(anonymous) 0xa4d0cc…037a4f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$475
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
52
Trades
394
lifetime
Volume
$9.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.32K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
63% 88% +$26
Politics
20% 67% -$482
Sports
16% — —
Tech
1% 67% -$18
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +203 $199 98¢ $199 $0 10-29 02:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +181 $181 99¢ $180 $0 10-28 18:50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +194 $189 79¢ $153 -$36 10-29 01:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +260 $140 57¢ $148 +$8 10-27 22:43
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +131 $131 100¢ $131 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +69 $68 99¢ $68 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $66 97¢ $66 +$0 10-26 03:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +84 $71 72¢ $61 -$10 10-28 18:35
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +92 $59 54¢ $49 -$10 10-28 19:18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +51 $49 91¢ $47 -$3 10-30 00:06
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $28 98¢ $29 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$0 10-28 02:25
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +19 $15 86¢ $17 +$1 10-22 03:46
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $15 98¢ $14 $0 10-24 00:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 10-28 18:35
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 -$1 10-22 03:46
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +9 $9 94¢ $9 -$1 10-28 18:48
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-28 02:15
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9 $7 77¢ $7 $0 10-21 02:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:23
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +6 $6 90¢ $5 -$1 10-28 02:25
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +21 $11 16¢ $3 -$8 10-19 21:35