Weighty-Cushion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$181

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$4.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-22 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% $-8

Other

39% 100% +$191

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$155	762	762	+0	open	—	01-18 09:47
will trump say mentally ill this week february 1	4	$87	433	0	+433	open	—	01-31 00:47
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	2	$81	424	0	+424	open	—	01-14 14:51
iran strike on israel by january 31	1	$80	402	0	+402	open	—	01-15 23:19
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	2	$80	573	0	+573	open	—	01-15 23:23
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	9	$80	573	0	+573	open	—	01-16 10:07
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$80	572	0	+572	open	—	01-17 08:31
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	7	$75	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	01-07 06:12
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	7	$75	417	0	+417	open	—	01-19 12:47
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	6	$74	435	0	+435	open	—	01-20 20:35
2026 wm phoenix open winner scottie scheffler win	2	$73	1,457	0	+1,457	open	—	02-05 20:05
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	4	$69	346	0	+346	open	—	03-03 11:17
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	1	$69	687	0	+687	open	—	01-28 20:01
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$67	667	0	+667	open	—	01-08 23:24
maduro mugshot released by january 16	1	$62	619	0	+619	open	—	01-07 09:12
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	8	$61	469	0	+469	open	—	02-05 08:50
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	7	$60	354	0	+354	open	—	02-12 06:18
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	12	$60	308	0	+308	open	—	04-02 22:59
will russia enter verkhnia tersa by february 28	6	$60	398	0	+398	open	—	02-09 14:26
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$59	328	0	+328	open	—	02-02 20:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$52	280	0	+280	open	—	03-06 22:36
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	5	$52	242	0	+242	open	—	04-01 05:52
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$48	241	0	+241	open	—	04-01 08:39
will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	71	$48	1,604	0	+1,604	open	—	01-31 16:25
will andy burnham labour win the gorton and denton by election	3	$47	527	0	+527	open	—	01-28 20:44
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	3	$47	263	0	+263	open	—	02-02 05:09
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	88	$46	1,519	0	+1,519	open	—	01-14 06:52
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	2	$45	76	0	+76	open	—	06-17 00:24
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	1	$44	74	0	+74	open	—	06-17 00:18
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	1	$44	98	0	+98	open	—	06-15 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 00:21:33	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x4bdd46…
07-22 00:19:28	will xrp reach 1pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x681a40…
07-22 00:05:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd2475c…
07-22 00:03:04	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	57	64¢	$37	0x5258e7…
07-19 00:05:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	72	58¢	$42	0xed9ee7…
07-16 06:36:59	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0xb90f25…
07-14 06:11:17	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x525a3d…
07-11 12:56:34	will spy reach 770 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2652ce…
07-09 13:14:34	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	73	58¢	$42	0x05e7e2…
07-09 00:01:38	will ng dip to 3 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x72e48b…
07-08 18:01:20	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x40ae0a…
07-08 15:16:25	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x821e63…
07-08 14:50:55	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x493047…
07-08 00:11:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0x4fc639…
07-07 18:31:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	62	51¢	$31	0x2e2d2a…
07-07 18:27:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x569c3e…
07-07 13:24:10	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	99	43¢	$43	0x32e181…
07-06 12:00:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	73	59¢	$43	0x02ad40…
07-06 06:05:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x2b0eca…
07-06 06:01:59	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	113	38¢	$43	0x73f1bb…
07-04 18:24:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	66	62¢	$41	0x7cba27…
07-04 00:03:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	77	54¢	$42	0x3e6b79…
07-02 18:04:44	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	No	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0xaa1b96…
07-02 12:30:52	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	113	38¢	$43	0x9769c4…
07-02 12:30:11	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x77074b…
07-02 12:30:05	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	99	41¢	$41	0x2ee057…
07-02 12:29:40	will ethereum reach 1800 in july 2026	No	BUY	92	47¢	$43	0xe420ea…
07-02 12:19:16	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x6579c8…
07-02 12:07:56	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xbadc9e…
06-29 13:21:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdeaf91…
06-29 13:09:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x1a5f9e…
06-29 12:20:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf1c574…
06-19 17:22:43	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x44002b…
06-19 17:22:43	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x331735…
06-19 17:00:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd4ad00…
06-19 16:53:02	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1a43d7…
06-19 15:32:46	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xf6d884…
06-19 15:32:46	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xb40865…
06-19 06:40:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	56¢	$38	0x65f190…
06-19 06:28:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbaa531…
06-19 06:00:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x549327…
06-17 07:03:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x77d031…
06-17 06:51:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x230f7d…
06-17 00:24:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	48	59¢	$28	0x37777b…
06-17 00:24:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0x025046…
06-17 00:18:59	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0x49262f…
06-16 23:16:17	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	71	62¢	$44	0x22970a…
06-16 16:29:37	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3e2a5f…
06-16 15:20:34	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xc2860d…
06-16 13:35:37	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x17f036…
06-16 10:35:40	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xace5fa…
06-16 09:42:51	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x764a8a…
06-16 02:00:00	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xffabc1…
06-16 00:58:30	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf8814e…
06-15 07:38:01	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0xf893c7…
06-15 03:47:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	67	62¢	$42	0x048e50…
06-14 21:48:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x6ea1c0…
06-14 18:55:51	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0f5832…
06-14 18:37:52	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$7	0x629fa7…
06-13 21:07:30	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x2290c6…
06-13 20:47:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x5bf4a2…
06-13 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x0e7c21…
06-13 18:13:42	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x579f57…
06-13 12:13:24	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	67	58¢	$39	0x47fc54…
06-11 00:04:06	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x6d154f…
06-11 00:00:58	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by june 30	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa970d3…
06-10 00:11:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xf1e80f…
06-10 00:10:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x723b81…
06-10 00:05:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x4b4155…
06-10 00:05:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x0790f4…
06-03 20:29:36	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x8b5a60…
06-03 18:19:13	Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Yes	BUY	89	16¢	$14	0x3093ff…
06-03 18:01:46	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	2¢	$4	0x890663…
06-03 12:01:45	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes	SELL	234	1¢	$3	0x9505c9…
06-02 15:31:21	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x43aecc…
06-01 16:01:29	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x89ea6c…
06-01 13:52:17	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0xe45264…
06-01 12:27:58	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x4c98f0…
06-01 07:37:35	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa04c2e…
06-01 07:35:23	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xcca02f…
05-30 22:30:03	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x26e904…
05-30 15:30:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x85cd22…
05-30 13:29:46	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd359f8…
05-29 11:24:25	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x7ec8b0…
05-29 04:05:10	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	112	16¢	$18	0x86faff…
05-29 04:01:29	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xedf001…
05-29 03:50:30	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x32362f…
05-29 01:04:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0x4a56d6…
05-28 22:45:02	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	99	16¢	$16	0x38caad…
05-28 21:47:01	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x286e93…
05-28 21:20:15	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x2ac78a…
05-28 18:17:17	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0x8b00e8…
05-28 18:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x06380d…
05-28 16:55:02	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5b92c1…
05-28 16:15:17	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x051d46…
05-28 15:08:34	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x5b56ff…
05-28 15:07:16	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x48ebf9…
05-28 15:03:46	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe7c298…
05-28 15:01:50	Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xb68a25…
05-28 14:37:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	78	8¢	$6	0x7699ad…