Bumpy-Eveningwear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$224

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-12 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% $-1

Tech

18% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+2	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	05-31 04:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	7	$8.4K	4,228	4,228	+0	open	—	03-26 11:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.8K	1,420	1,418	+2	open	—	03-21 00:22
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2.8K	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	03-30 02:28
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	8	$564	517	530	-13	open	—	03-20 03:34
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	1	$432	800	0	+800	open	—	03-18 06:30
nba bos sas 2026 03 10	1	$342	600	0	+600	open	—	03-10 14:22
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	5	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	03-20 22:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 11:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 11:35
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 35forbelow	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 06:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-31 04:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 02:21
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 04:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-30 02:28
bitcoin above 66k on april 8	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-08 02:21
nba lal ind 2026 03 25	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-26 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-31 04:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-21 04:21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-26 00:26
nba cha bos 2026 04 07	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-08 02:20
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-31 04:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 02:28
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-12 06:02
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	$-1	04-11 03:24
btc updown 5m 1776744900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-21 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 02:42
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-10 07:01
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 08:10
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-29 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 06:02:16	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa98eb1…
05-31 04:47:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd6364c…
05-31 04:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xecc92b…
05-31 04:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x350df2…
05-31 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf14154…
05-31 04:30:06	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd5716e…
05-29 01:20:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x27895c…
05-27 02:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2a4fd4…
05-26 00:26:30	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3acd6e…
05-12 07:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d574b…
05-02 12:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xba772f…
04-29 08:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x87ef00…
04-29 08:10:06	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x245e5f…
04-27 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x431eb2…
04-27 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2dca8…
04-25 03:34:20	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6c5faa…
04-25 03:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2f468…
04-21 04:21:34	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xedf0e9…
04-21 04:21:14	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f4df6…
04-21 04:21:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0db1db…
04-21 04:19:34	btc updown 5m 1776744900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x30d1b4…
04-21 04:09:32	btc updown 5m 1776744300	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x69019e…
04-19 12:34:52	btc updown 5m 1776601800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90484f…
04-19 12:28:26	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f5ca8…
04-11 03:27:39	cs2 lag mou 2026 04 10	LAG Gaming	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f820f…
04-11 03:24:09	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xacd05f…
04-08 02:21:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1b87a3…
04-08 02:21:39	cs2 fdb paina 2026 04 07	Fake do Biru	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4148bf…
04-08 02:21:23	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4510b3…
04-08 02:20:55	nba cha bos 2026 04 07	Celtics	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x62dba1…
03-30 02:28:38	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x323bdc…
03-30 02:28:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x04d3e0…
03-30 02:28:08	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1,403	100¢	$1,400	0x084a22…
03-29 11:09:24	btc updown 5m 1774782300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x411bd5…
03-29 10:47:48	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1,403	100¢	$1,400	0x04afa8…
03-26 11:02:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07700a…
03-26 11:01:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,400	100¢	$1,396	0xf3ae8b…
03-26 00:24:47	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Lakers	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x44d831…
03-25 03:39:27	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,393	0x1f3ca9…
03-25 03:08:07	btc updown 5m 1774407900	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3fd3ac…
03-21 00:22:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a3251…
03-21 00:22:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,418	99¢	$1,410	0x5b44db…
03-20 23:46:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,407	100¢	$1,400	0x75743f…
03-20 22:53:01	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xb9c6c4…
03-20 22:51:29	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc2069c…
03-20 22:47:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x4f154d…
03-20 22:33:53	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2009f8…
03-20 22:33:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xb0bc37…
03-20 22:26:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,414	99¢	$1,399	0x8a81c9…
03-20 11:35:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x823aeb…
03-20 11:35:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2b1188…
03-20 11:34:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,414	99¢	$1,400	0x9d16dc…
03-20 04:30:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,414	99¢	$1,397	0xefc6d8…
03-20 03:35:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,413	99¢	$1,400	0xfb3fc9…
03-20 03:34:13	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	SELL	524	48¢	$254	0x3de3c3…
03-20 03:31:41	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x7e4fda…
03-20 03:27:13	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	289	59¢	$170	0x53deed…
03-20 03:11:57	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x33efcd…
03-20 03:02:43	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xc7c126…
03-20 02:58:27	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x295bb0…
03-20 02:55:21	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x261725…
03-20 02:54:23	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	85	61¢	$52	0x055ad3…
03-18 06:30:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4fff59…
03-18 06:30:29	nba lac nop 2026 03 18	Pelicans	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0xbbda2b…
03-18 06:29:37	btc updown 5m 1773815100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x07ed1a…
03-18 06:26:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf89bb…
03-18 06:26:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 35forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96ea7e…
03-10 14:22:57	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Spurs	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0x642731…
03-10 07:01:45	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd85db4…