Reliable-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$394

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

221

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-03 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

68% 54% +$81

Politics

26% 53% -$149

Sports

3% 0% -$366

Pop-Culture

2% 67% +$19

Crypto

1% 40% +$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 2	10	$705	429	429	+0	No	+$9	02-08 15:52
will the liberal democratic party win by between 190 and 219 seats	4	$595	342	342	+0	No	+$88	02-08 12:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$520	507	507	+0	No	+$18	03-05 07:11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$504	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	01-26 13:43
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$499	317	317	+0	No	+$4	02-07 08:06
will spyglass pharma incs market cap be between 500m and 550m at market close on ipo day	2	$480	279	279	+0	No	+$6	02-06 18:39
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	14	$437	666	666	+0	No	-$12	03-23 12:49
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	3	$330	200	200	+0	Yes	+$46	02-04 20:11
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	4	$322	200	200	+0	No	+$2	01-28 02:33
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	4	$308	200	200	+0	No	+$4	02-04 15:09
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	3	$306	200	200	+0	No	-$14	01-28 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	4	$296	218	218	+0	Yes	+$16	03-14 14:16
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	5	$288	243	243	+0	Yes	-$37	03-20 02:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$282	392	392	+0	Yes	+$8	03-05 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?	3	$275	168	168	+0	Yes	+$14	05-08 08:19
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during remarks on january 28	3	$273	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	01-28 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?	2	$264	156	156	+0	No	+$19	05-20 16:36
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$255	236	236	+0	Yes	+$5	03-25 03:51
will silver si hit low 95 by end of february 137 363 345 839 282 643 945 788	2	$252	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	01-28 13:06
Will the US strike Somalia next?	14	$227	600	600	+0	Yes	+$29	02-01 15:15
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	4	$224	186	186	+0	Yes	+$5	03-04 16:22
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	4	$221	300	300	+0	No	-$63	01-30 03:45
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	9	$210	500	500	+0	No	+$28	01-31 20:35
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$198	211	211	+0	No	+$8	03-04 03:15
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	8	$194	400	400	+0	No	+$14	01-31 08:41
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$190	127	127	+0	No	+$28	03-06 12:43
will iran strike mina al ahmadi refinery by march 31	4	$187	151	151	+0	Yes	+$3	03-03 08:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$183	265	265	+0	No	-$19	03-22 02:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$182	314	314	+0	Yes	-$18	03-22 02:35
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$173	133	133	+0	No	+$5	03-08 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 17:43:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xded92b…
07-30 01:46:41	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt38	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf54bd2…
07-30 01:46:35	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt76	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6db5ee…
07-24 14:30:24	ddog quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xb1a232…
07-24 08:05:28	ddog quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0a7067…
07-24 08:03:18	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt38	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x4e482d…
07-24 07:49:06	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xe671bf…
07-24 07:40:16	app quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt76	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x70e05c…
07-24 07:18:39	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb2c243…
07-18 13:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$11	0x838efd…
07-18 08:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6ba60a…
07-14 02:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf5cc2…
07-14 02:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xc5fa54…
07-14 02:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xbc36d8…
07-14 02:25:41	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 richie ramsay	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xa055c5…
07-14 02:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x513361…
07-14 02:20:25	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jonathan byrd	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x48aba7…
07-13 23:38:37	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 emiliano grillo	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x81836b…
07-13 23:29:16	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x29eaf7…
07-13 23:27:47	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 emiliano grillo	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x608f28…
07-13 23:02:05	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0x2fb074…
07-13 22:42:02	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd03e51…
07-13 22:05:20	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 emiliano grillo	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x41a10a…
07-13 22:03:23	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 emiliano grillo	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0ebbe6…
07-13 22:02:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jonathan byrd	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x730588…
07-13 22:01:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jonathan byrd	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0x19819d…
07-13 22:00:23	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jonathan byrd	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xf2912b…
07-13 21:59:56	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 richie ramsay	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xfa8d41…
07-13 21:57:34	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xeb720a…
07-13 21:22:29	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x018ddf…
07-13 21:07:43	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x88264b…
07-13 21:02:22	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 emiliano grillo	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbba9da…
07-13 20:55:17	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xfd0f76…
07-05 00:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xba563f…
07-04 16:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xf877fb…
07-04 16:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x693aae…
07-04 15:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc64daa…
07-04 15:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0e5a7e…
07-04 15:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x6b11c5…
07-04 15:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd1b9f9…
06-27 22:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xa03511…
06-27 22:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x2557cf…
06-27 21:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xf58e13…
06-27 18:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa223f1…
06-27 04:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xc8bb91…
06-27 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x7a672c…
06-27 03:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x4067b9…
06-27 03:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xcae952…
06-22 01:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x952e10…
06-22 01:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x5319df…
06-21 23:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x157795…
06-21 22:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x86373e…
06-21 22:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xca2536…
06-21 22:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xb91963…
06-21 22:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1ba452…
06-21 21:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x08d990…
06-21 19:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xde47c4…
06-21 17:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x3ec4fb…
06-21 17:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xaf2262…
06-21 16:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x4ba774…
06-21 15:30:55	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xe0ab0d…
06-21 15:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x101e9b…
06-21 15:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xa8afaf…
06-21 15:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe5e798…
06-21 10:43:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x47a7b2…
06-21 10:20:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x769fb8…
06-21 02:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x389593…
06-21 02:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x105f79…
06-20 09:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x2bf741…
06-20 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xcde05e…
06-20 07:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x9ea1a1…
06-20 07:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcc932f…
06-20 07:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xd4b42c…
06-20 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x15f4d3…
06-20 06:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0xc097eb…
06-20 05:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0x7a1f94…
06-20 05:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xf4d339…
06-20 01:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x127285…
06-20 01:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x1640bb…
06-20 01:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xbce94b…
06-20 01:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x68e04a…
06-11 02:57:01	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x6ee99e…
06-11 02:51:00	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x93d28a…
06-11 01:46:16	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0xf8354e…
06-07 06:40:51	will perplexitys valuation hit low 17b by june 30	Yes	SELL	106	26¢	$28	0xb13cde…
06-06 01:36:49	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	SELL	115	18¢	$21	0x4ac11f…
06-06 01:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x092f57…
06-06 01:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	37	20¢	$7	0x0741d6…
06-06 00:52:36	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	135	10¢	$14	0x8f15c9…
06-06 00:52:30	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by june 30	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x6ed12b…
06-06 00:51:57	will perplexitys valuation hit low 17b by june 30	Yes	BUY	106	13¢	$13	0x7c4eb2…
06-06 00:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x2ac184…
06-06 00:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xdef9ed…
06-06 00:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x834bed…
06-06 00:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa773a5…
06-05 23:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x18d616…
06-05 23:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xec79a4…
06-05 23:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x86c314…
06-05 23:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xa92fff…
06-03 09:04:19	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x0f28f2…