21:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	139	$14	934	934	+0	No	+$3	09-10 20:41
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	4	$13	18	17	+1	No	+$3	09-09 03:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	21	$13	197	197	+0	No	+$0	09-10 12:44
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	31	$13	200	200	+0	No	+$1	09-22 08:46
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	15	$12	75	75	+0	No	+$2	09-03 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:05 UTC	3	$11	196	69	+127	Down	-$9	09-01 06:08
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$11	10	4	+6	Yes	+$1	10-21 19:35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	3	$9	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-24 12:27
Trump out as President by September 30?	4	$9	400	400	+0	No	-$2	09-07 20:45
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	39	$9	641	641	+0	No	+$2	10-27 19:42
ucl bet por 2026 10 14 btts	4	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-14 20:13
Deportivo Alavés vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	3	$8	10	5	+5	Yes	+$3	10-23 20:14
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	3	$8	10	10	+0	No	+$1	09-15 16:00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	8	$8	30	20	+10	open	—	10-15 03:14
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	4	$8	34	34	+0	open	—	09-07 15:07
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	42	$7	2,000	1,315	+685	No	+$3	10-28 12:45
England vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	09-26 18:52
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	2	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	10-16 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:16:46	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xc9fdf9…
11-06 02:16:21	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x7e7e8f…
11-06 02:15:24	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf1cf59…
11-06 02:15:16	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x95fa5c…
11-06 02:15:16	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x098d9f…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfa099a…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xaae10b…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x6a05a3…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0x612ee3…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x4e7ea5…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2ca2b7…
11-06 02:15:15	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x11eae8…
11-05 08:17:10	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x38210f…
11-04 12:05:52	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x91e38a…
11-04 06:16:24	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x7e3a58…
11-04 01:58:33	Will Jorge Ramos Hernández win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x5ad585…
11-04 01:58:31	Will Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xaaf170…
11-03 21:35:30	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xe4e181…
11-03 20:36:15	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5a494c…
11-03 09:29:48	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x0dd6da…
11-03 07:24:09	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x2ce96f…
11-02 20:54:25	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x329410…
11-02 20:29:46	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xc5d90a…
11-02 20:12:49	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8c9a6…
11-02 16:22:18	Will Jorge Ramos Hernández win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x6d4e47…
11-01 22:00:21	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x5ef653…
11-01 20:10:39	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5da602…
11-01 17:40:33	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x313aa6…
11-01 17:21:37	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x485983…
11-01 13:09:04	Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf11c56…
11-01 13:02:15	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x844791…
11-01 02:03:10	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x944277…
11-01 02:03:03	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2b64fa…
10-31 21:07:58	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xac0335…
10-31 21:07:04	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xe91113…
10-31 17:36:37	Real Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc77e11…
10-31 15:24:27	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15db18…
10-31 14:50:13	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x677618…
10-31 14:45:15	FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2b2d50…
10-31 14:43:00	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4aefb2…
10-31 14:40:54	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0715fc…
10-31 13:48:42	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x66fe47…
10-31 13:10:57	Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa0c96d…
10-30 20:15:48	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x0f9f85…
10-30 20:11:39	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9c3112…
10-30 06:17:03	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa81f5c…
10-30 03:49:06	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe20e7e…
10-30 03:49:06	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x91cc43…
10-30 03:49:06	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x027047…
10-30 03:18:07	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe191cb…
10-30 03:18:07	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7c6086…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xdc9a32…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xd4a02a…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x9fb564…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x94e802…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x8b9f0b…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x8ae269…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x5152e1…
10-30 03:17:58	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x26f76c…
10-30 03:00:19	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xf93ee4…
10-29 21:28:45	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa06df8…
10-29 20:55:31	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xd4444d…
10-29 17:34:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xc0de7d…
10-29 17:34:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x978084…
10-29 17:34:17	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3f0460…
10-29 17:34:17	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x07124c…
10-29 14:43:40	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x93ff0b…
10-29 14:30:43	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbbf3fb…
10-29 14:30:43	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3aae6f…
10-29 12:43:37	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xc5bc10…
10-29 12:31:17	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xbfb405…
10-29 12:31:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3f9186…
10-29 12:00:32	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x04725e…
10-29 09:00:34	Will Willie Wilson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4d2cc3…
10-29 09:00:32	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xc23559…
10-29 08:00:05	Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x61a452…
10-29 07:14:41	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xec7ef0…
10-29 07:00:59	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x4c8823…
10-29 06:00:29	Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	0¢	$1	0x4b03cd…
10-29 03:01:07	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x92eb1a…
10-28 21:22:34	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xd181d0…
10-28 21:22:32	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x1b9263…
10-28 21:22:32	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	195	0¢	$0	0x19b70c…
10-28 19:20:04	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x31fa47…
10-28 18:10:37	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf55f63…
10-28 18:10:37	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x077e93…
10-28 18:04:04	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x905a98…
10-28 17:56:14	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf28e33…
10-28 17:56:14	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd66d35…
10-28 17:56:14	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x371a9b…
10-28 16:36:55	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0e2935…
10-28 14:02:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa8eb23…
10-28 14:02:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x961646…
10-28 14:02:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x7e55c5…
10-28 14:02:17	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2bda0e…
10-28 13:47:05	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x426f92…
10-28 13:46:40	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9f15ed…
10-28 13:46:38	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x201643…
10-28 12:45:08	Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	206	0¢	$0	0xdd1411…
10-28 12:19:38	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xa94433…