Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$137

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 11-08 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

36% 60% +$2

Sports

35% 29% -$14

Other

26% 56% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	11-06 23:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+5	$4	68¢	$3	$0	10-05 23:26
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	+5	$4	51¢	$3	-$1	11-05 06:28
Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	+5	$2	50¢	$3	+$0	11-07 12:22
Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	+5	$2	50¢	$2	$0	11-07 10:23
Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	+5	$2	48¢	$2	$0	11-08 00:01
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$0	11-08 01:24
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	+5	$3	13¢	$1	-$2	10-31 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:13:01	Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State	Texas Tech	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x477b09…
11-08 01:24:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2364a4…
11-08 00:54:04	Fresno State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0d25bb…
11-08 00:01:51	Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x698af0…
11-08 00:01:49	Penguins vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x068bcb…
11-07 12:22:58	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29c0cb…
11-07 10:23:34	Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b5ff5…
11-06 23:17:54	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf36e00…
11-06 19:19:51	Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	Ohio	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x161361…
11-06 18:56:10	Iowa vs. Northwestern	Northwestern	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1fa77a…
11-05 23:16:48	Bruins vs. Penguins	Bruins	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xae164e…
11-05 13:16:54	Flyers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x290b13…
11-05 06:28:43	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa04e1c…
11-03 05:15:24	Blues vs. Rangers	Blues	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x18e8b6…
11-02 12:28:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x798446…
11-02 05:31:03	Golden Knights vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xca3887…
11-02 05:31:03	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x805ae1…
11-01 18:09:00	Wild vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x365fd1…
11-01 14:12:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xba4fff…
10-31 18:07:03	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x089a2a…
10-31 18:07:01	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf51cd7…
10-26 03:18:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xeae6ce…
10-26 00:51:53	Panthers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfefbfb…
10-26 00:45:12	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfd4aa5…
10-15 22:37:21	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd29736…
10-15 22:37:21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x36f6b9…
10-07 11:47:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x329576…
10-06 03:51:52	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x33d9ef…
10-05 23:26:41	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd17e30…
10-05 23:26:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7f92c8…
10-05 09:42:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0587fc…
10-04 21:36:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x62f78d…
10-04 20:45:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf93a9f…
10-04 20:39:01	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7cfd58…
10-04 20:38:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8fabf1…
10-04 12:08:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x344803…
10-04 10:22:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6e7a5d…
10-04 09:52:32	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0c6f5b…
10-04 09:35:40	Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7bc453…
10-04 09:14:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb472e6…
10-04 09:02:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe4aba2…
10-04 09:02:07	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd032fe…
10-04 09:02:07	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6a1926…
10-04 09:02:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5a17ba…
10-04 09:02:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x39a372…
10-04 09:02:01	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb17782…
10-04 09:01:59	Cardinals vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9dbdbe…
10-04 09:01:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x76aec8…
10-04 09:01:59	Broncos vs. 49ers	Broncos	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4ab19e…
10-04 09:01:58	Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xce72a8…
10-04 09:01:58	wta bouzkov zhen 2026 10 04	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x404e09…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	10-04 09:02
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	10-04 09:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	10-05 09:42
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	11-05 06:28
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	10-05 23:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	No	+$1	10-04 09:02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	Yes	+$1	10-04 09:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$3	5	+5	No	+$2	10-04 20:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	+$2	10-04 09:02
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	+$2	10-26 03:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$3	5	+5	No	+$2	10-04 09:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	-$3	10-04 12:08
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	+$2	10-04 10:22
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	-$3	10-04 09:02
Bills vs. Rams	1	$3	5	+5	Bills	-$3	10-06 03:51
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	11-06 23:17
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$3	5	+5	Milwaukee Brewers	-$3	10-15 22:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?	1	$3	5	+5	Yes	+$2	11-02 12:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	10-31 18:07
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$3	5	+5	No	-$3	10-04 09:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$3	5	+5	No	-$3	11-01 14:12
wta bouzkov zhen 2026 10 04	1	$3	5	+5	Qinwen Zheng	+$2	10-04 09:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	1	$3	5	+5	No	-$3	10-04 09:14
Golden Knights vs. Penguins	1	$3	5	+5	Golden Knights	-$3	11-02 05:31
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	11-08 02:13
Fresno State vs. Utah State	1	$2	5	+5	Utah State	+$2	11-08 00:54
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	11-06 19:19
Wild vs. Capitals	1	$2	5	+5	Wild	-$2	11-01 18:09
Flyers vs. Flames	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	11-08 00:01
Golden Knights vs. Sabres	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	11-07 10:23