Stormy-Permission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

150

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-29 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 93% +$3

Other

34% 62% -$17

Politics

11% 50% +$0

Sports

3% 50% -$5

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$332	166	166	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 08:53
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	05-18 09:19
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$304	152	152	+0	No	$0	05-27 09:56
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-14 03:47
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-27 10:32
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	05-09 08:15
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$252	127	127	+0	No	-$1	02-05 12:49
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$228	114	114	+0	No	$0	02-13 07:02
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$202	101	101	+0	No	$0	03-18 05:12
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	$0	03-31 09:34
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-20 05:53
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$197	99	99	+0	No	$0	03-25 04:05
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$197	99	99	+0	No	$0	04-19 06:31
Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	04-25 10:03
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$186	94	94	+0	No	$0	04-23 07:29
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-06 06:47
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-06 06:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$170	171	0	+171	Yes	+$1	05-23 12:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$166	166	0	+166	Yes	+$0	05-24 11:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$166	166	0	+166	Yes	+$0	05-20 08:32
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$166	167	0	+167	No	+$1	05-19 11:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$165	165	0	+165	Yes	+$0	05-18 09:20
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	05-15 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$163	163	0	+163	Yes	+$0	05-17 12:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	1	$163	163	0	+163	No	+$0	05-21 08:05
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$162	162	0	+162	No	+$0	05-16 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$162	162	0	+162	No	+$0	05-12 04:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$161	161	0	+161	Yes	+$0	05-27 10:37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	1	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	10-29 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	05-14 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:16:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x3b4564…
09-21 16:19:51	will solana dip to 95 on september 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7625d…
09-21 16:16:43	will solana dip to 90 on september 21 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66e7f0…
08-29 07:00:33	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 in August?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9de810…
08-29 06:59:12	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3e2d8f…
07-10 06:24:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x85f0d4…
07-10 06:22:46	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Nikita Krylov	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xec0a3e…
06-26 06:56:32	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x963a4b…
05-31 12:03:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xf469a2…
05-31 11:57:14	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd47eee…
05-30 11:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4613e3…
05-30 11:33:39	Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard	Mathys Erhard	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x3468f9…
05-30 11:28:06	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9dea8c…
05-29 05:21:03	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$370 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xfaf983…
05-29 05:12:48	Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9489b5…
05-28 06:38:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x00e5dc…
05-28 06:30:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb2b577…
05-27 10:37:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x5536d1…
05-27 10:32:09	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7c5238…
05-27 10:07:05	Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	Atlanta Dream	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x2e8b52…
05-27 09:57:56	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd05c1f…
05-27 09:56:28	Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x616d17…
05-27 08:59:15	Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x3457db…
05-27 08:53:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x6e73a5…
05-25 11:43:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x611f8a…
05-24 11:40:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x3376d3…
05-24 11:36:34	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer	Hugo Dellien	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0x3fe553…
05-23 12:19:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x0286dc…
05-21 08:05:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x601ccc…
05-21 07:34:21	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x4b92b0…
05-20 08:32:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xe2846d…
05-19 11:57:13	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0xcbe3f9…
05-18 09:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xde56d5…
05-18 09:19:02	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0xaa6027…
05-18 08:59:44	LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcf6aba…
05-18 08:52:28	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0xc9aa34…
05-17 12:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x5be179…
05-16 12:22:17	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x8c408e…
05-16 12:16:17	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x100fc8…
05-15 13:01:30	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xd1e075…
05-14 03:53:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xb68b8b…
05-14 03:47:40	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x1807ac…
05-14 03:28:06	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6de950…
05-14 03:20:50	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1e8bfa…
05-12 04:01:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xb4ad77…
05-11 12:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xc42084…
05-11 11:55:50	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4196fa…
05-10 11:24:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x4668fd…
05-10 11:21:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9a25cb…
05-09 08:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x5676cb…
05-09 08:15:37	Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x767302…
05-09 08:10:10	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2f4af8…
05-09 07:56:38	Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x0ba841…
05-08 04:25:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x283a43…
05-07 12:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x953a0b…
05-07 02:49:28	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7956c5…
05-06 06:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x3a16e6…
05-06 06:47:00	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xff3774…
05-06 06:22:40	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf9ff8f…
05-06 06:21:34	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x40563d…
05-06 05:04:28	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x6134e4…
05-05 05:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe768ca…
05-04 12:08:38	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4d5859…
05-03 07:28:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x6eaf1c…
05-02 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on May 2?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xbb9578…
05-01 07:11:04	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0138f3…
04-30 09:04:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x7e1d6a…
04-29 03:35:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1c00ff…
04-28 04:22:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x2c841e…
04-27 03:42:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xb9fc20…
04-26 11:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x1a06ea…
04-25 10:16:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1445d9…
04-25 10:04:16	LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7463b2…
04-25 10:03:30	Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x671102…
04-25 09:47:12	Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf0769f…
04-24 05:05:02	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xed3a05…
04-23 07:39:46	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9b3f4e…
04-23 07:29:56	Madrid Open: Nuno Borges vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x544d95…
04-23 07:29:28	Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0xeef73f…
04-23 07:12:06	Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x02cf43…
04-22 07:34:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x926a96…
04-21 03:58:56	solana above 100 on april 21	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x565eee…
04-21 03:49:54	Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Mathys Erhard	Mathys Erhard	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xcff4c6…
04-20 10:55:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7e6238…
04-19 06:43:26	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf85c77…
04-19 06:31:26	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$98	0xb5985c…
04-19 05:48:28	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0xb6c829…
04-17 10:57:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0ac8f2…
04-16 09:01:32	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7cc029…
04-15 09:34:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x8ec2a2…
04-14 06:50:27	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xeea6f0…
04-13 06:15:51	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x78ca1c…
04-12 04:30:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0e5c05…
04-11 11:13:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x66b8be…
04-11 11:04:05	mlb nyy tb 2026 04 11	New York Yankees	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xd2e050…
04-10 10:22:07	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xed1a9e…
04-09 03:58:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 9	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe16c4e…
04-08 03:43:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb14065…
04-08 03:37:45	wta jones avanesy 2026 04 08	Elina Avanesyan	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x7a4bc7…
04-07 08:57:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x1e5058…