Profuse-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$816

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

396

Trades

2,060

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-24 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% +$816

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$494	481	481	+0	open	—	05-16 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	13	$379	374	374	+0	open	—	05-16 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$348	374	374	+0	open	—	05-17 12:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	6	$302	389	225	+164	open	—	05-19 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	9	$286	230	230	+0	open	—	05-03 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$285	206	206	+0	Down	+$103	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$284	193	193	+0	open	—	05-16 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$283	193	193	+0	open	—	05-16 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$277	254	254	+0	open	—	05-16 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$261	332	166	+166	open	—	05-16 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$257	241	241	+0	Down	+$157	05-05 04:29
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$257	159	159	+0	open	—	05-16 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$248	252	215	+37	open	—	05-19 06:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	9	$247	326	163	+163	open	—	05-17 09:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$240	933	250	+683	open	—	05-17 10:42
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$238	140	140	+0	open	—	05-17 10:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$235	148	148	+0	Down	+$15	05-06 13:59
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	20	$232	133	133	+0	open	—	05-16 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$231	250	188	+63	open	—	05-16 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$220	142	142	+0	open	—	05-16 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$218	146	146	+0	open	—	05-16 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$214	456	456	+0	Up	+$14	05-10 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	15	$212	132	132	+0	open	—	05-19 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$212	140	140	+0	open	—	05-19 04:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$210	658	165	+494	open	—	05-16 15:44
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$200	156	156	+0	open	—	05-16 04:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$200	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	05-16 04:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	8	$200	153	153	+0	Up	+$90	05-06 04:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$196	645	161	+484	open	—	05-16 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$192	209	52	+157	open	—	05-16 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 11:22:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1195fd…
05-24 10:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xde20d5…
05-24 10:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27f2fc…
05-24 06:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe574ed…
05-24 06:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	166	5¢	$8	0x4d1987…
05-24 06:39:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2ea2bd…
05-24 06:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	360	6¢	$20	0xbd96e2…
05-24 06:38:24	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	129	23¢	$30	0xe61923…
05-24 06:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	186	11¢	$20	0x0b73b4…
05-24 06:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	184	16¢	$30	0xf4b791…
05-24 04:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x267216…
05-24 04:31:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb4543f…
05-23 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	95	90¢	$85	0x229038…
05-23 20:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x0641b3…
05-23 20:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xbcb75c…
05-23 19:43:28	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xd0f7bf…
05-23 19:24:32	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xf6945c…
05-23 19:24:32	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xe812d2…
05-23 19:24:04	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0xd153ca…
05-23 19:24:02	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x98d627…
05-23 19:23:38	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x116310…
05-23 19:23:36	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x713e72…
05-23 19:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x1c418e…
05-23 19:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xca6931…
05-23 19:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xed0fcd…
05-23 19:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0ee81a…
05-23 19:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8ac7b9…
05-23 19:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa6d4af…
05-23 19:09:27	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x689ac8…
05-23 18:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xa9d052…
05-23 18:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x28190e…
05-23 18:57:56	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4489ac…
05-23 18:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9d4ea3…
05-23 18:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x70861a…
05-23 18:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0ddcf6…
05-23 18:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x04737d…
05-23 18:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xead3f2…
05-23 18:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xeab0e0…
05-23 18:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x772900…
05-23 18:24:18	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc2a1f7…
05-23 18:24:18	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x00d23a…
05-23 18:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xf62b3f…
05-23 18:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7500c6…
05-23 18:07:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc5e905…
05-23 18:06:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xda258c…
05-23 17:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x685098…
05-23 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xd76012…
05-23 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xa27708…
05-23 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9dfd0f…
05-23 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x55bf3b…
05-23 17:59:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x348ebd…
05-23 17:59:52	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe39486…
05-23 17:59:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc85dba…
05-23 17:47:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xe5009a…
05-23 17:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xef6972…
05-23 17:36:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xda852a…
05-23 17:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x05d05b…
05-23 17:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf7f2bd…
05-23 17:34:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0x653c3a…
05-23 17:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdfdffb…
05-23 17:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbbf5f7…
05-23 17:28:30	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x29393c…
05-23 17:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc12132…
05-23 17:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x20d186…
05-23 17:23:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x640c40…
05-23 17:14:22	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe183dd…
05-23 17:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4aa16d…
05-23 17:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xbcae2c…
05-23 17:04:11	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7aeaed…
05-23 16:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	317	9¢	$30	0xf513f3…
05-23 16:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	180	11¢	$20	0x6c00d3…
05-23 14:29:36	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcd0573…
05-23 14:29:36	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x75d34c…
05-23 14:29:36	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x69219e…
05-23 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc240a0…
05-23 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb281b9…
05-23 12:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x033382…
05-23 12:33:19	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x914360…
05-23 12:27:37	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe3c080…
05-23 12:27:34	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x31e451…
05-23 12:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbf24c1…
05-23 12:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9e6aa7…
05-23 11:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xd4c888…
05-23 11:54:40	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x443f00…
05-23 11:54:00	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x8124e3…
05-23 07:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbcbf90…
05-23 06:14:35	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9df516…
05-23 05:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	165	43¢	$71	0xbca673…
05-23 05:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	593	7¢	$40	0x4552dc…
05-23 05:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0x68bd04…
05-23 04:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	185	8¢	$14	0x30feed…
05-23 04:29:17	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x5e9eaa…
05-23 04:19:31	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0xd37681…
05-23 04:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	281	28¢	$80	0x454d32…
05-23 04:09:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	202	10¢	$20	0xb4a668…
05-23 04:08:26	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x87c861…
05-23 04:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8fad1b…
05-23 04:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x1c2221…
05-23 03:48:50	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x9e1d77…
05-23 03:47:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc39bd9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	928	$61.2K	8,059	05-24 10:44
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	868	$48.8K	25,923	05-24 10:43
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	866	$142.0K	11,623	05-24 10:44
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	809	$62.6K	5,997	05-24 10:43
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	805	$170.5K	34,060	05-24 10:43
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	767	$1.39K	5,520	05-24 10:44
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	748	$568	2,082	05-23 17:35
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	731	$62.1K	16,082	05-24 10:42