Messy-Weakness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

286

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% -$3

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-29 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-28 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-27 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-25 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-22 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-20 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-17 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-16 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-15 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-14 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-12 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-11 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-08 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-07 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 5?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-05 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	10-03 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-02 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	10-01 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-30 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	09-28 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$17	17	+17	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	1	$16	17	+17	No	+$0	09-24 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	09-23 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	09-22 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	09-21 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2e91ec…
10-28 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x37d3ec…
10-27 12:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb50ae4…
10-26 10:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9a4e12…
10-25 09:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc33259…
10-22 10:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe6df53…
10-20 08:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5bd41e…
10-19 10:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3911ff…
10-18 15:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x277644…
10-17 16:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ac973…
10-16 16:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc0490d…
10-15 14:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdf18a5…
10-14 13:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc72aec…
10-13 11:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x801a45…
10-12 12:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xedd208…
10-11 10:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x693b71…
10-08 12:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbccfb5…
10-07 07:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2e108b…
10-05 13:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x656f9c…
10-03 10:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x58acc3…
10-02 14:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x88e73c…
10-01 13:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6c12ad…
09-30 07:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8f12a2…
09-28 14:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x31a23b…
09-27 11:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe30b91…
09-26 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4544c9…
09-24 09:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xa8dcd8…
09-23 10:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1a376…
09-22 09:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbbc379…
09-21 14:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1ebd2…
09-20 06:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x09899a…
09-19 11:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb8849a…
09-18 09:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd43326…
09-17 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbd5e5…
09-16 09:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdf6558…
09-15 14:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3087be…
09-13 08:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdbffa2…
09-11 10:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0afb68…
09-10 09:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaba687…
09-09 08:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc73809…
09-08 13:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x942cab…
09-07 09:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1579e2…
09-06 12:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7efb22…
09-05 09:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa0aee5…
09-04 03:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeb1287…
09-02 08:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc3ce92…
08-30 14:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe8aeaf…
08-29 10:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa0507d…
08-28 10:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3c1e14…
08-27 09:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7c2ff7…
08-26 08:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeb5245…
08-25 09:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1ab313…
08-24 15:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x235c50…
08-24 01:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbef592…
08-22 10:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc5d119…
08-21 09:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x12804f…
08-20 12:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2a784b…
08-18 09:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7c95f0…
08-17 09:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1fce17…
08-16 14:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4bd61b…
08-14 07:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb9d1da…
08-13 09:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5930d9…
08-12 09:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6dbd7c…
08-11 07:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe0388d…
08-10 09:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd37793…
08-09 07:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0dcb38…
08-08 08:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb399ae…
08-07 10:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x20209d…
08-06 08:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4085c3…
08-05 08:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f8078…
08-04 09:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43c80b…
08-03 08:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x59ad5b…
08-02 06:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xa4ea19…
08-01 07:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7cd226…
07-30 08:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x741502…
07-29 07:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8da99d…
07-28 08:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x129091…
07-27 10:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf9045…
07-26 08:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xac4faa…
07-25 09:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x178063…
07-24 14:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa3ea04…
07-23 08:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b6350…
07-22 02:18:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa29cc9…
07-21 06:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x31adf9…
07-20 12:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x142460…
07-19 05:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3e6e7f…
07-18 07:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x656510…
07-17 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd82e70…
07-15 22:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x742a93…
07-15 10:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x115891…
07-14 09:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc23028…
07-13 09:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad6574…
07-12 07:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb34c6…
07-11 10:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x74535a…
07-10 16:31:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ec065…
07-09 09:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x71fde3…
07-08 10:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x337f10…
07-07 08:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x565c4e…
07-06 03:09:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x054907…
07-05 15:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf29b28…