Curvy-Garage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.2%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-13 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

40% 50% +$0

Other

39% 0% $-2

Tech

18% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	15	$2.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	open	—	04-16 06:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$1.8K	983	983	+0	open	—	04-16 07:26
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$1.5K	762	762	+0	open	—	04-09 09:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-09 06:14
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-16 05:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 12:56
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-27 09:07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 09:52
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$1.0K	902	902	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$964	500	500	+0	open	—	04-06 05:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	6	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	04-02 07:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$728	400	400	+0	open	—	04-09 05:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$654	600	600	+0	open	—	05-09 10:09
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	4	$565	1,119	1,096	+23	open	—	03-21 20:51
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 11:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 08:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	7	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:13
italy nordio reform referendum passes	4	$336	200	400	-200	open	—	03-23 10:39
will trump visit china by march 31	10	$311	157	157	+0	open	—	03-30 05:50
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	4	$232	200	200	+0	open	—	05-27 07:11
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	03-30 05:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 16:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 15:02
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	$-2	04-02 08:03
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 08:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 10:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	03-27 11:45
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	6	$128	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 04:19:07	will christian pulisic score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649594	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x078d9f…
06-13 04:19:01	will germany be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003082	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xef3f53…
06-13 04:18:54	marc guehi 20260609175104684	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xb18914…
06-13 04:18:45	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd923ef…
06-13 04:18:33	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd96a5e…
06-13 04:16:36	will christian pulisic score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649594	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6a7b91…
06-13 04:16:22	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x7847de…
06-13 04:16:21	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbf74de…
06-13 04:04:58	will germany be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003082	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa07281…
06-13 03:58:43	john stones 20260609175104683	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x42c269…
06-13 03:57:49	john stones 20260609175104683	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9e76e1…
06-13 03:57:21	marc guehi 20260609175104684	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x253a8f…
06-09 15:05:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	375	3¢	$12	0xf25ae7…
06-09 15:05:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x3c2b98…
06-04 17:50:45	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$7	0x8edb6c…
06-04 14:34:54	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x400e15…
06-04 13:40:06	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe66a41…
06-04 12:53:00	will spy dip to 730 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x6bfed5…
06-04 12:48:04	will spy dip to 730 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xeade4d…
06-04 12:16:12	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	7¢	$22	0x1edfc8…
06-01 17:27:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x886c89…
06-01 16:27:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	375	3¢	$12	0x6eb4ee…
06-01 16:25:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbd709c…
06-01 16:21:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	7¢	$23	0x691d2c…
06-01 16:16:10	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x3a31fa…
05-31 09:16:31	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xfda1e0…
05-31 09:16:31	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x36e41a…
05-31 09:16:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x791102…
05-31 09:16:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4c1817…
05-31 09:16:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba6013…
05-31 09:16:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31ae66…
05-31 09:16:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xefa401…
05-31 09:16:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1b54d…
05-31 09:16:24	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf6be28…
05-31 09:12:40	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x570b7a…
05-31 09:08:55	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x82630d…
05-31 08:20:58	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xfb6546…
05-31 08:16:18	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x97e891…
05-31 08:08:27	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2e58ba…
05-31 07:56:10	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc26a38…
05-31 07:49:47	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x06d2c1…
05-31 07:40:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x827cd4…
05-31 07:34:25	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xff11e3…
05-31 07:34:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xae236f…
05-31 07:34:04	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa8ab7f…
05-31 07:27:19	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x49b731…
05-31 07:26:41	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2451f5…
05-31 07:24:58	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4a733b…
05-31 07:23:27	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5d36ec…
05-31 07:17:07	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x6713c8…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5f6df…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x99d778…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93e749…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd591ea…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa927fa…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7fa238…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x69777a…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4cb115…
05-31 07:16:25	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22c397…
05-27 08:32:56	Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x7ed16a…
05-27 07:37:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x5de559…
05-27 07:36:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$13	0x758702…
05-27 07:32:34	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$13	0xfeea9c…
05-27 07:32:23	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	25¢	$10	0xc1c342…
05-27 07:11:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x553ae2…
05-27 07:02:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x37d948…
05-27 06:53:13	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xc639e9…
05-27 06:48:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x02af10…
05-27 06:23:58	Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x6b90e3…
05-19 04:46:40	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x242849…
05-19 04:46:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12a74a…
05-18 16:14:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xfcbd91…
05-18 15:16:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x46d3be…
05-18 15:02:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xdd3897…
05-18 14:46:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x0e38d5…
05-18 14:43:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x94025e…
05-18 14:38:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	93	96¢	$89	0x4a3ddb…
05-18 13:54:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb50e47…
05-09 10:09:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	54¢	$324	0x0c77b2…
05-09 10:08:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	55¢	$330	0x78c6f5…
05-07 11:30:38	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x00533f…
05-07 11:23:40	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x0fb5d1…
05-07 11:07:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	105	98¢	$104	0x98037b…
05-07 10:15:08	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x771da7…
05-07 08:27:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$189	0x61f018…
05-07 07:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xcda3f4…
05-07 06:13:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	178	95¢	$170	0x1203e9…
05-07 05:58:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x23187c…
05-07 05:54:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x705703…
05-07 05:53:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7226d3…
05-07 05:34:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	171	95¢	$163	0xe70550…
05-07 05:33:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x12b8dc…
05-07 05:29:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbfb5e1…
05-02 15:59:20	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x447e8c…
04-28 13:32:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0xb9afb5…
04-28 13:29:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xf94a72…
04-28 13:09:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	500	84¢	$420	0xa7b7c0…
04-28 13:03:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x30ab55…
04-28 12:56:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	600	96¢	$578	0xe295e0…
04-28 12:49:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$578	0x5f5f11…