Curvy-Garage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.2%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-29 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-2

Politics

39% 50% +$0

Tech

17% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	15	$2.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	open	—	04-16 06:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$1.8K	983	983	+0	open	—	04-16 07:26
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$1.5K	762	762	+0	open	—	04-09 09:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-09 06:14
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-16 05:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 12:56
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-27 09:07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 09:52
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$1.0K	902	902	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$964	500	500	+0	open	—	04-06 05:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	6	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	04-02 07:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$728	400	400	+0	open	—	04-09 05:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$654	600	600	+0	open	—	05-09 10:09
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	4	$565	1,119	1,096	+23	open	—	03-21 20:51
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 11:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 08:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	7	$381	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:13
italy nordio reform referendum passes	4	$336	200	400	-200	open	—	03-23 10:39
will trump visit china by march 31	10	$311	157	157	+0	open	—	03-30 05:50
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	4	$232	200	200	+0	open	—	05-27 07:11
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	03-30 05:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$214	198	198	+0	open	—	07-02 12:25
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$198	238	238	+0	open	—	06-17 17:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 16:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 15:02
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	$-2	04-02 08:03
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 08:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 12:12:56	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x0c513c…
07-29 12:10:36	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x53622c…
07-29 12:05:41	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x2627eb…
07-29 12:05:08	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x843d6b…
07-29 11:35:45	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x9542c5…
07-29 11:34:50	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0xda8b86…
07-29 11:31:29	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0xef4ba9…
07-29 11:31:11	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x461a2b…
07-29 11:30:20	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x18ede9…
07-29 11:29:33	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x26ae9b…
07-10 09:55:35	will the announcers say golden goal during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543756	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x60f828…
07-10 09:20:40	will the announcers say cleat during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543757	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x83cfbb…
07-10 08:59:22	will the announcers say ronaldo during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543767	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf2695f…
07-10 08:55:11	will the announcers say ronaldo during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543767	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5013b9…
07-10 08:50:07	will the announcers say cleat during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543757	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x13f46b…
07-10 08:48:43	will the announcers say golden goal during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543756	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0863a5…
07-10 08:32:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x78abed…
07-10 08:32:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x85ee79…
07-10 08:32:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x46cc9a…
07-07 09:50:11	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	122	49¢	$60	0xfae678…
07-02 12:25:34	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0xa54163…
07-02 12:25:01	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	198	52¢	$104	0x20e11e…
07-01 18:26:59	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	198	56¢	$110	0xa58f82…
06-30 12:22:31	will lab reach 20 before 2027	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe086c2…
06-29 11:42:58	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x36f1f2…
06-29 11:42:14	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8e27df…
06-29 11:35:52	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x2b0fd6…
06-29 11:35:04	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6b5ff9…
06-29 11:19:05	will mu reach 1170 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x7970c5…
06-29 11:18:38	will mu reach 1170 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x66a9b6…
06-29 11:06:28	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xbdd87b…
06-29 11:06:13	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x975e93…
06-29 10:04:31	will lab reach 22 before 2027	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xfb240a…
06-29 09:59:08	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x54e089…
06-29 09:59:01	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x072fc4…
06-29 09:58:08	will lab reach 22 before 2027	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x004b76…
06-29 09:57:59	will lab reach 20 before 2027	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x9834a9…
06-29 09:57:44	will lab dip to 10 before 2027	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x39d1d2…
06-29 09:54:19	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x4e935a…
06-29 09:47:20	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x43f77c…
06-29 09:46:10	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x265365…
06-29 09:45:55	will lab dip to 6 before 2027	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9c4910…
06-19 09:17:49	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505076	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x6d9e05…
06-19 09:16:16	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505076	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x831805…
06-17 17:23:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	41¢	$98	0x4ba614…
06-17 17:23:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xebeda1…
06-14 02:59:51	john stones 20260609175104683	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5de45a…
06-13 04:19:07	will christian pulisic score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649594	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x078d9f…
06-13 04:19:01	will germany be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003082	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xef3f53…
06-13 04:18:54	marc guehi 20260609175104684	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xb18914…
06-13 04:18:45	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd923ef…
06-13 04:18:33	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd96a5e…
06-13 04:16:36	will christian pulisic score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649594	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6a7b91…
06-13 04:16:22	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x7847de…
06-13 04:16:21	joao cancelo 20260609175357532	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbf74de…
06-13 04:04:58	will germany be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003082	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa07281…
06-13 03:58:43	john stones 20260609175104683	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x42c269…
06-13 03:57:49	john stones 20260609175104683	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9e76e1…
06-13 03:57:21	marc guehi 20260609175104684	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x253a8f…
06-09 15:05:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	375	3¢	$12	0xf25ae7…
06-09 15:05:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x3c2b98…
06-04 17:50:45	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$7	0x8edb6c…
06-04 14:34:54	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x400e15…
06-04 13:40:06	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe66a41…
06-04 12:53:00	will spy dip to 730 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x6bfed5…
06-04 12:48:04	will spy dip to 730 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xeade4d…
06-04 12:16:12	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	7¢	$22	0x1edfc8…
06-01 17:27:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x886c89…
06-01 16:27:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	375	3¢	$12	0x6eb4ee…
06-01 16:25:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbd709c…
06-01 16:21:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	7¢	$23	0x691d2c…
06-01 16:16:10	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x3a31fa…
05-31 09:16:31	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xfda1e0…
05-31 09:16:31	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x36e41a…
05-31 09:16:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x791102…
05-31 09:16:30	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4c1817…
05-31 09:16:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba6013…
05-31 09:16:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31ae66…
05-31 09:16:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xefa401…
05-31 09:16:26	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1b54d…
05-31 09:16:24	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf6be28…
05-31 09:12:40	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x570b7a…
05-31 09:08:55	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x82630d…
05-31 08:20:58	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xfb6546…
05-31 08:16:18	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x97e891…
05-31 08:08:27	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2e58ba…
05-31 07:56:10	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc26a38…
05-31 07:49:47	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x06d2c1…
05-31 07:40:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x827cd4…
05-31 07:34:25	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xff11e3…
05-31 07:34:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xae236f…
05-31 07:34:04	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xa8ab7f…
05-31 07:27:19	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x49b731…
05-31 07:26:41	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2451f5…
05-31 07:24:58	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4a733b…
05-31 07:23:27	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5d36ec…
05-31 07:17:07	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x6713c8…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5f6df…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x99d778…
05-31 07:16:27	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93e749…