Far-Flung-Deadline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

9,233

lifetime

Volume

$394.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-23 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% — —

Politics

12% — —

Other

6% 100% +$45

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$6.3K	3,927	3,927	+0	open	—	02-27 06:04
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	124	$5.4K	2,732	2,732	+0	open	—	02-08 20:30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$5.2K	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	02-12 18:24
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$3.5K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	02-01 04:19
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	8	$3.3K	1,700	1,690	+10	open	—	02-22 03:37
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$3.3K	1,744	1,744	+0	open	—	01-31 20:40
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	8	$2.8K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	02-10 14:28
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$2.7K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	02-10 13:16
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$2.7K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	02-10 00:55
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	6	$2.6K	1,347	1,347	+0	open	—	02-01 17:00
btc updown 5m 1772363700	11	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-01 11:19
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	02-23 04:07
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-25 15:39
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-23 23:34
btc updown 5m 1773360900	22	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-13 00:19
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-24 11:18
will seguro win all of portugals districts	4	$1.8K	938	938	+0	open	—	02-08 21:02
btc updown 5m 1771349400	17	$1.8K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	02-17 17:33
btc updown 5m 1771456800	41	$1.7K	900	899	+0	open	—	02-18 23:25
btc updown 5m 1772328900	30	$1.6K	1,100	599	+501	open	—	03-01 01:39
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	8	$1.6K	1,380	470	+910	open	—	02-21 03:24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	02-04 04:17
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$1.6K	790	790	+0	open	—	02-07 14:20
btc updown 5m 1771356000	27	$1.5K	800	799	+1	open	—	02-17 19:24
btc updown 5m 1771358700	16	$1.4K	751	750	+1	open	—	02-17 20:08
btc updown 5m 1771348800	9	$1.4K	1,000	499	+501	open	—	02-17 17:24
btc updown 5m 1771359000	4	$1.4K	798	795	+3	open	—	02-17 20:15
btc updown 5m 1771351800	10	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-17 18:15
btc updown 5m 1771374600	31	$1.4K	800	798	+2	open	—	02-18 00:33
btc updown 5m 1772338200	3	$1.3K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	03-01 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 20:30:23	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0x798684…
05-23 19:51:01	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x9ba73f…
05-10 21:02:47	Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xdb2cc0…
05-10 20:23:16	Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xaed572…
05-10 20:18:20	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf1d066…
05-09 15:02:25	RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x1506ce…
05-09 15:02:02	RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe33bfe…
05-09 13:30:57	RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2b2351…
05-03 07:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5daba3…
05-03 04:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x429139…
05-03 04:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xaa44f1…
05-03 04:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4af320…
05-03 03:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x0a687c…
05-03 03:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x48390d…
05-03 01:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xd51a7f…
05-03 01:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x829f60…
05-03 01:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7008df…
05-03 01:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x7e684c…
05-03 01:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcad827…
05-03 01:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x64fefb…
05-03 01:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xac6955…
05-03 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xe6b979…
05-03 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc7400a…
05-03 00:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5d7c10…
05-03 00:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x682ba1…
05-03 00:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf8967d…
05-02 23:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xe5a195…
05-02 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf417c0…
05-02 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xae7e57…
05-02 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x55dd97…
05-02 23:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1d6296…
05-02 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1da764…
05-02 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2b0526…
05-02 23:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa8f966…
05-02 23:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x19c9f5…
05-02 22:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xd030aa…
05-02 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xbc65cc…
05-02 22:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xaadbfa…
05-02 22:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3c3012…
05-02 22:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1c26ea…
05-02 22:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xdf1247…
05-02 22:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xf41079…
05-02 22:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xd2f5fb…
05-02 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xc7bde0…
05-02 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa81712…
05-02 22:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8a17e8…
05-02 21:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x412c97…
05-02 21:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xecf5e7…
05-02 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x543afc…
05-02 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x293f3c…
05-02 21:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x8d403b…
05-02 21:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x4450d5…
05-02 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x96b6ac…
05-02 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6367af…
05-02 21:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xee7985…
05-02 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x17b494…
05-02 21:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x23e96d…
05-02 21:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3aefaa…
05-02 21:16:24	FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xda5187…
05-02 21:10:32	FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0xb94b54…
05-02 21:08:06	FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd16d01…
05-02 20:53:48	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x60bd6b…
05-02 20:40:52	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x675e25…
05-02 20:08:30	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xef6e43…
05-02 20:07:04	FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xc027fa…
05-02 18:37:44	FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa7278e…
05-02 18:37:40	FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xeadcab…
05-02 18:37:28	FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0011c8…
05-02 18:36:22	FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0f728d…
05-02 18:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd426e0…
05-02 18:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa29bf7…
05-02 18:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdcf479…
05-02 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7881d0…
05-02 17:58:28	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x9d63b4…
05-02 17:48:56	Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0x9df001…
05-02 17:42:22	FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x9f4564…
05-02 16:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x10ae9b…
05-02 16:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x183ed0…
05-02 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xa69905…
05-02 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x60efc6…
05-02 15:22:52	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0x47e1ae…
05-02 15:07:40	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xf771c8…
05-02 15:07:30	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4c7b7a…
05-02 15:07:28	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	216	98¢	$212	0x1e6c3f…
05-02 15:07:16	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x841e9f…
05-02 15:05:44	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6e6b77…
05-02 15:05:30	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe04c90…
05-02 14:01:00	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xf0380b…
05-02 14:00:26	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x32e14c…
05-02 12:57:28	Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x3c76f5…
05-02 12:53:16	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x34036b…
05-02 12:46:00	Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x1a0a76…
05-02 12:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f40d7…
05-02 12:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1580c…
05-02 11:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x388c0b…
05-02 11:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9e6bda…
05-02 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe3523b…
05-02 11:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x139c9a…
05-02 11:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9ad4bc…
05-02 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x12c4fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	904	$4.82K	6,836	05-02 11:04
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	883	$1.76K	3,140	04-18 18:47
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	858	$131.1K	32,352	03-23 22:59
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	854	$318.4K	19,338	04-18 18:48
(anonymous) 0x37c9…7e6d	852	$519.4K	49,827	03-25 23:52
(anonymous) 0x297f…5103	852	$291.6K	107,041	03-23 22:59
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	852	$245.0K	98,066	03-23 22:59
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	852	$149.3K	43,995	03-23 22:58