Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$999

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-25 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 33% +$20

Other

33% 17% -$5

Sports

7% — —

Tech

4% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	4	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 11:10
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	8	$84	48	48	+0	open	—	10-24 11:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$72	178	82	+96	open	—	10-24 20:41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$49	120	120	+0	open	—	10-24 18:27
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$45	88	0	+88	No	-$1	10-24 18:17
Will Junts win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$38	103	40	+63	open	—	10-24 11:34
Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	4	$36	91	48	+43	open	—	10-24 11:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	2	$28	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 11:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 15%-18%?	1	$20	110	0	+110	open	—	10-24 04:14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?	3	$18	46	46	+0	open	—	10-24 18:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	3	$18	24	24	+0	open	—	10-24 11:24
Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	2	$18	29	29	+0	open	—	10-24 11:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 15%-18%?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-24 18:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%?	3	$16	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 18:16
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 18:22
Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 10:24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	3	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	10-24 11:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 11:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 18:19
Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	2	$10	26	26	+0	open	—	10-24 11:11
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	10-25 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	2	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	-$1	10-24 18:16
Will Collin Gillespie win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 11:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 25%-30%?	2	$9	28	28	+0	open	—	10-24 11:11
Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-24 18:19
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	10-24 11:11
Will Vance peak at Category 4?	2	$8	50	50	+0	open	—	10-24 11:12
Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-25 00:06
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	2	$7	43	43	+0	No	-$1	10-24 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:16:44	Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1f7a62…
10-25 00:15:12	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x41b748…
10-25 00:15:11	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4465b5…
10-25 00:13:45	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xc47ecd…
10-25 00:13:42	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcaad36…
10-25 00:10:36	Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd3399e…
10-25 00:08:41	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x22120b…
10-25 00:08:39	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xde1c7f…
10-25 00:08:30	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd227cc…
10-25 00:06:26	Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2564da…
10-25 00:06:23	Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5a029a…
10-24 23:44:29	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x6d3486…
10-24 23:38:05	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3e1168…
10-24 23:38:02	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf1d2af…
10-24 23:37:30	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfe2c08…
10-24 23:37:26	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x07ce75…
10-24 23:33:33	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x258d82…
10-24 23:33:30	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x531025…
10-24 23:31:12	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x145f93…
10-24 23:31:08	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xdee947…
10-24 22:30:50	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x07a89f…
10-24 22:04:53	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd6fe62…
10-24 22:04:50	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe56e09…
10-24 20:41:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x3a3e7d…
10-24 19:48:50	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd90973…
10-24 19:48:45	Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x07ba61…
10-24 19:13:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x1d3066…
10-24 18:32:56	Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xf347d8…
10-24 18:29:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 15%-18%?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x20acf9…
10-24 18:29:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x57fc8f…
10-24 18:28:24	Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7cae36…
10-24 18:27:26	Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 3.5% to 4.5%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5fd108…
10-24 18:27:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x20054b…
10-24 18:27:06	Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xb8b7c5…
10-24 18:26:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2a3f11…
10-24 18:26:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x07d759…
10-24 18:25:54	lowest temperature in los angeles on october 26 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcded11…
10-24 18:25:51	lowest temperature in los angeles on october 26 2026 60 61f	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf489f9…
10-24 18:24:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x64fb21…
10-24 18:24:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x56eb0e…
10-24 18:23:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xba0b1a…
10-24 18:23:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x92761f…
10-24 18:22:59	Will Patrick Mahomes lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x032b06…
10-24 18:22:54	Will Patrick Mahomes lead the NFL in completion percentage for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x8efe34…
10-24 18:22:20	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe1bd74…
10-24 18:22:08	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0xb1587f…
10-24 18:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x2c1453…
10-24 18:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0xdf39e4…
10-24 18:21:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x065801…
10-24 18:19:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x405a7f…
10-24 18:19:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x762478…
10-24 18:19:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x46806c…
10-24 18:19:24	Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xedde48…
10-24 18:19:21	Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9c6057…
10-24 18:18:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x9b527b…
10-24 18:18:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3bc951…
10-24 18:18:15	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1b5f37…
10-24 18:18:11	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x327119…
10-24 18:17:57	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xc985cb…
10-24 18:17:54	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x9e336b…
10-24 18:16:53	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xfc4447…
10-24 18:16:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4ac8f6…
10-24 18:16:35	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x3bade8…
10-24 18:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xf585c3…
10-24 18:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd77020…
10-24 18:16:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf3ff96…
10-24 18:06:51	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x82513c…
10-24 18:06:47	Will Tim Stutzle record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x047f24…
10-24 18:06:42	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x66747d…
10-24 18:06:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xc6c136…
10-24 18:06:33	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x5e21b1…
10-24 18:06:29	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x3c84b2…
10-24 18:06:24	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning record 90+ points?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x7b804b…
10-24 18:06:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xb246c4…
10-24 18:06:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x73b36f…
10-24 18:06:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x0c8dcb…
10-24 11:56:41	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x464664…
10-24 11:56:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x3e5a27…
10-24 11:56:27	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x7d4747…
10-24 11:35:02	Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x103190…
10-24 11:34:35	Will Junts win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x367faf…
10-24 11:24:23	Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe2494c…
10-24 11:24:14	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xfd9ca9…
10-24 11:24:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x8ceea4…
10-24 11:23:57	Will Collin Gillespie win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd7351e…
10-24 11:23:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x611dd9…
10-24 11:23:41	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x6cdbf1…
10-24 11:13:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xef8094…
10-24 11:12:54	Will Cameron Williams be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x0d07fc…
10-24 11:12:50	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x341d35…
10-24 11:12:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xd85519…
10-24 11:12:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5dc5ef…
10-24 11:12:27	Will David Montgomery have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x82bcfe…
10-24 11:12:21	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x23b59e…
10-24 11:11:56	Will Patrick Mahomes have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0ecc35…
10-24 11:11:44	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x9a94fb…
10-24 11:11:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	28	15¢	$4	0x243fea…
10-24 11:11:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3c29e2…
10-24 11:11:29	Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x7fa0fc…
10-24 11:11:23	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xb00479…