Firm-Soup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$436

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

500

Trades

1,116

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 07-19 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

95% 40% -$398

Politics

4% 65% -$3

Sports

1% 0% -$37

Crypto

0% 75% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05?	2	$257	263	0	+263	No	+$6	06-05 23:05
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-18?	2	$138	127	127	+0	No	-$86	06-14 11:16
Will France win on 2026-06-08?	3	$137	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	06-05 15:21
Bahrain leading at halftime?	1	$113	123	0	+123	No	+$10	06-05 16:11
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	3	$94	66	30	+36	No	+$1	06-20 17:44
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?	15	$90	128	112	+16	Yes	-$7	05-29 08:45
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	5	$89	59	38	+21	No	+$1	06-19 19:45
Will England win?	4	$87	51	51	+0	No	+$1	06-29 10:14
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	5	$80	58	23	+35	No	+$0	06-19 23:50
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Draw at halftime?	1	$75	123	0	+123	Yes	-$75	06-05 16:11
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?	4	$75	81	81	+0	No	-$2	06-05 15:14
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	6	$73	52	52	+0	No	+$2	06-25 21:08
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	3	$71	49	36	+13	No	+$3	06-20 20:38
Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	20	$71	37	37	+0	Yes	-$3	06-02 09:19
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?	7	$71	622	0	+622	Yes	-$71	06-05 23:05
Germany leading at halftime?	9	$68	72	23	+49	No	+$19	06-20 21:20
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?	8	$67	71	42	+29	Yes	-$5	06-18 00:55
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28?	6	$65	57	57	+0	Yes	-$41	06-15 10:21
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	3	$63	45	20	+25	No	+$1	06-20 00:55
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	3	$61	42	21	+21	No	+$1	06-19 19:45
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	5	$61	58	23	+35	No	+$13	06-19 23:50
Will the match end in a draw?	3	$61	41	21	+20	No	+$1	06-06 13:06
Türkiye leading at halftime?	3	$59	40	21	+19	No	$0	06-20 03:46
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14?	10	$59	122	122	+0	Yes	-$39	06-13 21:35
Will the match end in a draw?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	-$1	06-28 17:05
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	4	$58	49	12	+37	No	+$3	06-18 17:54
Georgia leading at halftime?	1	$57	123	0	+123	No	+$66	06-05 16:11
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-16 23:39
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?	8	$51	72	23	+49	Yes	-$38	06-20 20:38
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-20?	2	$48	26	26	+0	No	-$3	06-20 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:11:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	41¢	$29	0x7696c8…
07-02 00:06:34	United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x6d16e6…
07-02 00:06:34	Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x691d22…
07-02 00:06:34	United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x59039d…
07-01 21:51:32	Senegal to win the second half?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9b7f61…
07-01 21:51:32	Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x8c2347…
07-01 21:51:32	Belgium to win the second half?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x2636e4…
07-01 21:13:25	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x613d4b…
07-01 21:13:14	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x10af2f…
07-01 20:24:52	Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x4eac78…
07-01 20:24:43	Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x336789…
07-01 16:42:53	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xda9985…
07-01 16:42:53	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x879dfd…
07-01 16:42:53	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0293f3…
07-01 16:06:58	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x5fc6b5…
07-01 16:06:47	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xb0dba0…
07-01 03:58:07	Mexico vs. Ecuador: Second half draw?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xfc0756…
07-01 03:58:07	Ecuador to win the second half?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xec8491…
07-01 03:58:07	Mexico to win the second half?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xb8fc86…
06-30 23:17:01	Will Botafogo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x78daee…
06-30 23:16:46	Will Botafogo FC vs. CR Brasil end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd6c3d2…
06-30 21:20:05	France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xdf5cc1…
06-30 21:20:05	Sweden leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x9bbed3…
06-30 21:20:05	France leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x4fed05…
06-30 17:20:38	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5b23b9…
06-30 17:20:37	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa38e58…
06-30 17:20:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2e91ed…
06-30 17:09:28	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xaa0e0a…
06-30 17:09:28	Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Norway?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x734944…
06-30 17:09:28	Norway to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x4af7a3…
06-30 15:05:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xfd2feb…
06-30 15:04:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1dd26…
06-30 01:19:19	Morocco leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x82261f…
06-30 01:19:19	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x540810…
06-30 01:19:19	Netherlands leading at halftime?	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x106b41…
06-29 22:24:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x4dc693…
06-29 22:24:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x391a63…
06-29 18:17:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x8d5e44…
06-29 18:17:02	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x7ee42a…
06-29 18:17:02	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x4d6827…
06-29 17:29:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x24cf21…
06-29 17:29:04	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x69b0c3…
06-29 17:25:11	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe0ead5…
06-29 17:25:11	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xcbae75…
06-29 17:25:01	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0fde58…
06-29 17:24:59	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcd3bee…
06-29 13:37:04	Goiás EC to score first vs. Ceará SC?	No	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x870656…
06-29 13:36:55	Goiás EC to score first vs. Ceará SC?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x8668d8…
06-29 13:35:55	Goiás EC to score first vs. Ceará SC?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x504cb0…
06-29 13:35:44	Goiás EC to score first vs. Ceará SC?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x7a0ea7…
06-29 10:14:46	Will England win?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x98ad06…
06-29 10:14:29	Will England win?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x6046a0…
06-28 19:45:10	South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x9d524f…
06-28 19:45:10	Canada leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x76c569…
06-28 19:45:10	South Africa leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x66b455…
06-28 18:16:28	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x51f26f…
06-28 18:16:17	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb0cd3f…
06-28 18:15:29	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0xbc509b…
06-28 18:15:19	Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth <2%?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe5e549…
06-28 17:29:01	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x42270d…
06-28 17:28:59	Will OC Safi vs. COD Meknès end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0d546a…
06-28 17:28:58	Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2d8bc5…
06-28 17:05:05	Will England win?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xd775ca…
06-28 17:05:05	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xa54333…
06-28 17:04:49	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb1d55a…
06-28 17:04:47	Will England win?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xe471e8…
06-28 12:24:25	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x2c4594…
06-28 12:24:07	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x54dd0c…
06-28 12:24:07	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1e79e8…
06-28 12:23:50	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x228c9e…
06-28 12:23:49	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xe31355…
06-28 12:23:31	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb635ec…
06-28 12:23:25	Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x29cf66…
06-28 12:23:23	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xe26a2f…
06-28 12:23:23	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x724b5c…
06-28 12:22:23	Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x9d9f10…
06-28 12:22:22	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd65cc5…
06-28 12:22:22	Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x7d74b4…
06-28 11:25:19	Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xe603f8…
06-28 11:25:04	Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd5e6bb…
06-28 09:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf08b56…
06-28 09:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 30?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x922571…
06-28 09:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x78e828…
06-28 09:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x6829e7…
06-28 09:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x443fda…
06-28 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdd1111…
06-28 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xc7647c…
06-28 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8a7778…
06-28 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4c115f…
06-28 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x29cde0…
06-26 22:28:59	Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xeef1e5…
06-26 22:28:59	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xbc9d96…
06-26 22:28:59	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xbae0f2…
06-26 22:28:59	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xab9997…
06-26 22:28:59	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x94e33b…
06-26 22:28:59	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x5721e9…
06-26 22:28:58	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf7e4bb…
06-26 22:28:58	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xab8af0…
06-26 22:28:58	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1521a1…
06-26 22:28:58	Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x00930d…