Short-Term-Backyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-04 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

86% 96% -$7

Politics

10% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-28 08:58
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 483	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-07 19:31
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:18
will russia capture pokrovka by march 31	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:31
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 16:01
will the faces of death score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-13 14:10
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-11 12:30
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 10:30
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-31 23:59
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 14:23
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 16:17
white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	04-03 03:21
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	05-05 19:08
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:45
will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-02 16:09
Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-18 15:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-18 10:47
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:22
Will Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-16 11:48
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:16
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-02 20:31
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-12 07:40
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-13 03:31
highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 58 59f	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-16 01:33
highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 28c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-13 02:40
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 10c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-15 03:51
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	06-24 23:55
highest temperature in singapore on march 14 2026 33corhigher	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-14 07:59
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-12 09:46
will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-16 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 17:16:58	will anyone say world champion during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701066 512	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xada760…
07-02 16:09:17	will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf032e5…
06-25 13:15:53	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe9a063…
06-24 23:55:26	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a64f3…
06-18 10:47:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xcf3f16…
06-18 08:20:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x6c7bde…
06-15 10:22:27	Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x88e938…
06-11 12:30:43	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa70ae2…
06-11 02:36:42	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xeac9bd…
06-10 22:32:12	Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb3e597…
06-07 22:45:16	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfa33c9…
06-06 12:59:01	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x4ec8f2…
06-02 20:31:27	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1a62f4…
06-01 19:31:49	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x901b09…
05-31 23:59:13	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa4a744…
05-30 02:04:12	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd8fc1e…
05-29 07:28:05	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaffb0f…
05-28 08:58:11	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xbd6636…
05-22 16:01:31	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x235a7e…
05-22 08:16:11	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaf14ab…
05-18 15:14:24	Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5dadcd…
05-18 13:16:06	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc1342b…
05-17 18:42:54	Will "Obsession" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xdf9cf9…
05-16 11:48:06	Will Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf26017…
05-15 00:04:46	Will Norway come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45568f…
05-09 10:18:37	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcb550f…
05-08 20:29:47	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x81aac3…
05-05 19:08:48	Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd3cdfd…
05-05 14:23:20	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x178295…
05-05 13:31:26	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xce9831…
05-04 08:06:26	Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xb5d921…
04-30 16:17:08	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x67a88c…
04-29 18:48:56	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4bcf94…
04-29 10:08:38	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7858c…
04-24 10:30:28	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf80ec2…
04-23 01:46:32	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x22fd32…
04-21 00:00:52	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe6b684…
04-16 08:18:40	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x87c40b…
04-13 14:10:13	will the faces of death score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6d9154…
04-12 22:43:03	will the faces of death score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3f017e…
04-07 19:31:11	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 483	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x990ab3…
04-06 22:56:45	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 483	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0d071b…
04-03 03:21:37	white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x392414…
04-02 23:42:07	white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2be754…
04-01 04:31:25	will russia capture pokrovka by march 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9dd55d…
03-30 09:08:22	will russia capture pokrovka by march 31	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x8760cf…
03-26 20:43:13	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x382fc3…
03-23 01:48:55	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x953010…
03-16 01:33:53	highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 58 59f	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0cb98c…
03-15 22:33:21	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 38c	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x21188f…
03-15 12:03:41	highest temperature in dallas on march 16 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xab313b…
03-15 03:51:43	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 10c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x138a0d…
03-14 13:21:41	highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 10c	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x78a1fd…
03-14 07:59:35	highest temperature in singapore on march 14 2026 33corhigher	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xef1c6e…
03-14 07:01:25	highest temperature in singapore on march 14 2026 33corhigher	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xcec8fe…
03-13 15:10:27	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 14 2026 31c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7cf7eb…
03-13 13:16:13	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x462ec8…
03-13 05:56:29	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x38751a…
03-13 04:05:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8928c0…
03-13 03:37:17	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc5293…
03-13 03:31:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xca773d…
03-13 02:40:35	highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 28c	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x62fca0…
03-12 20:46:37	highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x261ca2…
03-12 20:46:35	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 13 2026 17c	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0504bb…
03-12 17:33:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x555a47…
03-12 15:55:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd9f8bb…
03-12 13:10:05	highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 28c	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6c73bd…
03-12 10:54:43	highest temperature in paris on march 12 2026 12c	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1a4e05…
03-12 09:46:47	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7ca5d5…
03-12 07:40:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd5e6a6…
03-12 07:17:31	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x54a88e…
03-12 05:39:39	highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4838a1…
03-12 05:15:05	highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 58 59f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb7c6ac…
03-11 13:09:29	highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb01a0c…
03-10 05:39:13	highest temperature in tokyo on march 10 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1edb4…
03-09 14:01:13	will the bride score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf1f7a0…
03-08 20:15:39	will the bride score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3e738…
03-07 22:10:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 43forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab317c…
03-07 14:44:05	highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 8corbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa28eaa…
03-07 08:42:31	highest temperature in toronto on march 7 2026 8corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8403a…
03-06 17:27:59	highest temperature in lucknow on march 7 2026 38c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff63d3…
03-06 05:44:35	highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x64c8d6…
03-06 01:48:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb9dfc…
03-05 20:53:17	highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b1206…
03-05 16:29:17	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt0	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x509ef4…
03-05 15:29:09	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 5 2026 32c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf87d23…
03-05 11:47:31	will kiss all the time disco occasionally harry styles debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa39822…
03-05 05:15:33	highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa6e9c7…
03-05 02:07:27	highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65622d…
03-04 22:05:13	highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x97e553…
03-04 19:59:55	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 5 2026 32c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc5189c…
03-04 16:41:57	highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7ac6c2…
03-04 15:21:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xca3b49…
03-04 14:07:45	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 14c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b2e61…
03-04 12:18:17	highest temperature in lucknow on march 5 2026 38c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2418b…
03-04 09:51:17	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 7c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x937ddd…
03-04 09:24:41	will supha xayprasith mays win the 2026 arkansas governor democratic primary election	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9b22f…
03-04 06:38:37	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 7c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf7263e…
03-04 04:13:09	highest temperature in wellington on march 4 2026 19c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd9bc91…
03-03 22:05:29	highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x956c9c…