Probable-Broiler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$556

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-24 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

66% 83% +$1

Sports

23% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	03-26 19:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	03-08 19:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	02-15 17:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-22 08:59
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-15 14:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	4	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-15 14:19
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	03-16 14:20
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-29 12:31
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 ben1	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	01-28 22:00
acn mli tun 2026 01 03 tun	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	01-03 20:53
cde str rei 2026 03 03 str	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-03 21:45
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	03-12 20:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 10:58
lal gir cel 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-01 21:03
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 20:47
lal mal esp 2026 03 15 btts	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-15 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 18:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 18:31
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 19:54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 18:29
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 22:24
sea juv laz 2026 02 08 juv	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-08 20:44
epl lee bre 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 21:05
por ben por 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-08 18:57
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 22:26
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 22:27
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-25 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 19:56
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 19:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-02 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 18:41:58	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x411e45…
05-24 18:40:50	Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)	Torino FC	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x26a607…
05-20 20:12:42	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x11d978…
05-20 20:11:53	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2562fa…
05-10 11:08:31	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd228ff…
05-10 11:06:35	AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x00a93d…
05-06 20:38:07	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x40b013…
05-05 10:36:32	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbeb8f1…
05-05 10:35:04	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa1a2d2…
05-04 19:14:58	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x884aa0…
05-04 18:32:04	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x477ee3…
05-04 18:31:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf0953f…
05-04 18:31:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xaa8bba…
05-04 18:29:40	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x31f4a5…
05-04 18:29:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf33c5e…
05-04 18:25:30	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7b7f14…
05-04 18:24:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Everton FC	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4e12f1…
05-02 19:21:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3fdb96…
05-02 19:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6d99fc…
05-02 19:15:58	AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2dd012…
05-02 19:06:36	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x159047…
04-29 06:35:34	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa7d007…
04-28 20:47:14	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xbcb9f7…
04-28 20:12:24	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc565cc…
04-25 10:58:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x14c23f…
04-25 10:55:18	Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x54e53e…
04-25 10:54:06	1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5ef22f…
04-25 10:43:56	FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbfe733…
04-18 09:58:38	tur gen gal 2026 04 18 gal	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x615073…
04-17 18:52:30	es2 rso rrc 2026 04 17 rrc	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcad5a5…
04-17 13:12:12	highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x78b8da…
04-17 13:09:28	cs2 vit navi 2026 04 17	Vitality	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x64f317…
04-17 13:08:26	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 04 17	Spirit	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2647af…
04-11 14:29:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc26425…
04-11 14:26:51	sea tor ver 2026 04 11 tor	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x229168…
04-05 08:51:51	fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3eed0c…
04-05 08:30:35	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x598931…
04-02 20:15:05	fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 psg	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaf1c96…
04-02 19:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3d7795…
04-02 19:56:07	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2caea2…
04-02 19:54:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0efd53…
04-02 19:54:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x19bb28…
03-31 19:12:23	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 swe	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3cb312…
03-29 12:31:22	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x95a1cc…
03-29 12:29:56	uef cze den 2026 03 31 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8d5b4e…
03-29 12:20:28	fif nor che 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7cc97c…
03-26 21:53:29	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x1fa1ef…
03-26 19:56:21	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 svk	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb875aa…
03-26 19:34:07	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xc4b94a…
03-26 19:19:01	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x5a3dd1…
03-26 18:56:03	uef cze ire 2026 03 26 btts	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x793829…
03-25 19:04:19	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0d78b2…
03-22 08:59:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x222f25…
03-22 08:10:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x281f6f…
03-22 08:07:29	por alv spo 2026 03 22 spo	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd678bc…
03-22 07:50:09	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 btts	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4dbcf7…
03-21 21:10:57	sea juv sas 2026 03 21 juv	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1d600…
03-21 21:05:33	epl lee bre 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xfacc8d…
03-21 20:31:49	epl lee bre 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2f1b82…
03-19 20:02:37	col shd lep 2026 03 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf1ae36…
03-19 20:00:01	uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x873650…
03-18 17:49:01	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5ec868…
03-18 17:48:33	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 btts	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x28d16c…
03-17 20:05:27	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xddd6f8…
03-17 20:02:11	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd88b9b…
03-16 14:20:07	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x2fa92e…
03-16 13:37:09	lal ray lev 2026 03 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x79d2f8…
03-15 19:50:33	sea laz mil 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb0564b…
03-15 18:59:01	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7347f6…
03-15 18:48:15	fl1 ren lil 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc74890…
03-15 14:27:47	lal mal esp 2026 03 15 btts	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x9b1df3…
03-15 14:19:47	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x030607…
03-15 14:19:17	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb0182f…
03-15 13:57:19	sea sas bol 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x65f257…
03-15 13:51:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x9a951c…
03-15 13:50:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd1dda7…
03-15 13:40:43	lal mal esp 2026 03 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x86d85b…
03-13 22:00:59	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0c2c86…
03-12 20:07:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x30fbdc…
03-12 20:02:43	uel not mid1 2026 03 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb93a6e…
03-10 20:24:05	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x47b533…
03-10 20:13:55	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x1545d0…
03-09 10:06:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x8404b7…
03-08 19:20:23	sea mil int 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xebebac…
03-08 19:00:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xab2488…
03-08 18:58:13	por ben por 2026 03 08 por	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbfbcca…
03-08 18:57:43	por ben por 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x6e3b10…
03-08 18:44:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xac9148…
03-08 18:37:11	por ben por 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xce58dc…
03-07 19:47:35	fl1 tou olm 2026 03 07 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x869168…
03-07 19:37:03	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x4bdb44…
03-06 15:08:07	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfb7c75…
03-06 15:03:21	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee4bd0…
03-06 15:03:05	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x73b011…
03-03 21:45:53	cde str rei 2026 03 03 str	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9847e8…
03-03 14:36:27	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x03b1a2…
03-03 14:35:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x208f85…
03-03 14:31:01	cde str rei 2026 03 03 str	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7d3a6d…
03-03 14:20:57	epl wol liv 2026 03 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xec8a34…
03-01 21:03:07	lal gir cel 2026 03 01 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x67f765…