Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

5,335

Trades

32,215

lifetime

Volume

$164.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$960

27 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 46% -$4,880

Other

4% 47% +$24

Politics

1% 48% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 3895 trades/day

Open positions (27) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+391	$164	44¢	$174	+$10	10-27 08:03
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+271	$157	56¢	$150	-$6	10-27 05:44
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+150	$86	65¢	$97	+$11	10-26 14:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+100	$54	62¢	$62	+$8	10-26 20:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+100	$56	56¢	$56	+$0	10-26 17:09
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+150	$58	35¢	$52	-$6	10-26 14:58
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+100	$43	44¢	$44	+$1	10-26 11:40
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$35	74¢	$37	+$2	10-26 19:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+60	$35	57¢	$34	-$1	10-27 05:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+50	$32	59¢	$30	-$2	10-26 20:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+50	$28	57¢	$29	+$1	10-26 12:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+150	$37	18¢	$28	-$9	10-27 00:08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+150	$24	16¢	$23	-$1	10-26 22:37
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	$23	71¢	$23	-$1	10-26 15:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+50	$22	43¢	$22	+$0	10-26 20:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+50	$20	40¢	$20	-$1	10-26 19:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+50	$20	38¢	$19	$0	10-26 16:01
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$15	76¢	$15	$0	10-26 18:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?	No	+20	$13	67¢	$13	+$0	10-26 21:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$14	26¢	$13	-$1	10-27 00:36
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$7	29¢	$8	+$1	10-26 10:27
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$5	24¢	$5	+$0	10-26 19:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+10	$5	42¢	$4	-$1	10-26 14:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	+2	$1	43¢	$1	+$0	10-27 05:04
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	+5	$1	18¢	$1	$0	10-26 18:21
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	10-26 18:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+0	$2	84¢	$0	-$2	09-21 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	40	$748	1,349	0	+1,349	Up	-$395	10-09 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	39	$671	1,330	0	+1,330	Up	-$8	10-09 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	39	$535	1,108	0	+1,108	Up	-$83	10-09 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	49	$497	873	0	+873	Down	-$30	10-09 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	15	$492	815	0	+815	Down	-$247	10-08 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	47	$491	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$36	10-09 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	26	$471	844	0	+844	Down	-$268	10-09 01:54
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	15	$437	337	305	+32	Yes	+$31	09-30 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	49	$427	846	0	+846	Down	+$81	10-09 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	20	$405	656	0	+656	Up	-$78	10-09 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	37	$401	774	0	+774	Down	+$57	10-09 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	28	$397	968	0	+968	Up	+$53	10-08 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	16	$394	651	0	+651	Down	-$72	10-09 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	24	$388	751	0	+751	Down	+$65	10-08 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	27	$385	782	0	+782	Up	-$74	10-08 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	16	$354	683	0	+683	Up	-$15	10-08 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	34	$339	646	0	+646	Up	-$41	10-09 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	16	$339	610	0	+610	Up	-$11	10-09 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	18	$336	598	0	+598	Up	-$20	10-09 04:07
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	26	$331	676	14	+662	open	—	10-27 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	39	$320	628	0	+628	Down	-$46	10-09 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$318	494	0	+494	Up	-$80	10-08 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	19	$318	675	0	+675	Down	-$32	10-08 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	19	$316	535	0	+535	Up	+$13	10-09 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	33	$314	677	0	+677	Up	-$49	10-09 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:10 UTC	14	$313	675	523	+153	Down	+$25	10-13 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	20	$311	503	0	+503	Up	+$16	10-09 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	18	$308	550	0	+550	Up	+$21	10-09 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	17	$306	554	0	+554	Down	+$10	10-09 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	22	$306	528	0	+528	Down	-$103	10-09 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x346812…
10-27 08:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xaf1cb0…
10-27 08:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x2c16a4…
10-27 08:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x4b1879…
10-27 08:03:48	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x562aa7…
10-27 08:03:47	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfb1a37…
10-27 08:03:47	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x27ccf2…
10-27 08:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc4b50b…
10-27 08:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6e94d7…
10-27 07:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x2dcffa…
10-27 07:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4f3129…
10-27 07:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x4fa400…
10-27 07:22:21	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcbdf79…
10-27 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xa96fd7…
10-27 07:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x981064…
10-27 07:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7138b4…
10-27 07:00:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8c323f…
10-27 06:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd9ce98…
10-27 06:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x544aa3…
10-27 06:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xed07b9…
10-27 06:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x3b7aa8…
10-27 06:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2c1810…
10-27 06:20:27	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x57d60a…
10-27 06:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4149cb…
10-27 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xe853d7…
10-27 06:04:56	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa9c3c1…
10-27 06:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xd470bb…
10-27 06:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc58aea…
10-27 05:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xf99437…
10-27 05:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x11f10b…
10-27 05:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x66fd54…
10-27 05:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa22c01…
10-27 05:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe3a4b6…
10-27 05:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x109600…
10-27 05:44:32	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xc3cf6f…
10-27 05:41:41	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbb4cc8…
10-27 05:40:15	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbf8559…
10-27 05:40:06	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x3ef2d9…
10-27 05:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x12e05e…
10-27 05:04:29	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa3ed63…
10-27 05:04:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xafff92…
10-27 04:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x889f23…
10-27 04:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8c1bec…
10-27 04:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2a080a…
10-27 04:30:47	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcbcdbd…
10-27 04:30:45	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xd7b4be…
10-27 04:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x62f7f0…
10-27 04:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x97453f…
10-27 03:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x874080…
10-27 03:20:44	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x8c727d…
10-27 03:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x819ecf…
10-27 03:10:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe5326f…
10-27 03:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xca112b…
10-27 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6d0923…
10-27 02:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe15d7d…
10-27 02:22:11	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4be86f…
10-27 02:00:59	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x50facf…
10-27 02:00:56	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	147	56¢	$82	0x30a9c1…
10-27 02:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x63c12d…
10-27 01:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x88e21d…
10-27 01:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2d26f8…
10-27 01:40:48	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x25b642…
10-27 01:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0x24ba0d…
10-27 01:10:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf891d3…
10-27 01:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x2be7de…
10-27 01:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8a1ae1…
10-27 01:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xa6e5d0…
10-27 01:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8ef66d…
10-27 01:00:45	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x56ba98…
10-27 00:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd24306…
10-27 00:36:11	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xf48cd7…
10-27 00:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x3362f2…
10-27 00:21:05	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x578b5d…
10-27 00:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x77e8c9…
10-27 00:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xfe3c90…
10-27 00:08:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x69ec7d…
10-27 00:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x2e0743…
10-27 00:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x646fd3…
10-26 23:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xebf365…
10-26 23:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc8cc68…
10-26 23:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xeee5e7…
10-26 23:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x529c19…
10-26 23:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xd126f1…
10-26 23:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfa6adf…
10-26 23:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4b557a…
10-26 23:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x4bb9e4…
10-26 23:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4d952a…
10-26 23:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x6201f9…
10-26 23:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x55d937…
10-26 23:10:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xea844a…
10-26 23:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x44de58…
10-26 23:10:14	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x46e88a…
10-26 23:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1d0289…
10-26 22:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x748ac0…
10-26 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x9c5feb…
10-26 22:37:14	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf64b31…
10-26 22:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x209f23…
10-26 22:28:06	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4a3400…
10-26 22:27:59	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x215e23…
10-26 22:27:54	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x9f15bb…