Velvety-Agenda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-03 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% $-4

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	27	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-18 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$23	20	12	+8	open	—	05-16 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$21	25	8	+17	open	—	05-16 07:24
highest temperature in cape town on april 17 2026 15c	8	$21	79	0	+79	open	—	04-17 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-15 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-15 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-15 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	05-15 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$19	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	8	$18	24	7	+18	open	—	05-16 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 16:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb8aaa0…
06-03 13:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x138d0f…
06-03 10:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x883cfb…
06-03 10:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x6d52e4…
06-03 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd08424…
06-03 09:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5d1639…
06-03 09:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x154e14…
06-03 08:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdf2622…
06-03 08:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4c661c…
06-03 08:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x316d3a…
06-03 08:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x04c726…
06-03 08:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xa6644d…
06-03 07:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x3d20be…
06-03 06:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x1c4a5e…
06-03 06:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfe47b9…
06-03 05:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xe369e6…
06-03 05:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xad2c99…
06-03 05:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x96954e…
06-03 05:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xb541bd…
06-03 05:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x919377…
06-03 05:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2d676d…
06-03 04:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x942a30…
06-03 03:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf2a0cd…
06-03 02:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x1d1b41…
06-03 01:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9930b4…
06-03 00:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x38e441…
06-03 00:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe7a84d…
06-02 23:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x59567e…
06-02 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xbe4fd4…
06-02 23:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd11ce4…
06-02 23:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3c8f3f…
06-02 23:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa68d53…
06-02 23:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x5bdb51…
06-02 23:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xff9600…
06-02 23:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xcb891b…
06-02 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5a41d4…
06-02 21:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x613ff6…
06-02 21:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa005fe…
06-02 21:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x61ca3d…
06-02 20:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd0679d…
06-02 20:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf458e1…
06-02 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x90f72c…
06-02 19:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xa76f23…
06-02 19:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf209e9…
06-02 19:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x973710…
06-02 18:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xa4d22f…
06-02 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x573f20…
06-02 17:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x032704…
06-02 16:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x299f21…
06-02 16:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x52b8be…
06-02 15:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x575f1d…
06-02 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd0c540…
06-02 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xe755b6…
06-02 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc2dd54…
06-02 15:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x4ab7ce…
06-02 15:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xc98e76…
06-02 15:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xbf6c28…
06-02 15:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x43471d…
06-02 15:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x34f0f1…
06-02 15:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x70119e…
06-02 15:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x60e08a…
06-02 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xaa41f9…
06-02 14:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf212bb…
06-02 14:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x1b1406…
06-02 14:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x890599…
06-02 14:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x4e50d7…
06-02 14:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x77fea9…
06-02 14:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xec5798…
06-02 14:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x150c56…
06-02 13:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xe1500e…
06-02 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x6699b7…
06-02 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x5d1ca8…
06-02 13:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x300ef7…
06-02 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8a432a…
06-02 13:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x24f396…
06-02 12:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xca8c3a…
06-02 10:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9706f0…
06-02 10:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x54c88c…
06-02 10:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x1497ae…
06-02 08:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xccc5c2…
06-02 08:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x704f91…
06-02 08:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2d1306…
06-02 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x01fca8…
06-02 06:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xfd7f92…
06-02 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xb235c3…
06-02 04:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0xabd4fa…
06-02 04:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x5ce3ae…
06-02 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x1af35d…
06-02 02:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x01dc69…
06-02 01:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xb7e8a3…
06-02 01:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x9728a5…
06-01 23:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x49c9b4…
06-01 22:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x1fafcf…
06-01 17:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x283b75…
06-01 16:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe2a421…
06-01 16:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xd27ce0…
06-01 15:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xcee2cb…
06-01 15:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x7d06b4…
06-01 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x374ce4…
06-01 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x14f922…