Grotesque-Ceremony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$234

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

164

Trades

1,677

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-12 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 64% $-239

Other

11% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$198	110	110	+0	open	—	05-01 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	8	$109	94	59	+35	open	—	05-01 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$62	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 02:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 09:10
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Up	+$7	05-08 19:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-06 16:10
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	$-50	05-05 02:26
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-07 18:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-06 19:56
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-05 20:10
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$6	05-05 18:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-06 14:40
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 13:40
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-08 17:25
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-08 16:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$6	05-06 13:41
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-06 15:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-06 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-08 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$50	55	0	+55	Down	+$5	05-07 16:10
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	05-05 20:28
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-06 12:25
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-06 14:56
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-07 13:56
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-07 15:11
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-06 13:56
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-08 18:11
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-07 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	05-06 12:56
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0x035276…
05-12 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x603931…
05-12 22:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb27485…
05-12 22:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	6¢	$4	0xb22ec4…
05-12 22:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8d31d5…
05-12 22:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x18f619…
05-12 22:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0674f3…
05-12 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xbeed10…
05-12 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x61f2fd…
05-12 22:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb65ec3…
05-12 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xf980d3…
05-12 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x9c0da2…
05-12 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x6f05dd…
05-12 22:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x16aa58…
05-12 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x202aed…
05-12 21:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x78c6f0…
05-12 21:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0xa9b5ca…
05-12 20:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x3df2fb…
05-12 20:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2c75e4…
05-12 19:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x01a02a…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe5f151…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa087d8…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x8911b8…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x86f44c…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x315636…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x27b176…
05-12 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x24fb1b…
05-12 19:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x6b80f4…
05-12 19:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1af434…
05-12 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x2dec87…
05-12 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x39f7c9…
05-12 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0x31586f…
05-12 19:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	8¢	$5	0x1c6aac…
05-12 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xd0e524…
05-12 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb6e31c…
05-12 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x9503e7…
05-12 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x029b5a…
05-12 18:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xe017a2…
05-12 18:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x91e2af…
05-12 18:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xd5f4ff…
05-12 17:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0xfba14d…
05-12 17:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1a4f34…
05-12 17:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0x856485…
05-12 16:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x5ce163…
05-12 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x0cb499…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc633ca…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xaa0b00…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x98efd3…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x965450…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x68179d…
05-12 16:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x6548a5…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe2cea5…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xc14998…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x541df4…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x25d613…
05-12 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2468bd…
05-12 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd4f005…
05-12 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7022c0…
05-12 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x23084d…
05-12 16:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x88cf3a…
05-12 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x55ba40…
05-12 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xa5d7bf…
05-12 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x91c0b1…
05-12 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4e13c4…
05-12 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3edbbd…
05-12 15:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5b2e76…
05-12 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x51bbbc…
05-12 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xe3f62c…
05-12 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x4e70b8…
05-12 15:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x2cf11a…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xfd492f…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xcce91c…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xadf970…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5fb78e…
05-12 14:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x19b876…
05-12 14:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x294b08…
05-12 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xd26c5f…
05-12 14:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x22ffa7…
05-12 14:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb422d4…
05-12 14:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x238f30…
05-12 14:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc1f4c8…
05-12 14:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x077568…
05-12 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xfe3653…
05-12 14:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa25b87…
05-12 14:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd45a3c…
05-12 14:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x248b1f…
05-12 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x0eca8e…
05-12 13:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x189cc7…
05-12 13:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xe4a0cd…
05-12 13:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa9f1df…
05-12 13:58:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$0	0x4b2ad6…
05-12 13:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$0	0xa41bb7…
05-12 13:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x782d5c…
05-12 13:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x52f69b…
05-12 13:55:54	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	5¢	$3	0x075b1d…
05-11 13:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	79	2¢	$1	0x9c4b59…
05-11 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd55b2d…
05-11 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcd3874…
05-11 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xc0cf2f…
05-11 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6e81c6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	620	$130.4K	12,903	05-10 18:14
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	620	$13.6K	1,604	05-10 18:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	610	$25.4K	4,195	05-10 18:14
Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09	563	$1.12K	1,333	05-10 18:13
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	532	$74.5K	11,269	05-09 02:23
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	532	$1.01K	1,223	05-10 18:09
Young-Attacker-Beast 0x77c3…d4a0	522	$12.6K	783	05-06 19:56
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	514	$38.1K	4,073	05-10 18:14