Insubstantial-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$761

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

2,608

Trades

3,808

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 08-22 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% -$763

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 21 4pm et	2	$464	325	325	+0	Up	+$64	02-21 21:19
bitcoin up or down february 21 6pm et	3	$325	210	210	+0	Up	+$69	02-21 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:55 UTC	2	$252	155	153	+2	Up	+$54	02-19 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 07:05 UTC	2	$200	101	101	+0	Down	+$0	03-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 23:40 UTC	2	$193	105	104	+0	Up	+$14	03-03 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 03:25 UTC	2	$172	92	92	+0	Down	+$12	03-04 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:35 UTC	2	$163	167	164	+2	Up	-$34	02-19 05:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 05:45 UTC	2	$151	103	102	+2	Down	+$52	02-20 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:05 UTC	2	$141	71	71	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:40 UTC	2	$141	71	71	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 07:25 UTC	2	$135	107	106	+1	Down	+$76	03-03 07:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 01:30 UTC	2	$134	89	88	+1	Up	+$36	02-23 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 03:35 UTC	4	$132	95	94	+1	Up	+$13	03-04 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 07:35 UTC	2	$130	94	93	+1	Up	+$31	02-23 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:35 UTC	4	$125	78	77	+1	Down	+$5	03-04 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 03:50 UTC	2	$119	73	72	+1	Up	+$20	02-20 03:54
bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	5	$117	113	113	+0	Down	+$13	03-01 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:10 UTC	2	$114	76	75	+1	Up	+$15	02-19 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:05 UTC	3	$114	65	64	+1	Down	+$14	03-04 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:30 UTC	2	$110	93	91	+1	Up	+$11	02-20 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:10 UTC	3	$101	67	50	+17	Down	-$1	03-05 03:15
bitcoin up or down february 21 7pm et	1	$100	191	0	+191	Down	-$100	02-21 23:58
bitcoin up or down february 22 8pm et	1	$100	193	0	+193	Down	-$100	02-23 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:45 UTC	1	$100	125	0	+125	Up	-$100	02-19 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 04:00 UTC	1	$100	118	0	+118	Down	-$100	02-23 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:15 UTC	1	$100	108	0	+108	Down	-$100	03-03 08:18
bitcoin up or down february 20 2am et	3	$96	113	113	+0	Down	-$22	02-20 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:25 UTC	4	$94	57	57	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:40 UTC	2	$86	67	64	+3	Down	-$14	02-24 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:10 UTC	2	$86	63	62	+1	Down	-$14	02-24 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 14:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc905ab…
08-22 13:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd4afad…
08-22 12:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xff2a8d…
08-22 12:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbdaf75…
08-22 11:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x64708f…
08-22 10:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8ffcfe…
08-22 10:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x155089…
08-22 09:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa2c766…
08-22 08:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc9b7ca…
08-22 07:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5ae9ad…
08-22 05:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x38ddc6…
08-22 05:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4f53ba…
08-22 01:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3b39f7…
08-22 00:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6484e0…
08-21 23:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7e79ce…
08-21 23:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x001c94…
08-21 22:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x194ba5…
08-21 22:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf6dbc5…
08-21 19:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfdbb9a…
08-21 18:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5041c0…
08-21 17:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x86e3c6…
08-21 16:59:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd82a74…
08-21 16:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x87e77c…
08-21 13:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf92def…
08-21 10:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3facfa…
08-21 10:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x867caf…
08-21 10:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1c864d…
08-21 09:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x270527…
08-21 09:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf41669…
08-21 08:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb0deab…
08-21 06:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x44692e…
08-21 06:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x03f60e…
08-21 05:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfd2861…
08-21 04:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc27b8a…
08-21 04:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x266728…
08-21 04:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x572c20…
08-21 04:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x883c34…
08-21 03:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa73607…
08-21 01:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5c91b2…
08-21 00:59:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5dcca0…
08-21 00:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb4748a…
08-20 23:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x707a83…
08-20 23:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x6c04a8…
08-20 22:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8fbadb…
08-20 22:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x500952…
08-20 21:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5ae097…
08-20 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd4ef6c…
08-20 21:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc14bef…
08-20 20:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd6f836…
08-20 20:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2e4ee6…
08-20 19:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd58592…
08-20 19:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc20c68…
08-20 18:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd97300…
08-20 18:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xadd843…
08-20 17:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x472283…
08-20 17:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5eb466…
08-20 16:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7f9582…
08-20 15:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x9b036b…
08-20 14:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x431be7…
08-20 14:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb96c48…
08-20 12:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8a0413…
08-20 11:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc75e35…
08-20 11:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x16bcaa…
08-20 10:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x416b74…
08-20 09:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7b2d45…
08-20 09:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd0af51…
08-20 07:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd848b7…
08-20 06:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe9e883…
08-20 05:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4a890a…
08-20 02:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x0aca49…
08-20 02:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x59d3fe…
08-20 02:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x339de0…
08-20 01:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfdd540…
08-20 00:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x63abaa…
08-19 23:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3d1899…
08-19 23:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x375dd2…
08-19 22:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4cf181…
08-19 19:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x97bcdd…
08-19 18:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf95c7e…
08-19 17:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf39db3…
08-19 17:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcb2e25…
08-19 15:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x70cd5c…
08-19 15:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x60a7bf…
08-19 14:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc14008…
08-19 14:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5daf42…
08-19 14:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe6b565…
08-19 13:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6a744c…
08-19 12:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x68f8f3…
08-19 11:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x238ef6…
08-19 11:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4cda95…
08-19 08:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa2d02a…
08-19 06:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x85af4a…
08-19 03:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2dd9d8…
08-19 03:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0b73c5…
08-19 03:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd99d85…
08-19 01:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x50cca1…
08-19 01:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6a80cd…
08-18 21:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf66109…
08-18 20:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf34007…
08-18 16:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x75195f…