Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved (30d)

778

Trades (30d)

1,130

2,419 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.25K

$4.77K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-16

last 11-01 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 40% -$673

Other

39% 48% -$59

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 21?	3	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	09-21 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 7?	1	$25	100	0	+100	No	-$25	10-05 18:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:45 UTC	19	$21	138	0	+138	Up	-$21	08-17 03:49
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	2	$19	21	0	+21	Up	+$2	08-17 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?	1	$18	100	0	+100	Yes	+$82	10-05 18:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?	4	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	10-12 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:45 UTC	1	$15	129	0	+129	Up	-$15	08-20 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-12 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-05 16:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-14 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	10-14 15:55
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	3	$15	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-12 23:37
aapl up or down on october 16 2026	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	-$4	10-16 18:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 03:40 UTC	2	$14	94	0	+94	Down	-$14	08-17 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	09-20 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5?	3	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	10-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	10-04 20:38
ng up or down on september 23 2026	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	09-23 19:47
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:45 UTC	18	$14	351	0	+351	Down	-$14	08-19 22:59
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 21?	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	09-21 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	10-05 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 5?	5	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	10-05 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:20 UTC	10	$13	130	0	+130	Down	-$13	08-19 23:22
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 15?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	-$6	10-15 19:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:45 UTC	4	$12	96	0	+96	Down	-$12	08-19 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	3	$12	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	10-04 17:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:45 UTC	10	$11	123	0	+123	Up	-$11	08-20 03:52
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on September 23?	2	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	09-23 17:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	09-21 13:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	2	$11	83	0	+83	Up	-$11	08-17 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed8d6c…
11-01 05:53:09	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae14fb…
10-31 20:44:15	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d9b7d…
10-31 16:16:13	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xade7eb…
10-31 16:12:57	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f16fa…
10-31 06:37:21	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd19d8e…
10-30 21:24:01	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x51396b…
10-30 17:32:37	Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x626b03…
10-30 17:21:16	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bbb13…
10-30 16:58:04	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6691ed…
10-30 15:58:00	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef033b…
10-30 07:23:28	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84e950…
10-30 04:47:37	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x28cf53…
10-30 04:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee4187…
10-30 03:06:00	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x04b108…
10-30 03:04:19	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x73e698…
10-30 00:00:28	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa0c177…
10-30 00:00:28	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x702c2b…
10-29 19:19:42	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xedcf08…
10-29 17:34:50	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6ded5e…
10-29 16:39:19	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x73287e…
10-29 16:22:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x95afa0…
10-29 16:09:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d1f75…
10-29 10:45:56	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7f4b66…
10-29 09:19:25	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf91493…
10-28 23:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x73a48c…
10-28 20:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdac952…
10-28 20:36:40	Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6ba0e2…
10-28 18:00:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x71440e…
10-28 16:55:02	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x935b8e…
10-28 16:26:32	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x635477…
10-28 15:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe23912…
10-28 12:58:37	Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9ecdc…
10-28 08:18:40	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf12a48…
10-28 07:28:29	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x874126…
10-28 04:08:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x45c57d…
10-27 23:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe74b29…
10-27 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5729fc…
10-27 21:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f095a…
10-27 19:30:11	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x40d635…
10-27 16:03:54	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9200db…
10-27 14:21:38	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x339e46…
10-27 14:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0744c…
10-26 17:42:44	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9a6de1…
10-26 16:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x462120…
10-26 16:04:50	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd1e39d…
10-26 16:01:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ba221…
10-26 14:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b1223…
10-26 01:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8cd8fe…
10-26 01:13:20	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdfbfc3…
10-25 23:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbe08be…
10-25 23:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa17753…
10-25 23:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a5c1d…
10-25 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3e1c1c…
10-25 21:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x86b3ba…
10-25 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xda00fd…
10-25 18:44:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6c4834…
10-25 17:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4efb8d…
10-25 16:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0adb2c…
10-25 15:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0ffdfa…
10-25 14:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x128847…
10-25 14:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down on October 25?	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5f7591…
10-25 11:44:51	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1ddded…
10-25 09:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x231bae…
10-25 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x177189…
10-25 08:29:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0e8776…
10-25 08:06:30	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x92c45a…
10-25 03:29:23	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd59d57…
10-25 02:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbf0eb6…
10-25 01:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb0ec2e…
10-25 01:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe06e61…
10-25 00:29:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x66dd33…
10-24 23:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x47bf01…
10-24 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd4a781…
10-24 23:27:24	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x43d9ff…
10-24 22:59:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe54376…
10-24 21:20:12	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfc6875…
10-24 12:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcbc097…
10-23 23:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbb34a8…
10-23 17:40:18	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x64ea33…
10-23 17:19:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc4f580…
10-23 17:19:21	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x54cca1…
10-23 17:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x29b08b…
10-23 11:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x75bdc7…
10-23 11:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c9e2e…
10-23 10:01:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb177de…
10-23 07:38:39	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x0acf19…
10-23 07:00:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 129 and 131 million views on day 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe611e6…
10-23 04:07:59	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73d90b…
10-23 04:01:15	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x765d1a…
10-23 04:01:05	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xaae489…
10-23 03:08:18	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c4df5…
10-23 02:38:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 129 and 131 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x86720a…
10-22 21:34:36	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x64ae51…
10-22 18:36:48	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xe05750…
10-22 17:42:59	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x41e73d…
10-22 16:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x593c0f…
10-22 12:33:57	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xda1e30…
10-22 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7fb821…
10-22 10:18:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x67e16c…