Failing-Caftan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-07 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

34% 100% +$0

Other

27% 67% +$6

Sports

26% 0% $-35

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$282	640	640	+0	open	—	03-22 18:01
atp nakashi cilic 2026 03 20	2	$169	119	119	+0	open	—	03-22 02:51
btc updown 5m 1773408000	2	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	03-13 13:25
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$117	70	70	+0	open	—	05-02 08:59
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 11:06
wta parks gauff 2026 03 21	2	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	03-22 01:00
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	03-22 02:27
btc updown 5m 1773415800	3	$96	61	49	+12	open	—	03-13 15:36
nba lal orl 2026 03 21 1h total 118pt5	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	03-22 00:11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo	2	$77	41	41	+0	Alejandro Tabilo	+$5	05-06 18:53
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)	2	$76	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 08:23
btc updown 5m 1773418200	2	$69	67	67	+0	open	—	03-13 16:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatsch	3	$66	36	36	+0	Solana Sierra	+$6	05-06 16:44
btc updown 5m 1773404700	2	$59	35	34	+0	open	—	03-13 12:30
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	1	$54	84	0	+84	open	—	03-22 01:02
btc updown 5m 1774202700	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	03-22 18:10
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$47	77	77	+0	No	$-35	05-06 20:37
btc updown 5m 1773404400	3	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 12:25
btc updown 5m 1773404100	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 12:20
bun pau fre 2026 03 22 fre	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-22 18:28
btc updown 5m 1773403500	2	$34	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 12:10
btc updown 5m 1773405000	2	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	03-13 12:33
btc updown 5m 1773406500	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-13 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-02 07:23
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-02 11:12
btc updown 5m 1773418800	1	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	03-13 16:23
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 03:03
sea rom lec 2026 03 22 total 1pt5	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	03-22 18:29
btc updown 5m 1773405600	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-13 12:45
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)	1	$18	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:24:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Roman Andres Burruchaga	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3cafe…
05-06 20:37:32	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0xcf2992…
05-06 18:57:13	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0x635bab…
05-06 18:53:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xed272a…
05-06 16:45:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x51e178…
05-06 16:44:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatsch	Solana Sierra	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x74cd62…
05-06 13:59:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatsch	Solana Sierra	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0b9725…
05-06 13:58:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatsch	Solana Sierra	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xd0a70b…
05-06 13:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6fb95…
05-02 11:12:26	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tai Tuivasa	BUY	36	68¢	$25	0x442d85…
05-02 11:06:22	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Cam Rowston	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x7d679c…
05-02 10:51:22	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Cam Rowston	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xe7c8c3…
05-02 09:03:06	UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ben Johnston	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xee04eb…
05-02 08:59:10	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x65ab1e…
05-02 08:24:00	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x47fac5…
05-02 08:23:02	UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)	Kody Steele	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x0283ca…
05-02 07:53:42	UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0xa2f3ae…
05-02 07:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xdfdc45…
05-02 03:03:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x53e3e2…
03-22 18:29:51	sea rom lec 2026 03 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	38	57¢	$21	0x0e6ec1…
03-22 18:28:11	bun pau fre 2026 03 22 fre	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x1e7369…
03-22 18:23:03	bun pau fre 2026 03 22 fre	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x284c88…
03-22 18:19:47	btc updown 5m 1774203300	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x4d676b…
03-22 18:10:49	btc updown 5m 1774202700	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x77b4b2…
03-22 18:09:09	btc updown 5m 1774202700	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x771981…
03-22 18:01:15	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	640	4¢	$26	0x8eefca…
03-22 08:39:31	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	640	40¢	$256	0xc3a7cf…
03-22 02:51:09	atp nakashi cilic 2026 03 20	Marin Cilic	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x80b51e…
03-22 02:48:49	btc updown 5m 1774147500	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9c4f61…
03-22 02:27:33	cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	Arkansas Razorbacks	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xcce242…
03-22 02:03:27	atp nakashi cilic 2026 03 20	Marin Cilic	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x314eb5…
03-22 01:02:11	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Magic	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0x28b3a8…
03-22 01:00:19	wta parks gauff 2026 03 21	Coco Gauff	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x244b9b…
03-22 00:22:43	wta parks gauff 2026 03 21	Coco Gauff	BUY	55	83¢	$45	0x557f0c…
03-22 00:11:41	nba lal orl 2026 03 21 1h total 118pt5	Over	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xbaf07e…
03-21 23:15:05	nba lal orl 2026 03 21 1h total 118pt5	Over	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xad4df2…
03-13 16:23:35	btc updown 5m 1773418800	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x565a85…
03-13 16:15:55	btc updown 5m 1773418500	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x57e265…
03-13 16:14:37	btc updown 5m 1773418200	Up	SELL	67	18¢	$12	0x84ba9e…
03-13 16:12:51	btc updown 5m 1773418200	Up	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x3fedcd…
03-13 15:45:39	btc updown 5m 1773416700	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xbd0bab…
03-13 15:42:59	btc updown 5m 1773416400	Up	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xeb160c…
03-13 15:41:01	btc updown 5m 1773416400	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1852b0…
03-13 15:36:05	btc updown 5m 1773415800	Up	SELL	49	100¢	$48	0x03e4a2…
03-13 15:33:39	btc updown 5m 1773415800	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x99955b…
03-13 15:30:57	btc updown 5m 1773415800	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xd7696f…
03-13 15:26:23	btc updown 5m 1773415500	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0ae8df…
03-13 13:25:33	btc updown 5m 1773408000	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x72b1db…
03-13 13:21:41	btc updown 5m 1773408000	Down	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xaa155e…
03-13 13:01:09	btc updown 5m 1773406500	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x478ca6…
03-13 13:00:35	btc updown 5m 1773406800	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x29e61b…
03-13 12:55:45	btc updown 5m 1773406500	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1f8589…
03-13 12:45:31	btc updown 5m 1773405600	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8ea2aa…
03-13 12:44:13	btc updown 5m 1773405600	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x586da4…
03-13 12:37:43	btc updown 5m 1773405300	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x3c0b26…
03-13 12:33:27	btc updown 5m 1773405000	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd87966…
03-13 12:31:27	btc updown 5m 1773405000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9dbd3a…
03-13 12:30:29	btc updown 5m 1773404700	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x3643fe…
03-13 12:26:53	btc updown 5m 1773404700	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x400890…
03-13 12:25:47	btc updown 5m 1773404400	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x452274…
03-13 12:22:27	btc updown 5m 1773404400	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x6d323c…
03-13 12:22:15	btc updown 5m 1773404400	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe57712…
03-13 12:20:41	btc updown 5m 1773404100	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x59da61…
03-13 12:19:15	btc updown 5m 1773404100	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xda1fca…
03-13 12:10:39	btc updown 5m 1773403500	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x1450b9…
03-13 12:06:45	btc updown 5m 1773403500	Up	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x7dcc9d…
03-13 11:49:03	btc updown 5m 1773402300	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb306eb…