Rubbery-Populist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

300

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$3.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$6

Politics

2% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-15 03:58
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 09:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb383a…
11-06 09:22:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2edb…
11-04 04:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26912a…
11-03 17:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd837a…
11-02 06:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82e896…
10-31 15:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf7a14…
10-30 15:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32fe35…
10-29 17:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064191…
10-29 09:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96a9f…
10-28 08:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1188b…
10-27 10:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x831cd2…
10-26 09:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf295b4…
10-24 11:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe795d9…
10-22 10:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57d41a…
10-20 08:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7009a7…
10-19 09:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d4d4a…
10-18 10:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe49bc5…
10-17 15:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc732f…
10-16 14:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x890a75…
10-15 14:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5f21b…
10-14 10:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bcf32…
10-13 10:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1d3f5…
10-12 10:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7aece8…
10-11 09:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x649598…
10-08 12:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdafd99…
10-07 15:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd8697…
10-06 15:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5d96f…
10-05 08:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f6c7d…
10-03 09:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7dc4c5…
10-02 14:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78e912…
10-01 09:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37e068…
09-30 14:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3b353…
09-30 03:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd6096…
09-28 10:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x582fbd…
09-27 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaedb5…
09-25 16:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8a0c4…
09-24 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d297e…
09-23 10:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x003b46…
09-22 08:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0b0d8…
09-21 09:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bf070…
09-20 05:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f00cf…
09-19 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x995220…
09-18 07:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd15061…
09-17 04:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d0a3…
09-16 08:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30f6b2…
09-15 10:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2f12a…
09-14 09:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd86568…
09-13 03:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd73146…
09-11 09:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x741fe1…
09-10 09:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc61d0…
09-09 02:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b50bf…
09-08 06:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4b00d…
09-07 08:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x855156…
09-06 11:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc86019…
09-05 06:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10e83f…
09-04 01:04:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf0916…
09-02 07:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae2076…
08-30 14:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8938d8…
08-29 09:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x992666…
08-28 09:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdedbc…
08-27 09:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb49b2c…
08-26 08:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b43c7…
08-25 09:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc1663…
08-24 15:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cb083…
08-24 01:16:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15233a…
08-22 09:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5951e6…
08-21 08:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f3b70…
08-20 09:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf21225…
08-18 08:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5e78…
08-17 08:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b56b7…
08-16 14:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1308dc…
08-15 16:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf1d78…
08-14 07:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x580199…
08-13 09:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcbc3a0…
08-12 09:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3b4be…
08-11 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x763c39…
08-10 08:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77339f…
08-09 07:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bbc46…
08-08 07:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf0c05…
08-07 08:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83c2fb…
08-06 08:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fd02b…
08-05 08:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd06ae…
08-04 08:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb81913…
08-03 07:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x529ee9…
08-02 06:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c26c5…
08-01 07:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8feccc…
07-31 14:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a44d5…
07-30 07:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa98e0c…
07-29 07:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5017d9…
07-28 07:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f707b…
07-27 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacb455…
07-26 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83854f…
07-25 09:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff5617…
07-24 13:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xced798…
07-23 08:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe696d1…
07-22 02:13:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d7621…
07-21 09:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72e77f…
07-21 00:26:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d42ec…
07-20 08:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x346527…
07-18 23:32:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b512d…