Rotating-Patrimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$11.6K

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

1,062

Trades

7,965

lifetime

Volume

$494.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$11.7K

15 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-28 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

100% 60% +$23,365

Politics

0% 86% $0

Tech

0% 67% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	+9,442	$2,262	99¢	$9.4K	+$7,128	10-22 15:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+29,638	-$1,457	5¢	$1.5K	+$2,939	10-27 21:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	+5,602	$381	6¢	$364	-$17	10-28 13:04
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+246	-$2,847	83¢	$205	+$3,052	10-28 07:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+242	$13	48¢	$116	+$103	10-09 18:50
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+5,648	$234	1¢	$51	-$183	10-16 13:10
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	+9,378	$1,098	0¢	$47	-$1,051	10-21 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Yes	+1,614	$40	1¢	$11	-$29	10-26 19:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	+2,592	$44	0¢	$4	-$40	10-09 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	Yes	+1,570	$28	0¢	$2	-$26	10-01 18:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	+990	$69	0¢	$2	-$67	10-01 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	+456	$90	0¢	$1	-$89	10-05 08:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	+528	$5	0¢	$1	-$4	10-05 08:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	+1	$3	8¢	$0	-$3	10-28 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+1	$92	1¢	$0	-$92	10-28 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	30	$35.8K	148,042	118,404	+29,638	open	—	10-27 21:22
ng up or down on september 30 2026	19	$9.0K	7,352	7,352	+0	Up	-$48	10-01 05:43
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	17	$7.8K	14,092	4,650	+9,442	open	—	10-22 15:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	16	$5.5K	7,073	6,827	+246	open	—	10-28 07:38
xagusd up or down on september 25 2026	16	$4.5K	3,712	2,488	+1,224	Up	+$677	09-25 19:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 15?	6	$4.4K	5,003	6	+4,997	Yes	+$620	10-15 20:58
wti up or down on september 24 2026	20	$4.2K	3,333	2,184	+1,149	Up	+$609	09-24 19:01
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 2?	16	$4.0K	5,742	5,025	+717	Up	+$554	10-02 18:33
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	7	$3.8K	11,931	2,552	+9,378	open	—	10-21 19:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	34	$3.3K	3,928	1,314	+2,614	Down	-$6	10-19 20:29
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	23	$3.3K	3,784	1,126	+2,658	No	+$929	09-30 20:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 23?	12	$3.0K	2,983	291	+2,692	Yes	+$188	10-23 07:50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 26?	22	$3.0K	1,572	1,538	+34	Yes	+$66	10-26 13:01
wti closes above 96 on september 24 2026	16	$2.9K	2,203	1,522	+681	No	-$384	09-24 19:53
wti up or down on october 1 2026	12	$2.8K	3,570	1,119	+2,451	Up	+$453	10-01 17:50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 22?	9	$2.8K	2,750	316	+2,434	Yes	+$233	10-22 11:07
xagusd up or down on october 2 2026	17	$2.8K	3,390	1,568	+1,822	Down	+$646	10-02 20:06
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 30	6	$2.7K	1,566	1,566	+0	No	+$364	10-01 05:43
wti closes above 95 on october 13 2026	15	$2.7K	2,336	511	+1,825	No	-$18	10-13 20:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 26?	17	$2.5K	2,841	0	+2,841	Down	+$341	10-26 11:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 22?	8	$2.4K	2,785	19	+2,765	Yes	+$349	10-22 18:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 28?	12	$2.4K	2,153	1,763	+390	Yes	-$742	09-28 20:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 28?	28	$2.4K	1,807	1,106	+700	Up	+$107	09-28 20:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 26?	15	$2.4K	2,710	0	+2,710	No	+$359	10-26 10:40
wti closes above 97 on october 16 2026	10	$2.3K	2,150	1,184	+966	Yes	+$160	10-16 17:43
ng up or down on september 10 2026	8	$2.2K	1,990	972	+1,018	Up	+$635	09-10 20:15
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	14	$2.2K	3,154	1,185	+1,969	Up	-$78	10-01 20:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21?	19	$2.2K	2,610	329	+2,281	Yes	+$347	10-21 18:47
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 19?	14	$2.2K	2,622	8	+2,614	Yes	+$443	10-19 13:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 8?	13	$2.2K	2,176	43	+2,133	Yes	+$55	10-08 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:54:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc203b9…
10-28 14:54:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	381	13¢	$50	0x7b212a…
10-28 14:52:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	94	8¢	$8	0x7dc78c…
10-28 14:45:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4572d5…
10-28 14:38:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x819d46…
10-28 14:36:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x5b6651…
10-28 14:14:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x399320…
10-28 14:00:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0xc4136b…
10-28 13:57:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	76	88¢	$67	0x3d1da1…
10-28 13:50:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0x7e38a0…
10-28 13:49:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	3,131	1¢	$31	0xade61c…
10-28 13:46:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x0579a5…
10-28 13:46:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	108	2¢	$2	0xbde960…
10-28 13:42:59	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x6f6178…
10-28 13:41:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc8425c…
10-28 13:39:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	1,025	1¢	$10	0xf42d68…
10-28 13:38:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x490b77…
10-28 13:37:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5ebd1f…
10-28 13:35:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe5c7af…
10-28 13:32:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x0b6940…
10-28 13:29:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb6cb7…
10-28 13:16:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa8c322…
10-28 13:10:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x8e9ec2…
10-28 13:10:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x13a419…
10-28 13:08:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x88b025…
10-28 13:04:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x4dec74…
10-28 13:03:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x77df7f…
10-28 13:03:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	285	4¢	$10	0xa11c0f…
10-28 13:03:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x916e77…
10-28 13:02:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	285	4¢	$10	0xd01125…
10-28 13:00:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1643c2…
10-28 12:57:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x14141f…
10-28 12:48:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xda28f5…
10-28 12:41:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdb4e34…
10-28 12:41:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0x1e0d35…
10-28 12:41:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x466fa5…
10-28 12:09:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	157	3¢	$5	0x84d8c2…
10-28 12:08:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0x1bb1d4…
10-28 11:59:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4cd729…
10-28 11:56:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x20a7d8…
10-28 11:56:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	33¢	$36	0xfaffd9…
10-28 11:53:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	770	1¢	$10	0xfbdad7…
10-28 11:52:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x41aa3e…
10-28 11:49:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x41249c…
10-28 11:49:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x754d5d…
10-28 11:47:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x57acdc…
10-28 11:47:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x22a44a…
10-28 11:40:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xc2b7d3…
10-28 11:40:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8375d0…
10-28 11:12:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xeca410…
10-28 11:03:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x0d2680…
10-28 11:01:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x344c33…
10-28 10:56:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0x6f4378…
10-28 10:48:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x437158…
10-28 10:40:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8a4d39…
10-28 10:40:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x56162c…
10-28 10:24:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x77fe83…
10-28 10:10:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$2	0x3be91b…
10-28 10:07:34	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x0c0b68…
10-28 10:07:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xdba9bf…
10-28 10:05:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x6f2596…
10-28 10:04:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	39¢	$43	0x6d9026…
10-28 10:01:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0xf82c87…
10-28 09:51:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe7cd14…
10-28 09:43:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 28?	No	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0xfc08a9…
10-28 09:43:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	53	12¢	$6	0xa9282f…
10-28 09:41:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x61638d…
10-28 09:40:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?	No	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0x45a588…
10-28 09:35:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd4fc17…
10-28 09:32:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd55afa…
10-28 09:32:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,205	1¢	$10	0x4e770a…
10-28 09:27:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0119d4…
10-28 09:14:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	115	2¢	$2	0xc5f916…
10-28 09:14:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1bff5a…
10-28 09:00:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	255	7¢	$17	0x44df86…
10-28 08:36:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x66e7fe…
10-28 08:26:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0x2ea71a…
10-28 08:03:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	19¢	$21	0xb9ee78…
10-28 07:56:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	286	21¢	$59	0xfdbb56…
10-28 07:56:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 28?	No	BUY	66	17¢	$11	0xfdae33…
10-28 07:56:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0xf116ea…
10-28 07:38:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc977ed…
10-28 07:38:08	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,400	93¢	$2,236	0x119104…
10-28 07:27:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x32d6db…
10-28 07:23:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xf6d768…
10-28 07:23:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	180	98¢	$177	0x515630…
10-28 07:22:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb80bb2…
10-28 07:01:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x946fa8…
10-28 06:55:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x3ea627…
10-28 06:55:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x18c499…
10-28 06:42:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x6c5517…
10-28 06:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x6ca4de…
10-28 06:33:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x749c9f…
10-28 06:32:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe8c26b…
10-28 06:31:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x5cc1fb…
10-28 06:18:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x3bb710…
10-28 06:16:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	365	1¢	$4	0x3e180a…
10-28 06:15:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xeb39f4…
10-28 05:13:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2626fe…
10-28 05:07:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x4533b2…