Marvelous-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$659

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-31 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 94% $-649

Other

45% 83% +$1,308

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	2	$7.4K	3,860	3,860	+0	Under	+$357	05-10 21:23
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	2	$6.3K	3,381	3,379	+2	Under	+$459	05-10 15:34
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	2	$5.4K	2,934	2,934	+0	Under	+$494	05-09 21:43
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	2	$4.4K	2,451	2,451	+0	Under	+$512	05-09 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Up	+$40	05-10 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$4.0K	4,046	0	+4,046	Up	+$46	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$4.0K	4,098	0	+4,098	Down	+$98	05-10 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$3.0K	3,210	0	+3,210	Down	+$210	05-10 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-10 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,032	0	+3,032	Up	+$32	05-10 22:07
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	1	$2.0K	2,222	0	+2,222	Under	+$222	05-10 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2.0K	2,205	0	+2,205	Up	+$205	05-10 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$2.0K	2,791	0	+2,791	Up	$-2,000	05-10 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,097	0	+2,097	Up	+$97	05-10 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1000	1,066	0	+1,066	Up	+$66	05-10 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1000	1,144	0	+1,144	Up	+$144	05-10 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	Up	+$87	05-10 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1000	1,063	0	+1,063	Down	+$63	05-10 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1000	1,052	0	+1,052	Up	+$52	05-10 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1000	1,062	0	+1,062	Up	+$62	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$1000	1,034	0	+1,034	Down	+$34	05-10 21:39
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	2	$947	627	627	+0	open	—	02-23 22:53
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5	1	$735	971	0	+971	Under	$-735	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$700	714	0	+714	Up	+$14	05-08 19:44
btc updown 5m 1771972200	1	$680	687	0	+687	open	—	02-24 22:34
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 total 1pt5	2	$626	326	326	+0	open	—	02-24 22:27
epl bre wol 2026 03 16 total 4pt5	2	$613	333	333	+0	open	—	03-16 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$578	648	0	+648	Down	+$70	05-08 19:29
epl wol ast 2026 02 27 total 4pt5	2	$475	273	273	+0	open	—	02-26 20:01
lal rso osa 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	2	$316	167	167	+0	open	—	03-15 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:22:50	Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	144	86¢	$124	0x5b070c…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	501	95¢	$477	0x8ffb01…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,245	59¢	$737	0x3bcbd6…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,045	75¢	$787	0x1e9ace…
05-10 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,559	96¢	$1,493	0xfdaeae…
05-10 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,601	91¢	$1,460	0xb5520f…
05-10 23:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x42bedd…
05-10 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2,097	95¢	$2,000	0x69a24d…
05-10 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,343	89¢	$1,195	0xca05a6…
05-10 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	862	93¢	$805	0x0379ef…
05-10 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	650	98¢	$641	0xc68b53…
05-10 22:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3,447	97¢	$3,359	0x576124…
05-10 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4,046	99¢	$4,000	0x1ff2f4…
05-10 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,063	94¢	$1,000	0x24de31…
05-10 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,062	94¢	$1,000	0x0cf508…
05-10 22:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3,030	99¢	$3,000	0x2be853…
05-10 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3,032	99¢	$3,000	0xa117de…
05-10 22:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4,040	99¢	$4,000	0xf68185…
05-10 21:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,144	87¢	$1,000	0xd256ea…
05-10 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,066	94¢	$1,000	0x81fca5…
05-10 21:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	255	96¢	$244	0x7c8e5c…
05-10 21:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	780	97¢	$756	0x154d61…
05-10 21:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,052	95¢	$1,000	0x95fc2a…
05-10 21:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xe55685…
05-10 21:23:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3,860	100¢	$3,857	0x54cc94…
05-10 19:42:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3,860	91¢	$3,500	0xe56ff3…
05-10 15:38:46	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,222	90¢	$2,000	0xac431b…
05-10 15:34:10	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3,379	100¢	$3,376	0x57a330…
05-10 12:49:15	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3,381	86¢	$2,919	0xda5890…
05-09 21:43:43	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2,934	100¢	$2,931	0x917626…
05-09 18:59:09	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,934	83¢	$2,437	0x20eb63…
05-09 18:58:26	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2,451	100¢	$2,448	0x6849de…
05-09 16:44:37	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,451	79¢	$1,936	0xd11146…
05-08 20:00:46	Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	971	76¢	$735	0x8abea5…
05-08 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	714	98¢	$700	0xfd9878…
05-08 19:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	648	89¢	$578	0xda1b88…
03-20 19:49:47	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x7f739d…
03-19 13:17:49	uel por1 stu3 2026 03 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0x9c9195…
03-19 13:16:47	uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x09a466…
03-19 13:16:03	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	166	90¢	$150	0x2327fe…
03-18 22:44:09	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x166859…
03-18 20:07:53	tur eyu tra 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd90e25…
03-18 08:56:51	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xd4dd7d…
03-17 23:30:01	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x62ee9d…
03-17 19:46:21	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	169	83¢	$140	0x57677c…
03-17 19:45:57	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0x0113b5…
03-17 13:30:59	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	145	71¢	$103	0x06cc11…
03-17 08:10:23	aus syd mct 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x7a402a…
03-16 22:17:07	epl bre wol 2026 03 16 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	333	100¢	$333	0xe90887…
03-16 15:16:09	epl bre wol 2026 03 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	333	84¢	$280	0x3d44d7…
03-15 22:08:13	lal rso osa 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0xf95710…
03-15 20:07:53	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x29d4ed…
03-15 20:07:17	lal rso osa 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x77afd8…
03-15 17:17:49	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x172556…
03-15 17:17:17	epl not ful 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x60ad0e…
03-15 17:16:59	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0x6ccce1…
03-15 09:53:01	epl not ful 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x80ad0a…
03-15 09:51:49	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0xade97a…
03-14 17:19:55	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x3eaaca…
03-14 17:19:07	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x157d7e…
03-14 14:32:25	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x8e759d…
03-14 14:32:07	elc cov sot 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x3fb69a…
03-13 22:44:03	elc cov sot 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x87b461…
03-13 22:16:03	elc wre swa 2026 03 13 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x18a176…
03-13 17:16:41	elc wre swa 2026 03 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa91dc9…
03-13 09:34:13	aus bri wsw 2026 03 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x99d003…
03-12 19:59:43	uel gnk scf 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb62826…
03-12 19:59:27	uel bol1 rom1 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xdcb4b5…
03-12 07:51:51	uel bol1 rom1 2026 03 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	130	93¢	$121	0xa7fa2f…
03-11 22:21:23	elc cov pne 2026 03 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xbac748…
03-11 09:04:09	elc cov pne 2026 03 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x714532…
03-10 21:56:31	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x9bc797…
03-10 10:36:29	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc9a672…
03-09 21:27:45	efa whu bre1 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x7f7186…
03-09 20:16:33	efa whu bre1 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	124	90¢	$112	0xedf295…
03-09 17:14:07	tur eyu tra 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	108	91¢	$98	0xdd8c00…
02-26 21:23:04	uel not fen1 2026 02 26 not	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0xac8ad5…
02-26 20:25:52	uel not fen1 2026 02 26 not	Yes	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0xfa52e1…
02-26 20:02:14	uel not fen1 2026 02 26 not	Yes	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0x5f13c5…
02-26 20:01:54	epl wol ast 2026 02 27 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	273	86¢	$235	0xc63b11…
02-26 09:57:48	epl wol ast 2026 02 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	273	88¢	$240	0x729fc3…
02-25 08:39:14	elc she cov 2026 02 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	242	80¢	$194	0xc20573…
02-24 22:34:10	btc updown 5m 1771972200	Down	BUY	687	99¢	$680	0x5ce087…
02-24 22:27:32	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0xf9b962…
02-24 17:50:16	ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	234	86¢	$200	0x001aac…
02-24 16:48:54	ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x1341ec…
02-23 22:53:22	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	Yes	SELL	627	100¢	$627	0xfbaba6…
02-23 18:08:46	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	Yes	BUY	627	51¢	$320	0x7b952c…
02-19 23:02:48	btc updown 5m 1771542000	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x2906f3…
02-19 22:59:08	btc updown 5m 1771541700	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x518204…
02-19 22:53:06	btc updown 5m 1771541400	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0700fd…
02-19 22:39:10	btc updown 5m 1771540500	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x88edb0…
02-19 22:38:50	uel lil crv1 2026 02 19 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x1fe0ce…
02-19 20:27:02	uel lil crv1 2026 02 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x2e39c6…
02-19 20:09:46	btc updown 5m 1771531500	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2fbc94…
02-19 20:04:46	btc updown 5m 1771531200	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x5044e2…
02-19 19:51:42	btc updown 5m 1771530600	Up	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x81b773…
02-19 19:38:48	btc updown 5m 1771529700	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x93095f…
02-19 19:33:54	btc updown 5m 1771529400	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xf49d58…
02-19 19:26:58	btc updown 5m 1771529100	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb3bbae…