Realized P&L (30d)
+$111
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved (30d)
16
Trades (30d)
49
49 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$486
$486 lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$172
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-22
last 10-28 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
59% 42% -$16
Politics
39% 50% +$134
Crypto
2% 0% -$8
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $60 72¢ $65 +$5 10-27 08:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +228 $43 16¢ $38 -$5 10-26 21:38
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +60 $25 62¢ $37 +$12 10-27 09:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +35 $20 58¢ $20 +$0 10-27 22:57
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $5 12¢ $5 $0 10-26 08:44
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15 $2 12¢ $2 $0 10-26 08:46
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 8¢ $2 $0 10-27 13:15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +61 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 10-26 08:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 10-26 08:46
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +62 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-26 21:02