Upset-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$428

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

8,002

Trades

15,899

lifetime

Volume

$39.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-30 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$433

Other

0% 17% +$5

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 555 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$2	10-30 00:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	38	$105	90	85	+5	Down	-$1	10-07 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	41	$90	90	85	+5	Down	+$1	10-07 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	36	$74	85	79	+6	Down	-$3	10-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	13	$54	60	50	+10	Down	-$6	10-29 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	27	$51	110	0	+110	Up	-$1	10-15 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$44	44	44	+0	Down	+$35	09-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	11	$44	60	30	+30	Up	+$2	10-29 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	21	$43	90	0	+90	Down	+$42	10-08 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	16	$43	81	43	+38	Down	+$1	10-07 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:55 UTC	4	$40	38	38	+0	Up	+$34	08-28 22:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:55 UTC	10	$39	42	40	+1	Up	+$30	08-29 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	10	$38	30	30	+0	Up	+$8	10-28 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	9	$36	45	30	+15	Down	-$5	10-29 13:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:50 UTC	3	$34	32	32	+0	Up	+$30	08-29 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	7	$34	36	36	+0	Down	+$26	08-29 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	10	$33	30	25	+5	Up	+$4	10-28 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	11	$33	30	25	+5	Up	+$4	10-28 19:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:25 UTC	3	$32	30	30	+0	Down	+$28	08-29 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$31	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-29 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$31	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	10-28 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$31	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	10-29 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$31	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-29 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-29 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	10-28 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	10-28 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	10-28 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	10-28 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	10-29 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	14	$30	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	10-29 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$30	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	10-28 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x6e4059…
10-30 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa5c84…
10-30 00:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc078a…
10-30 00:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe25b60…
10-30 00:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf673c5…
10-30 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd40e5f…
10-30 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0a58b0…
10-30 00:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeba5b1…
10-30 00:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x004afa…
10-30 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x788927…
10-30 00:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x25e61c…
10-30 00:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe299d7…
10-30 00:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x66e37f…
10-30 00:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8414e6…
10-30 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73161b…
10-30 00:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x48eafe…
10-30 00:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd41587…
10-30 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2995cf…
10-29 23:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xae8291…
10-29 23:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x844390…
10-29 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x52c679…
10-29 23:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x226c09…
10-29 23:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5440ca…
10-29 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x948229…
10-29 23:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x950ee1…
10-29 23:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x24763c…
10-29 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf583f2…
10-29 23:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6fad16…
10-29 23:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40d505…
10-29 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xee8e49…
10-29 23:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3025a6…
10-29 23:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb69b6c…
10-29 23:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x428a4b…
10-29 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9f5b49…
10-29 23:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7035b1…
10-29 23:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc5a854…
10-29 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc8c62b…
10-29 23:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xef622b…
10-29 23:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc32392…
10-29 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5ddf8d…
10-29 23:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x165582…
10-29 23:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59ab58…
10-29 23:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xb98cf8…
10-29 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x91f238…
10-29 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x423cbc…
10-29 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4a19cf…
10-29 23:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x80e690…
10-29 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xf2b8a6…
10-29 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x480e74…
10-29 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x14ae04…
10-29 23:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd2846c…
10-29 23:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x32bd60…
10-29 23:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd0a5f3…
10-29 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe16b93…
10-29 23:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x854157…
10-29 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7af734…
10-29 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd74171…
10-29 23:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8f310b…
10-29 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15ca45…
10-29 23:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01965c…
10-29 23:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4357b8…
10-29 23:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x981bdd…
10-29 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf9f771…
10-29 23:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x0f6f9b…
10-29 23:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53666d…
10-29 23:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d9271…
10-29 23:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4a5136…
10-29 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3f0406…
10-29 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15c7c8…
10-29 22:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03e1ef…
10-29 22:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x72abce…
10-29 22:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x0652c7…
10-29 22:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb1900b…
10-29 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf9b6ab…
10-29 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x410e40…
10-29 22:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8dffdb…
10-29 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa792bc…
10-29 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b40ad…
10-29 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xa87c41…
10-29 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x732dde…
10-29 22:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9f4b99…
10-29 22:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xebb8e0…
10-29 22:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x372072…
10-29 22:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd402ac…
10-29 22:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd312dc…
10-29 22:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x8872b6…
10-29 22:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7386ee…
10-29 22:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3154d…
10-29 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb7d1cb…
10-29 22:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x42956b…
10-29 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x176f22…
10-29 22:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x92cf67…
10-29 22:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xaff974…
10-29 22:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10f01a…
10-29 22:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8031c3…
10-29 22:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa14f86…
10-29 22:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9cde4d…
10-29 22:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc7453c…
10-29 22:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x711f69…
10-29 22:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x9013da…