Soupy-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

437

Trades

1,902

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-14 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% $-63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776685500	4	$90	47	47	+0	open	—	04-20 11:59
btc updown 15m 1776683700	2	$89	47	46	+0	open	—	04-20 11:29
btc updown 15m 1776545100	3	$61	32	31	+0	open	—	04-18 20:59
btc updown 15m 1775800800	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-10 06:14
btc updown 15m 1776942900	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-23 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	04-28 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$46	24	24	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 06:58
btc updown 15m 1776484800	1	$46	48	0	+48	open	—	04-18 04:11
btc updown 15m 1776486600	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	04-18 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 19:29
btc updown 15m 1776663000	1	$45	49	0	+49	open	—	04-20 05:42
btc updown 15m 1776513600	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	04-18 12:11
btc updown 15m 1776689100	2	$44	48	0	+48	open	—	04-20 12:58
btc updown 15m 1776663900	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-20 05:56
btc updown 15m 1776687300	1	$44	47	0	+47	open	—	04-20 12:27
btc updown 15m 1776515400	2	$44	48	0	+48	open	—	04-18 12:41
btc updown 15m 1775736900	3	$43	45	0	+45	open	—	04-09 12:26
btc updown 15m 1775731500	1	$43	45	0	+45	open	—	04-09 10:57
btc updown 15m 1776509100	1	$43	48	0	+48	open	—	04-18 10:57
btc updown 15m 1776684600	3	$43	48	0	+48	open	—	04-20 11:42
btc updown 15m 1775729700	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-09 10:26
btc updown 15m 1776510900	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-18 11:26
btc updown 15m 1775736000	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-09 12:12
btc updown 15m 1776512700	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-18 11:56
btc updown 15m 1775732400	1	$43	47	0	+47	open	—	04-09 11:12
btc updown 15m 1776082500	1	$42	44	0	+44	open	—	04-13 12:26
btc updown 15m 1776170700	1	$42	44	0	+44	open	—	04-14 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x908db1…
05-14 16:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x82739d…
05-14 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x6f63e7…
05-13 20:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x599971…
05-13 20:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb42bd6…
05-13 19:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x135c6a…
05-13 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x9d762d…
05-13 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xed5e31…
05-13 19:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x7968b1…
05-13 18:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x135300…
05-13 18:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x064866…
05-13 18:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa290f0…
05-13 17:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc7f569…
05-13 17:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xed3a4e…
05-13 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x968718…
05-13 16:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x838d99…
05-13 16:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x74ec31…
05-13 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x2d7fa3…
05-13 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x72a2ba…
05-13 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x9f09ac…
05-13 14:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3ecb6e…
05-13 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x008a31…
05-13 13:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x6aca3b…
05-13 12:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x36bd82…
05-13 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x1c36f0…
05-13 11:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x0bf96a…
05-13 10:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xce6e73…
05-13 10:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x2cf7bc…
05-13 06:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfef787…
05-13 06:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x6aba45…
05-13 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xa153f6…
05-13 06:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x739dde…
05-13 05:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x64a79f…
05-13 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x3f08a1…
05-13 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x5987d5…
05-13 04:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6340a4…
05-13 03:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x8b28dd…
05-13 03:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x24ae5c…
05-13 03:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2aa595…
05-13 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x760741…
05-13 02:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x67823d…
05-13 02:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0b7dd1…
05-13 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xaadf22…
05-13 01:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xb71d6a…
05-13 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3b7cfe…
05-13 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xaa4f6c…
05-13 01:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x606695…
05-13 01:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xeaa6c7…
05-13 01:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xa31922…
05-13 00:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xec60d9…
05-13 00:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x0250df…
05-12 23:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9385de…
05-12 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x456c36…
05-12 22:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xca229f…
05-12 22:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x471516…
05-12 21:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5ddded…
05-12 21:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf9efba…
05-12 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xba0ca4…
05-12 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x7d9e73…
05-12 20:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x4b2877…
05-12 20:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xecf79b…
05-12 19:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x3f99b0…
05-12 19:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd4dadf…
05-12 19:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xe96200…
05-12 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x9f2471…
05-12 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8e0b93…
05-12 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x781de4…
05-12 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x22f826…
05-12 17:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0xfa598d…
05-12 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x536cac…
05-12 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xf88ff5…
05-12 16:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x576028…
05-12 15:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x5da4fe…
05-12 15:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x522949…
05-12 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf20063…
05-12 14:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x847728…
05-12 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xb581dc…
05-12 14:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x4721b6…
05-12 13:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x73c4a4…
05-12 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xf4ab46…
05-12 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x1106cc…
05-12 11:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xc251c7…
05-12 11:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x04cd19…
05-12 11:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x2b9a4b…
05-12 11:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x90fe57…
05-12 09:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x3e7248…
05-12 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x1c3b19…
05-12 08:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x18dbbb…
05-12 08:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0xfacbe5…
05-12 07:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xb6843a…
05-12 07:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xafe538…
05-12 07:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3dacc7…
05-12 06:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x71b991…
05-12 05:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2b6b89…
05-12 04:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x06dc0b…
05-12 04:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x62c677…
05-12 03:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x4bee9a…
05-12 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x649486…
05-12 03:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2dbfb8…
05-12 02:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xea3866…