Those-Native — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

438

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

75% 78% +$2

Crypto

18% 79% +$1

Politics

4% 82% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	4	$117	59	59	+0	No	$0	07-31 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 25?	4	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	07-24 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	07-21 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 30?	3	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 18?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-18 21:55
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:52
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 28?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-27 14:22
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	2	$67	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-31 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	3	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 25?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on July 24?	5	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-24 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 19?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on July 25?	6	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 29?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 05:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-12 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 29?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-29 13:04
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	4	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 06:00
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	2	$63	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 09:25
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 23:06
bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 23:07
ethereum above 1900 on july 25 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-25 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:52
Will Matt Freese win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 13?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-13 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 27?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 29?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 13:05
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-22 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	4	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x432f2b…
10-18 20:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ec332…
10-16 15:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf5d9d9…
10-13 06:00:13	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec92a1…
10-13 04:00:14	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0xa790a9…
10-13 02:52:50	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e79c0…
10-13 00:47:21	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xca188a…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x75e16b…
10-12 00:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4ab30a…
10-11 19:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd41d1f…
10-11 18:48:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2a0d5a…
10-11 17:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x276c69…
10-11 17:12:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59b05f…
10-10 08:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x38d791…
10-10 06:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8d44c7…
10-05 09:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd9fb56…
10-02 03:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6c4e24…
10-02 01:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a36a2…
10-01 06:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13e821…
09-28 03:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x429781…
09-27 20:35:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2b7519…
09-22 23:24:50	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18f3f7…
09-22 16:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcff602…
09-22 14:01:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd5a7e5…
09-21 22:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0fa4ff…
09-18 01:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c670f…
09-17 16:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe68800…
09-13 03:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4b08dd…
09-11 02:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6788cc…
09-10 19:20:39	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49c5e0…
09-07 16:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5fa8b8…
09-06 12:52:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xd8b292…
09-06 09:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe9e90b…
09-06 01:36:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5ab1dd…
09-05 06:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6e23a…
09-05 04:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4d842…
09-04 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e62fa…
09-04 18:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x79db9e…
09-04 09:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5d4340…
09-04 03:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbd50e5…
09-03 19:43:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2359ac…
09-03 09:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4b5b2…
09-03 01:44:19	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 2 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4982d6…
09-02 21:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xee8010…
09-02 18:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6bc508…
09-02 06:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x79003c…
09-01 09:34:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x471123…
09-01 05:30:09	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf7f618…
08-31 04:00:13	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x00d499…
08-31 02:26:36	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5bff85…
08-30 18:56:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfe0c37…
08-30 16:03:06	Will there be 6 or more ChatGPT outages in August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a8e5c…
08-30 08:07:28	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe8a731…
08-29 20:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa6bd3a…
08-28 21:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xdbcb9e…
08-28 13:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37f7ae…
08-28 03:47:46	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba7aa9…
08-27 10:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3db5e6…
08-27 08:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2f73b…
08-26 23:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7025df…
08-26 19:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4febea…
08-26 19:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xed53fa…
08-26 16:32:13	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7735a…
08-25 13:20:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x187844…
08-25 09:03:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xa510ff…
08-24 21:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3da6b4…
08-24 15:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcb4f7…
08-24 12:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x255c16…
08-24 00:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xec47fc…
08-23 18:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x347b12…
08-14 08:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4c3c30…
08-13 18:49:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c28a9…
08-13 16:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5c80db…
08-13 10:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8658d5…
08-13 06:50:52	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x3a3be2…
08-12 21:50:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d0f5b…
08-12 07:16:55	ethereum above 2000 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0f3f7c…
08-12 03:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2325e2…
08-12 01:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x79cedc…
08-11 22:31:39	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb21d0c…
08-11 13:30:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf26f06…
08-10 21:26:28	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9d014a…
08-10 20:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4e9ccd…
08-10 14:40:22	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcfce40…
08-10 11:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8cbc0a…
08-09 13:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x019ca5…
08-09 10:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x146e3a…
08-09 05:36:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6a163c…
08-09 02:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x904484…
08-08 19:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa0fab6…
08-08 06:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4e17e…
08-08 02:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa759f8…
08-07 21:24:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x17f3a1…
08-07 16:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x62c5e5…
08-07 10:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf70163…
08-07 07:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x29cf65…
08-06 07:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcbcba8…
08-06 01:40:03	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf8e408…
08-06 00:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd238a2…
08-05 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5e86d3…