Lumpy-Parenthesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-15 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

90% 60% -$12

Sports

5% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$16	13	13	+0	Down	-$5	04-27 12:20
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 27?	4	$14	14	14	+0	Up	-$3	04-27 19:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?	4	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-16 17:42
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$12	11	10	+0	Down	-$1	04-27 14:18
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$12	8	7	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 14:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$11	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-07 20:54
wta hruncak iatcenk 2026 09 21	4	$11	7	7	+0	Polina Iatcenko	$0	09-21 12:57
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	04-27 12:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-20 23:55
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$10	3,864	4	+3,860	Up	-$2	04-27 20:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$10	0	20	-20	No	+$5	10-05 20:20
wta falei tian 2026 09 21	2	$9	5	5	+0	Fangran Tian	+$1	09-21 13:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 12:33
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller	2	$8	5	5	+0	Elmer Moeller	+$3	10-05 18:07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$7	4	4	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$0	09-21 01:03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$7	4	4	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1	05-07 22:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-06 15:09
PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 2.5	2	$6	3	3	+0	Under	+$0	09-17 15:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 5?	2	$6	8	8	+0	No	$0	10-05 15:52
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	2	$6	3	3	+0	Over	+$1	09-06 14:28
will bitcoin reach 78k on september 17 2026	4	$6	10	10	+0	No	$0	09-17 14:32
Will PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964 end in a draw?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 15:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	-$4	05-21 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	-$1	10-15 19:45
nvda up or down on october 5 2026	2	$5	0	10	-10	Up	$0	10-05 05:11
SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5	2	$5	3	3	+0	Under	+$0	09-06 14:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-17 13:01
SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5	2	$5	4	4	+0	Under	$0	09-06 12:50
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmoh	3	$5	3	3	+0	Darwin Blanch	+$1	09-21 00:16
wta jovic rakhimo 2026 10 04	1	$5	5	0	+5	Iva Jovic	+$1	10-05 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb99abe…
10-15 19:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5570df…
10-05 20:21:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf2bd3f…
10-05 20:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf04f6a…
10-05 20:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x12b03a…
10-05 20:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xabf23a…
10-05 20:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbee343…
10-05 18:08:17	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8eb9cc…
10-05 18:07:49	Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb3d63…
10-05 17:29:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc9334b…
10-05 15:54:11	Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8962e8…
10-05 15:52:50	wti closes above 85 on october 5 2026	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6d7c1c…
10-05 15:52:14	wti closes above 90 on october 5 2026	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x952188…
10-05 15:50:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 5?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb79960…
10-05 15:36:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xbe2459…
10-05 15:36:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x71ab65…
10-05 15:31:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on October 5?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5ce3d7…
10-05 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xeeabfc…
10-05 15:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf7ce7e…
10-05 14:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9ef33e…
10-05 14:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd8d7a2…
10-05 14:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x38c719…
10-05 14:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdbd062…
10-05 13:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb56af5…
10-05 13:35:14	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xb1133b…
10-05 13:25:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf9b37f…
10-05 13:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7f0e44…
10-05 13:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x44fce5…
10-05 13:05:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x748a2e…
10-05 13:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x02da7d…
10-05 13:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8988f1…
10-05 11:51:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x01ae4f…
10-05 05:31:01	wta jovic rakhimo 2026 10 04	Iva Jovic	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x499d2d…
10-05 05:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe283c8…
10-05 05:17:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4864aa…
10-05 05:11:19	nvda up or down on october 5 2026	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc72aef…
10-05 04:32:34	nvda up or down on october 5 2026	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xacb72b…
09-21 13:31:06	wta falei tian 2026 09 21	Fangran Tian	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x176727…
09-21 13:00:00	wta falei tian 2026 09 21	Fangran Tian	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x019411…
09-21 12:57:59	wta hruncak iatcenk 2026 09 21	Polina Iatcenko	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x021ff4…
09-21 12:56:47	wta hruncak iatcenk 2026 09 21	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb8e1d…
09-21 12:55:48	wta hruncak iatcenk 2026 09 21	Polina Iatcenko	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x10901a…
09-21 12:55:15	wta hruncak iatcenk 2026 09 21	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb86816…
09-21 01:10:28	Will Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0x67accb…
09-21 01:03:22	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x62b119…
09-21 00:36:26	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x62cf94…
09-21 00:29:07	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xacbbc1…
09-21 00:16:40	Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmoh	Darwin Blanch	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17be68…
09-20 23:45:49	Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmoh	Darwin Blanch	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1d413b…
09-20 23:41:20	Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Michael Mmoh	Darwin Blanch	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2143fe…
09-19 21:04:12	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Sevilla FC	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc94365…
09-19 21:04:02	Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcfa353…
09-19 20:36:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3a6ecd…
09-19 20:33:54	Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x21b42a…
09-17 15:33:31	PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32158a…
09-17 15:25:04	PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xbab673…
09-17 15:16:40	Will PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964 end in a draw?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x45ed1b…
09-17 14:34:57	Will PS Kalamáta vs. AE Lárisas 1964 end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbd2a34…
09-17 14:32:21	will bitcoin reach 78k on september 17 2026	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x8edd02…
09-17 14:30:25	will bitcoin reach 78k on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8173a3…
09-17 14:27:16	will bitcoin reach 78k on september 17 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x883901…
09-17 14:23:13	will bitcoin reach 78k on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd760d2…
09-06 23:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xaaaf83…
09-06 21:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b11c0…
09-06 21:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9d0d08…
09-06 20:24:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd0bd8f…
09-06 20:24:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xf50c54…
09-06 19:54:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbc5367…
09-06 19:52:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x176c93…
09-06 19:50:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x35ae82…
09-06 19:50:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xec93b2…
09-06 18:02:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5fbfe7…
09-06 17:03:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1e446f…
09-06 16:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedf9ea…
09-06 16:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdb5d60…
09-06 15:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x24c84f…
09-06 15:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe6d9a6…
09-06 15:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2474a2…
09-06 15:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x231c13…
09-06 15:09:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x3bc513…
09-06 14:33:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd24fb8…
09-06 14:28:48	Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd220ae…
09-06 14:02:09	Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x5faf4f…
09-06 14:01:01	SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb228a1…
09-06 12:52:54	SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xb0e376…
09-06 12:50:03	SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x2c8693…
09-06 12:48:28	SD Eibar vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x37b520…
09-06 12:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa116f8…
09-06 12:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf8c97b…
09-06 12:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x257fde…
09-06 11:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa71252…
09-06 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x91e0ec…
09-06 11:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0b44e…
09-06 11:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaff79a…
09-06 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x080afa…
09-06 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb76fa3…
05-21 14:50:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	No	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x666972…
05-20 23:55:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x73dbda…
05-20 23:55:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x827b5c…
05-20 23:47:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x828a60…