Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$383

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-04 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 27% -$18

Politics

3% 0% -$6

Other

2% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No		+1,119	$5	0¢	$1	-$4	11-04 00:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	11-04 04:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$32	28	28	+0	Up	+$8	10-26 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$17	219	19	+200	Down	+$3	11-04 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	11-03 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$9	11-03 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$12	15	11	+4	Up	+$2	10-26 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$8	11-03 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$10	11-03 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$12	23	11	+13	Up	+$6	11-03 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$9	10-26 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$6	11-03 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	185	0	+185	Up	-$10	11-04 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$10	14	8	+6	Up	+$4	11-04 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$10	20	16	+4	Up	+$2	11-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	Up	-$9	11-04 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$9	23	6	+17	Down	-$1	11-03 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$8	18	9	+9	Up	+$2	11-03 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$8	59	5	+55	Up	+$0	11-04 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$8	20	0	+20	Up	-$8	10-26 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$7	107	0	+107	Up	-$7	10-26 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$6	119	0	+119	Up	-$6	10-26 08:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	1	$6	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$6	11-03 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$6	31	14	+17	Up	$0	11-03 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$5	13	7	+6	Up	-$1	11-04 05:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$5	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	11-04 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	10-26 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$8	10-26 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	11-03 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	10-26 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xbe5e69…
11-04 06:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa92aec…
11-04 06:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xff17f4…
11-04 06:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1bb5bc…
11-04 06:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x6a7ea9…
11-04 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf16b1c…
11-04 06:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x617c6c…
11-04 06:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd140f2…
11-04 06:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x2d35e5…
11-04 06:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x015edb…
11-04 06:10:10	Silver Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x81f5e8…
11-04 06:05:09	Silver Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x64fe2f…
11-04 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x42aa95…
11-04 05:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x8c1ebf…
11-04 05:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd037a3…
11-04 05:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5ced3c…
11-04 05:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x974bd2…
11-04 05:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x65d6d1…
11-04 05:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc10f19…
11-04 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbca006…
11-04 04:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd4e9b4…
11-04 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb3a08f…
11-04 01:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x02a643…
11-04 01:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfb4ed2…
11-04 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x16b6ac…
11-04 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x90a083…
11-04 00:58:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	604	0¢	$3	0x129c84…
11-04 00:53:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	515	0¢	$2	0x51c0e6…
11-03 14:59:39	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd8373f…
11-03 14:59:25	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xcd7fe4…
11-03 14:59:18	Gold Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc11591…
11-03 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2c2f7…
11-03 14:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90cb8a…
11-03 14:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe1de60…
11-03 14:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x804389…
11-03 14:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x298e93…
11-03 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdef538…
11-03 14:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdaf73b…
11-03 14:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbc5916…
11-03 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x44eedb…
11-03 14:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xebfe5f…
11-03 14:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xefcbd3…
11-03 14:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe6ae03…
11-03 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xba468c…
11-03 14:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x86da5b…
11-03 13:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0f7a74…
11-03 12:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa177c2…
11-03 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xf10802…
11-03 12:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x688e77…
11-03 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x019cdd…
11-03 12:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25e520…
11-03 12:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a4a96…
11-03 12:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x6ff36c…
11-03 12:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x591302…
11-03 12:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x5714b2…
11-03 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc6e0ea…
11-03 12:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x8fb21b…
11-03 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe24e93…
11-03 12:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xb0e594…
11-03 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x30d3c9…
11-03 12:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x881000…
11-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1cd718…
11-03 12:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x65d7f8…
11-03 12:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8fae2c…
11-03 12:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8ab84c…
11-03 12:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x562e7d…
11-03 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7cf29d…
11-03 12:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xac0314…
11-03 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xa8aa4d…
11-03 12:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb1dc5f…
11-03 12:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3aeb59…
11-03 10:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xa9907c…
11-03 10:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbdea6f…
11-03 10:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0ecba9…
11-03 10:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2d2134…
11-03 10:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdef98c…
11-03 10:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x574d4b…
11-03 10:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xffbd94…
11-03 10:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1e33f6…
11-03 10:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x39c3ca…
11-03 10:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5c71ff…
11-03 09:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x10d790…
11-03 09:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2fa950…
11-03 09:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x9fba9a…
11-03 09:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd4f9db…
11-03 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xef92e1…
11-03 09:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9555bf…
11-03 09:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xa258b5…
11-03 09:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaf7a73…
11-03 09:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8377d4…
11-03 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc35d42…
11-03 09:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6830a1…
11-03 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcd125d…
11-03 09:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80c0de…
11-03 09:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x630d08…
11-03 09:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x255d64…
11-03 08:57:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xccd68a…
10-26 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe2dd0e…
10-26 08:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfb7b87…
10-26 08:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77825c…