Sticky-Decimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

110

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-06 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

49% 71% -$717

Crypto

30% 76% -$282

Other

20% 89% -$144

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	3	$964	505	505	+0	No	+$28	03-08 02:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	5	$777	751	370	+381	No	-$47	03-06 02:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	19	$583	700	0	+700	No	+$117	03-01 13:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$550	558	0	+558	No	+$8	04-13 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 08:35 UTC	3	$510	563	0	+563	Up	-$2	03-02 08:39
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$442	500	0	+500	No	+$58	03-01 13:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	3	$382	810	0	+810	Yes	-$382	03-07 15:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$378	200	200	+0	No	+$18	03-07 00:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$371	200	200	+0	No	+$28	03-04 05:17
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	3	$361	311	100	+211	No	+$14	03-09 09:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$300	536	0	+536	Yes	-$300	08-06 09:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$300	367	0	+367	Yes	-$300	03-01 14:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	3	$295	802	50	+752	No	-$196	03-05 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 02:00 UTC	3	$221	112	112	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 02:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$200	409	0	+409	Yes	+$209	03-08 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:40 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	03-05 11:44
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$200	215	0	+215	No	+$15	03-09 09:33
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	1	$200	220	0	+220	No	+$20	03-08 23:37
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	03-01 14:23
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	04-10 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 23:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	05-03 15:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	2	$172	187	0	+187	open	—	05-20 15:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$170	200	0	+200	Yes	+$30	05-18 08:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$164	100	100	+0	No	+$20	05-21 15:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	4	$152	700	0	+700	Yes	-$152	03-02 06:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:25 UTC	2	$132	134	0	+134	Up	+$2	03-03 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:45 UTC	3	$130	134	0	+134	Down	+$4	03-07 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:50 UTC	3	$130	149	0	+149	Down	+$19	03-03 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	4	$130	133	0	+133	Down	+$3	03-05 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:47:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xf88a59…
06-08 09:51:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa46269…
06-08 09:51:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5e76a…
06-01 00:22:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x420b5f…
06-01 00:20:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x22281a…
06-01 00:20:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf5f90d…
06-01 00:20:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39648d…
05-31 23:57:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe31513…
05-31 23:57:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xefc5b2…
05-21 15:03:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x929494…
05-21 15:02:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf3018a…
05-20 15:40:48	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xee43c6…
05-20 15:40:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x0c2cb5…
05-20 14:27:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x5ea581…
05-18 08:47:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x69651c…
05-18 08:41:11	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x45610b…
05-06 08:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x48a3c8…
05-03 15:49:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x813575…
04-16 15:13:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf4ceae…
04-13 12:08:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x2a28c0…
04-10 15:28:41	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x8d4442…
04-07 14:13:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0xeb1288…
04-06 14:47:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x380ef0…
04-06 14:46:27	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe69f78…
04-06 14:46:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd8370e…
04-05 01:15:05	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6bd406…
04-05 01:13:13	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x030f88…
04-05 01:13:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x973887…
03-30 08:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x154228…
03-30 08:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa36e4f…
03-30 00:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x09c55b…
03-23 10:55:27	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x80a9ff…
03-17 07:24:15	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x945132…
03-12 00:49:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x7531d1…
03-09 23:29:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xee592e…
03-09 23:28:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xf6700c…
03-09 23:28:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4e21ae…
03-09 09:34:57	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x81ab6f…
03-09 09:33:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x3aeb81…
03-09 01:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x897bcc…
03-09 01:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xa9989a…
03-09 01:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x448ba3…
03-08 23:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfc3498…
03-08 23:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x915848…
03-08 23:37:05	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x8741b0…
03-08 12:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x045646…
03-08 12:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x17341a…
03-08 06:09:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	BUY	409	49¢	$200	0x02734d…
03-08 02:07:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	SELL	505	98¢	$496	0x6eb6a2…
03-07 15:16:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xc7a353…
03-07 15:15:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	610	49¢	$300	0xd2973a…
03-07 04:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbd8399…
03-07 04:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc126da…
03-07 04:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe417c5…
03-07 04:47:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x06ca32…
03-07 00:50:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xf95e30…
03-07 00:50:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x407bb3…
03-06 16:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x99a9ea…
03-06 16:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc99619…
03-06 15:17:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	125	41¢	$51	0xca7431…
03-06 15:16:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	75	41¢	$31	0x3f8986…
03-06 15:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x81f428…
03-06 15:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x70fa3b…
03-06 15:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x76cd4b…
03-06 15:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0d4041…
03-06 15:02:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3f8d84…
03-06 14:59:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	137	80¢	$110	0xd6fef9…
03-06 14:58:55	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x07445c…
03-06 14:57:21	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x040c4b…
03-06 05:46:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd94792…
03-06 02:29:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc13a60…
03-06 02:02:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	SELL	370	99¢	$365	0x142844…
03-05 23:12:31	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x614f2b…
03-05 23:12:05	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x46003b…
03-05 23:11:31	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x556002…
03-05 23:09:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x935d7b…
03-05 13:54:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x23f1fe…
03-05 13:54:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x7323d1…
03-05 13:53:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x21a822…
03-05 12:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdeba07…
03-05 12:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x1eac99…
03-05 12:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x334bd9…
03-05 11:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xbe8008…
03-05 11:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47686b…
03-05 11:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0fe0a3…
03-05 11:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x48118f…
03-05 10:58:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x20a63d…
03-05 09:53:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb86e5c…
03-05 09:52:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc32897…
03-05 09:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbdf4ef…
03-05 09:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8ccfa8…
03-05 07:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8ca4d2…
03-05 07:29:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cd681…
03-05 07:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x63461e…
03-05 07:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7a817f…
03-05 07:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x4061c3…
03-05 02:12:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x4b4db4…
03-05 00:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xacbd81…
03-05 00:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82f8c7…
03-05 00:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06cc38…