Thin-Competition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,081

lifetime

Volume

$6.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-11 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$100	61	61	+0	open	—	04-30 20:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$52	61	31	+30	open	—	04-30 20:54
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	04-30 20:43
btc updown 15m 1776155400	7	$49	31	31	+1	open	—	04-14 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$44	60	0	+60	open	—	04-30 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	04-30 20:58
btc updown 15m 1776988800	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 00:13
sol updown 15m 1776444300	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 16:58
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	04-30 20:34
sol updown 15m 1776448800	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 18:08
btc updown 15m 1776465900	4	$23	15	14	+0	open	—	04-17 22:57
btc updown 15m 1776669300	2	$22	17	16	+1	open	—	04-20 07:21
eth updown 15m 1776457800	2	$22	14	13	+0	open	—	04-17 20:37
sol updown 15m 1776523500	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 14:59
sol updown 15m 1776466800	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 23:11
eth updown 15m 1776522600	4	$21	14	13	+0	open	—	04-18 14:42
sol updown 15m 1776499200	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-18 08:12
btc updown 15m 1776485700	2	$21	13	12	+0	open	—	04-18 04:26
sol updown 15m 1776544200	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 20:44
eth updown 15m 1776492900	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 06:25
xrp updown 15m 1776582900	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 07:20
xrp updown 15m 1776461400	2	$21	13	12	+0	open	—	04-17 21:44
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	4	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 05:28
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 05:58
eth updown 15m 1776855600	2	$20	18	17	+1	open	—	04-22 11:14
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 02:41
sol updown 15m 1776475800	3	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 01:35
eth updown 15m 1776483000	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0x90efca…
05-11 14:18:17	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd9b5f1…
05-11 12:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x155ba0…
05-11 11:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0x0bbaa9…
05-11 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xed4863…
05-11 10:45:43	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x1ad67a…
05-11 10:16:51	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xaf2ba6…
05-11 10:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa9f7df…
05-11 09:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x3bbaee…
05-11 08:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x490b75…
05-11 08:25:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xe9094f…
05-11 08:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xcf729c…
05-11 08:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcb9a2a…
05-11 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x56dd33…
05-11 07:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x8bf0a9…
05-11 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0x3d625c…
05-11 06:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x64d2c6…
05-11 05:30:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd06d47…
05-11 02:41:26	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xa8e63f…
05-11 02:31:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xa8b7d5…
05-10 22:16:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xf64cf5…
05-10 21:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x99ee42…
05-10 20:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x86dffd…
05-10 01:43:28	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x458f51…
05-10 01:30:40	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xa4652c…
05-09 17:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xea23f6…
05-08 11:27:46	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xf32c74…
05-08 11:19:26	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x21c8d4…
05-07 20:37:54	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x942121…
05-07 20:30:26	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x2670b8…
05-07 11:17:29	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x405d86…
05-07 10:18:50	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x26458d…
05-07 06:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x0c4d1d…
05-07 06:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x77ad3e…
05-07 05:58:50	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x945000…
05-07 05:45:24	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x10394e…
05-07 05:28:30	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x29c248…
05-07 05:17:39	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x779b36…
05-07 05:17:17	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc9fcdd…
05-07 05:17:17	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3ecffa…
05-07 05:17:06	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15ebbc…
05-06 19:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x08d6d3…
05-06 08:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xaa955d…
05-06 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x511f21…
05-06 03:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x634acc…
05-05 13:49:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x993454…
05-05 13:49:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4b5fd2…
05-05 13:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xc25358…
05-05 13:31:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x61ee56…
05-05 13:30:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x674fde…
05-05 02:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xb5d4f4…
05-05 02:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xdf9473…
05-05 01:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x44fb17…
05-05 01:00:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x8761ae…
05-04 22:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x8a3a64…
05-04 22:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xff92fd…
05-04 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xff270b…
05-04 21:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x71c3fb…
05-04 21:30:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x326b14…
05-04 21:30:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x0cb18a…
05-04 21:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe37587…
05-04 21:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa03439…
05-04 21:17:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x335930…
04-30 21:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x67f7b7…
04-30 21:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x8ed9d8…
04-30 21:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb1d206…
04-30 21:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0x2f2877…
04-30 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x35e8c0…
04-30 20:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x5c8c19…
04-30 20:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	40¢	$12	0xb9158c…
04-30 20:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x793800…
04-30 20:46:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x425496…
04-30 20:43:32	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x4bf124…
04-30 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x49363e…
04-30 20:33:06	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0x80b952…
04-30 20:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xa0c98f…
04-30 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x17f2e1…
04-30 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x1be71d…
04-30 20:13:06	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x1f549f…
04-30 20:01:38	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd81169…
04-30 20:00:34	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5ce423…
04-30 19:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xaab9d8…
04-30 19:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x732056…
04-30 17:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x61aaf2…
04-30 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf6a9be…
04-30 17:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe8ce8a…
04-30 16:38:26	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xe94b02…
04-30 16:30:46	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x67a035…
04-30 15:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x41ff62…
04-30 15:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x00455a…
04-30 15:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x94cfe5…
04-30 14:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1fc6c5…
04-30 14:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6ff3d0…
04-30 14:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xa01b8e…
04-30 14:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0df56b…
04-30 13:38:26	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9d98ae…
04-30 13:30:28	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x271559…
04-30 13:25:24	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x3156b9…
04-30 13:15:34	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x9ba8f8…
04-30 13:10:42	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x05abcc…