Clear-Development — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-21 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% $-36

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up		+7	$-0	4¢	$0	+$1	04-27 10:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776940500	2	$72	100	94	+6	open	—	04-23 10:38
btc updown 5m 1776942900	2	$54	41	40	+2	open	—	04-23 11:18
btc updown 5m 1777060200	2	$54	39	38	+1	open	—	04-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$46	30	29	+1	open	—	04-26 10:20
btc updown 5m 1777051800	2	$40	32	31	+2	open	—	04-24 17:34
btc updown 5m 1777053300	2	$36	29	28	+1	open	—	04-24 17:58
btc updown 5m 1776946800	1	$35	67	0	+67	open	—	04-23 12:22
btc updown 5m 1776913200	2	$35	29	28	+1	open	—	04-23 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$34	31	29	+2	open	—	04-25 19:05
btc updown 5m 1776912300	2	$33	27	26	+1	open	—	04-23 02:48
btc updown 5m 1776934500	2	$33	24	23	+1	open	—	04-23 09:00
btc updown 5m 1776879300	2	$30	29	27	+1	open	—	04-22 17:38
btc updown 5m 1777056300	3	$29	29	25	+5	open	—	04-24 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776879600	2	$29	29	28	+1	open	—	04-22 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776931800	2	$29	23	22	+1	open	—	04-23 08:13
btc updown 5m 1777047300	2	$28	21	21	+1	open	—	04-24 16:18
btc updown 5m 1776927600	2	$27	38	36	+2	open	—	04-23 07:03
btc updown 5m 1776973200	2	$27	22	21	+1	open	—	04-23 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776935400	2	$26	31	30	+2	open	—	04-23 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$26	18	17	+1	open	—	04-27 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776915600	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 03:45
btc updown 5m 1777057800	2	$23	31	30	+2	open	—	04-24 19:13
btc updown 5m 1776932700	2	$22	24	22	+1	open	—	04-23 08:29
btc updown 5m 1776977400	2	$20	16	16	+1	open	—	04-23 20:54
btc updown 5m 1776939000	1	$20	95	0	+95	open	—	04-23 10:12
btc updown 5m 1776943800	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	04-23 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-24 20:06
btc updown 5m 1776940200	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-23 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776945300	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-23 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 14:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x196123…
05-21 14:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9d547f…
05-21 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x15d336…
05-21 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc82ba5…
05-21 13:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x096a38…
05-21 13:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb8d497…
05-21 13:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x033fc8…
05-21 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ef8a2…
05-21 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9c205d…
05-21 13:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xceacb9…
05-21 13:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x712d3f…
05-21 12:48:34	Michelsen vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe3ec0e…
05-21 07:59:05	Michelsen vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdc25a0…
05-21 07:56:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x60da5e…
05-21 07:55:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcce26c…
05-14 08:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2af66b…
05-14 08:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb47756…
05-14 08:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xab81e6…
05-14 08:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe52d53…
05-09 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x400786…
05-09 21:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x48a6d2…
05-07 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x2b3551…
05-07 15:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x392ea9…
05-07 15:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcee793…
05-07 14:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbd8c67…
05-07 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf587b5…
05-07 13:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9eb57a…
05-07 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x350030…
05-07 13:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x00fe9b…
05-07 12:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9c93b2…
05-07 12:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xaa7c05…
05-07 11:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7c955c…
05-05 19:21:40	Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 5, 4PM ET?	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xaae750…
05-01 11:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf93f3…
05-01 11:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x012661…
04-28 20:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x0b4c2d…
04-28 13:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe43cb3…
04-28 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc094ec…
04-27 18:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x7f6c91…
04-27 18:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdfab11…
04-27 17:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3bb81c…
04-27 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7478ef…
04-27 10:03:34	XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0xe0458f…
04-27 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa81396…
04-27 09:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0x08dd13…
04-27 08:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xe83b9e…
04-27 08:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x8d819a…
04-27 06:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xc9bcc8…
04-27 06:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc3dbb9…
04-27 06:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x490ddd…
04-27 05:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4644f6…
04-27 05:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc2f1d8…
04-27 05:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdaf154…
04-27 04:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xea4935…
04-27 04:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x076a18…
04-26 17:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbfe7b5…
04-26 17:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06bd9f…
04-26 17:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x10108e…
04-26 17:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe1fdd…
04-26 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x39897d…
04-26 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x9fb1a6…
04-26 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6dcbdb…
04-26 17:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x375578…
04-26 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0193e3…
04-26 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfe38f0…
04-26 17:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbc8d30…
04-26 17:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d0aff…
04-26 16:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x538122…
04-26 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8315c6…
04-26 16:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaef346…
04-26 13:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8cf0de…
04-26 13:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xb194ab…
04-26 13:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x03d788…
04-26 13:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x788f54…
04-26 13:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfa4da1…
04-26 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3e6a39…
04-26 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x450373…
04-26 11:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x164a4c…
04-26 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x573e38…
04-26 11:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ab6ac…
04-26 11:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfd45e3…
04-26 11:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x32d81e…
04-26 11:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x853b78…
04-26 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x20ff6e…
04-26 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xbaa202…
04-26 10:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x894baa…
04-26 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbf4bb9…
04-26 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xba4fe8…
04-26 09:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x756f9b…
04-26 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xee492c…
04-26 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaf3675…
04-26 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x815d6a…
04-26 08:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x46f712…
04-26 08:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x902592…
04-26 08:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x29cbeb…
04-26 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x186459…
04-26 07:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x79c39c…
04-26 06:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa053a0…
04-26 05:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd44b0a…
04-26 03:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0162b9…