Hopeful-Noir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

150

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$441

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-15 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	16	$15	12	12	+0	Down	-$1	05-12 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$12	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-12 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$12	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-12 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	11	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$0	05-04 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$0	05-04 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	05-04 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$0	05-04 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-15 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$0	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$0	05-04 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$0	05-04 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	05-04 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$0	05-04 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$0	05-12 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	6	$5	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	05-04 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	6	$5	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	05-09 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$0	05-14 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	6	$4	4	4	+0	Up	-$2	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x48c2b3…
05-15 12:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x22a557…
05-15 11:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x94c859…
05-15 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xe7a86f…
05-14 23:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xc0eea1…
05-14 22:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf3719e…
05-14 21:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x739d64…
05-14 21:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x82b63d…
05-14 17:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf742c6…
05-14 16:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x6905da…
05-14 16:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb52987…
05-14 15:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x197802…
05-14 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xaaabe9…
05-13 12:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x51606f…
05-13 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x808582…
05-13 12:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaf817f…
05-13 11:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x0c5e0a…
05-13 11:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf55ce1…
05-13 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7452ff…
05-13 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xca6a1f…
05-13 03:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x05b718…
05-13 01:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2c4912…
05-12 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xbd6de7…
05-12 21:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd2023d…
05-12 19:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa49084…
05-12 19:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5ab78d…
05-12 19:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7997f0…
05-12 19:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd9eaa2…
05-12 19:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xd887cb…
05-12 19:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbb7f2c…
05-12 19:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xfbdea0…
05-12 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x42ac55…
05-12 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfbbe1b…
05-12 18:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe2959a…
05-12 18:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x87428a…
05-12 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x239576…
05-12 17:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x93a644…
05-12 17:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x339614…
05-12 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xb85c98…
05-12 17:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc77b67…
05-12 17:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x19d6a9…
05-12 17:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9f0bcf…
05-12 17:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x7f2549…
05-12 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd40327…
05-12 17:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x74ffce…
05-12 17:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8d2f89…
05-12 17:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8a5cd1…
05-12 17:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfd27e8…
05-12 17:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xce67b7…
05-12 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x628894…
05-12 16:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc39274…
05-12 16:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xde7995…
05-12 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xcbc549…
05-12 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5040aa…
05-12 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xc1e72d…
05-12 16:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa47cbf…
05-12 16:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x10be91…
05-12 16:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfe79f0…
05-12 16:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x357383…
05-12 16:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcf049a…
05-12 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x5c7af7…
05-12 16:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5d2e34…
05-12 16:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x479562…
05-12 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x75c98c…
05-12 15:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x7a3589…
05-12 15:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8186b7…
05-12 15:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xce353d…
05-12 15:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf8a756…
05-12 15:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xeca5d6…
05-12 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb1f517…
05-12 15:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x2a5f37…
05-12 15:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc82db2…
05-12 15:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x8da151…
05-12 15:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f9973…
05-12 15:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x1fb76e…
05-12 15:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcb7ddd…
05-12 15:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xea82ea…
05-12 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1a5257…
05-12 15:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7bd1bd…
05-12 15:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x85cff2…
05-12 15:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa4ae9e…
05-12 15:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c2d23…
05-12 15:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf720f4…
05-12 15:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3cc99f…
05-12 15:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x46de4a…
05-12 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x153e60…
05-12 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x28b767…
05-12 15:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc4bb4d…
05-12 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x659dc2…
05-12 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x096304…
05-12 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6ca1b9…
05-12 15:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xffeaae…
05-12 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe329b4…
05-12 15:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x7068e5…
05-12 15:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x22ed4c…
05-12 15:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x73ff68…
05-12 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7522b1…
05-12 15:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2304e1…
05-12 15:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeaef2f…
05-12 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xd3e8fa…