Marvelous-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

251

Trades

457

lifetime

Volume

$105.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$230

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-28 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

55% 83% +$2,390

Crypto

45% 74% -$1,148

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	2	$7.4K	3,860	3,860	+0	Under	+$357	05-10 21:23
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	2	$6.3K	3,381	3,379	+2	Under	+$459	05-10 15:34
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	2	$5.4K	2,934	2,934	+0	Under	+$494	05-09 21:43
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	2	$4.4K	2,451	2,451	+0	Under	+$512	05-09 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Up	+$40	05-10 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$4.0K	4,046	0	+4,046	Up	+$46	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$4.0K	4,098	0	+4,098	Down	+$98	05-10 22:38
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-20?	2	$3.4K	1,792	1,792	+0	Yes	+$142	09-20 21:00
Cardiff City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 5.5	2	$3.1K	1,613	1,613	+0	Under	+$111	09-19 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$3.0K	3,210	0	+3,210	Down	+$210	05-10 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-10 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,032	0	+3,032	Up	+$32	05-10 22:07
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5	2	$2.6K	1,429	1,429	+0	Under	+$213	09-17 20:40
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5	2	$2.2K	1,224	1,224	+0	Under	+$219	09-16 21:01
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	1	$2.0K	2,222	0	+2,222	Under	+$222	05-10 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,205	0	+2,205	Up	+$205	05-10 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$2.0K	2,791	0	+2,791	Up	-$2,000	05-10 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,097	0	+2,097	Up	+$97	05-10 22:54
AS Áris Thessaloníkis vs. GS Markó: O/U 5.5	3	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	Under	+$40	09-16 17:28
Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5	2	$1.8K	959	959	+0	Under	+$143	09-15 20:36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5	2	$1.6K	821	821	+0	Under	+$20	09-15 18:55
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 6.5	1	$1.6K	1,636	0	+1,636	Under	+$36	09-19 16:26
Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?	2	$1.4K	737	737	+0	Yes	+$36	09-15 12:02
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5	1	$1.4K	1,516	0	+1,516	Under	+$91	09-18 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1000	1,066	0	+1,066	Up	+$66	05-10 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1000	1,144	0	+1,144	Up	+$144	05-10 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	Up	+$87	05-10 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	+$63	05-10 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1000	1,052	0	+1,052	Up	+$52	05-10 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1000	1,062	0	+1,062	Up	+$62	05-10 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	831	15¢	$125	0xa7117b…
09-28 11:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1,391	13¢	$175	0xe1373b…
09-28 09:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x8e06ae…
09-28 09:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x01723d…
09-28 09:32:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc7159b…
09-28 09:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xc10bb3…
09-28 09:23:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x198aa9…
09-28 09:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf15b3b…
09-28 09:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x73df92…
09-28 09:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xe2068c…
09-28 09:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x987b5f…
09-28 09:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x68b1c4…
09-28 09:11:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9e7e44…
09-28 09:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x3f86ae…
09-28 09:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xd10e24…
09-28 09:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdca3d4…
09-28 09:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x8630a8…
09-28 09:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x14323c…
09-28 09:01:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x9bf5f2…
09-28 09:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xbc2678…
09-28 09:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xaa60d5…
09-28 08:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xb6561e…
09-28 08:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x41b25d…
09-28 08:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x05b507…
09-28 08:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb37fdc…
09-28 08:52:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x061c1a…
09-28 08:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x88ea9d…
09-28 08:52:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8b4648…
09-28 08:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x19931c…
09-28 08:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x899d70…
09-28 08:47:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x037fe5…
09-28 08:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x704efa…
09-28 08:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2a54df…
09-28 08:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x156f8e…
09-28 08:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2b3807…
09-28 08:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x309770…
09-28 08:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x2b0b2a…
09-28 08:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x4c9dfc…
09-28 08:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xdf1152…
09-28 08:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xcdfaa9…
09-28 08:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd238f4…
09-28 08:36:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf34ce8…
09-20 21:00:52	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	1,792	100¢	$1,790	0x826dda…
09-20 17:28:06	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	1,792	92¢	$1,649	0x088d9f…
09-19 16:26:57	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1,636	98¢	$1,600	0x49c284…
09-19 15:02:42	Cardiff City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1,613	100¢	$1,611	0x6f80a7…
09-19 11:34:56	Cardiff City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,613	93¢	$1,500	0x21a62c…
09-18 18:57:04	Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,516	94¢	$1,425	0x66492b…
09-17 20:40:42	Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1,429	100¢	$1,428	0xdc9c0c…
09-17 18:14:04	Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,429	85¢	$1,215	0xf005e9…
09-16 21:01:19	Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1,224	100¢	$1,223	0x6b7527…
09-16 17:28:55	AS Áris Thessaloníkis vs. GS Markó: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b8f63…
09-16 17:25:22	Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,224	82¢	$1,004	0xacefbb…
09-16 17:23:00	AS Áris Thessaloníkis vs. GS Markó: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0x3999b8…
09-16 14:05:54	AS Áris Thessaloníkis vs. GS Markó: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,016	96¢	$975	0xe7594a…
09-15 20:38:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	974	98¢	$955	0x3c770d…
09-15 20:36:09	Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	959	100¢	$958	0xbefc7a…
09-15 19:00:12	Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	959	85¢	$815	0x832166…
09-15 18:55:49	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	821	100¢	$820	0x0961b4…
09-15 18:36:15	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	821	98¢	$800	0xc4813d…
09-15 12:08:15	Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	803	93¢	$747	0x7b6ae5…
09-15 12:02:36	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	SELL	737	100¢	$736	0x0b8acf…
09-15 10:52:49	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	737	95¢	$700	0xed99b4…
08-19 00:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd168e8…
08-06 21:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe027dd…
05-31 13:22:50	Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	144	86¢	$124	0x5b070c…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	501	95¢	$477	0x8ffb01…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,245	59¢	$737	0x3bcbd6…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,045	75¢	$787	0x1e9ace…
05-10 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,559	96¢	$1,493	0xfdaeae…
05-10 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,601	91¢	$1,460	0xb5520f…
05-10 23:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x42bedd…
05-10 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2,097	95¢	$2,000	0x69a24d…
05-10 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,343	89¢	$1,195	0xca05a6…
05-10 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	862	93¢	$805	0x0379ef…
05-10 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	650	98¢	$641	0xc68b53…
05-10 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3,447	97¢	$3,359	0x576124…
05-10 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4,046	99¢	$4,000	0x1ff2f4…
05-10 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,063	94¢	$1,000	0x24de31…
05-10 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,062	94¢	$1,000	0x0cf508…
05-10 22:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3,030	99¢	$3,000	0x2be853…
05-10 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3,032	99¢	$3,000	0xa117de…
05-10 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4,040	99¢	$4,000	0xf68185…
05-10 21:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,144	87¢	$1,000	0xd256ea…
05-10 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,066	94¢	$1,000	0x81fca5…
05-10 21:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	255	96¢	$244	0x7c8e5c…
05-10 21:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	780	97¢	$756	0x154d61…
05-10 21:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,052	95¢	$1,000	0x95fc2a…
05-10 21:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xe55685…
05-10 21:23:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3,860	100¢	$3,857	0x54cc94…
05-10 19:42:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3,860	91¢	$3,500	0xe56ff3…
05-10 15:38:46	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,222	90¢	$2,000	0xac431b…
05-10 15:34:10	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3,379	100¢	$3,376	0x57a330…
05-10 12:49:15	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3,381	86¢	$2,919	0xda5890…
05-09 21:43:43	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2,934	100¢	$2,931	0x917626…
05-09 18:59:09	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,934	83¢	$2,437	0x20eb63…
05-09 18:58:26	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2,451	100¢	$2,448	0x6849de…
05-09 16:44:37	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,451	79¢	$1,936	0xd11146…
05-08 20:00:46	Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	971	76¢	$735	0x8abea5…
05-08 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	714	98¢	$700	0xfd9878…