Excitable-Mentor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,857

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-24 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Sports

47% 60% $-40

Other

45% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	17	$624	829	579	+250	open	—	02-02 16:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	28	$584	381	381	+0	open	—	02-10 15:17
aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 0pt4	25	$494	432	372	+60	open	—	01-26 20:31
oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt25	9	$336	248	248	+0	open	—	02-18 20:48
abnb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt66	8	$285	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 23:41
fnf quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 1pt5	12	$278	204	204	+0	open	—	02-19 22:01
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	27	$264	3,239	3,239	+0	open	—	01-22 03:51
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	7	$261	240	240	+0	open	—	02-11 18:55
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	5	$250	151	151	-0	open	—	02-01 00:54
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 31 2026	21	$247	228	255	-27	open	—	02-01 02:04
dkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt4	7	$228	156	156	+0	open	—	02-12 23:41
tfc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt1	10	$221	291	291	+0	open	—	01-21 15:01
unp quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 27 2026 2pt87	7	$214	135	135	+0	open	—	01-27 15:15
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	20	$201	615	615	+0	open	—	02-01 09:54
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	6	$200	170	170	+0	open	—	02-22 16:42
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	31	$185	493	205	+288	open	—	01-25 03:46
etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt85	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 12:44
nfl buf den 2026 01 17 rush james cook 76pt5	5	$163	144	144	+0	open	—	01-18 04:40
cboe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 06 2026 2pt95	21	$160	568	568	+0	open	—	02-05 02:20
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	8	$160	469	0	+469	open	—	02-23 20:21
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	8	$159	91	91	+0	open	—	01-20 21:05
will don lemon be criminally charged	12	$147	140	140	+0	open	—	01-23 16:52
mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 03 2026 2pt98	5	$143	186	100	+86	open	—	02-01 20:04
ttd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt58	4	$141	207	0	+207	open	—	02-24 16:24
uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 0pt79	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 18:10
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	11	$128	500	400	+100	open	—	02-02 15:02
amc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 neg0pt25	6	$126	267	0	+267	open	—	02-19 16:20
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$125	140	140	+0	open	—	02-20 16:11
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	3	$122	307	307	+0	open	—	02-20 00:38
kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt72	5	$100	165	0	+165	open	—	03-08 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 07:36:51	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xc09404…
05-24 07:36:47	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x69e53b…
05-24 04:12:55	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6f8743…
05-24 04:04:19	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa76c83…
05-24 01:13:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcc405a…
05-24 01:13:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xc6e605…
05-24 01:12:49	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe567da…
05-23 18:36:45	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x71c026…
05-23 17:47:05	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x815657…
05-23 14:29:08	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdfc746…
05-23 14:27:14	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xd07bec…
05-23 14:25:59	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd4a14f…
05-23 14:22:06	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x90bf78…
05-23 06:13:32	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x4f8694…
05-23 06:12:27	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0e2c11…
05-23 05:12:33	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x889cb1…
05-23 01:31:43	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x02d77d…
05-23 01:19:13	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1e0eff…
05-23 01:04:48	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xc1ccb5…
05-22 23:49:00	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x1014c6…
05-22 23:47:31	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfb6203…
05-22 13:23:15	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	New York Mets	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x50a638…
05-22 11:44:18	Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	Athletics	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfc8f3a…
05-22 11:39:03	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x9dcfe7…
05-22 09:43:13	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xd87234…
05-22 09:43:12	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x609c33…
05-22 09:18:07	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6f62cf…
05-22 09:14:02	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x705b8c…
05-22 08:43:01	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x98acba…
05-22 04:22:37	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc3cd05…
05-22 00:43:37	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdf38e3…
05-21 23:00:32	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe11cfa…
05-21 21:08:02	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe30d7a…
05-21 18:54:20	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x00daf5…
05-21 18:44:06	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0b68c7…
05-21 18:17:30	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9d588f…
05-21 08:44:54	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc15faa…
05-21 04:05:22	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x277104…
05-21 04:05:20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc4cbf9…
05-21 01:19:35	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xfb461f…
05-21 01:13:14	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x82a726…
05-20 23:59:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbce461…
05-20 23:10:44	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xac7651…
05-20 20:11:40	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9270b9…
05-20 17:44:09	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xdea82c…
05-20 13:31:15	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4ecfc5…
05-20 13:00:18	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8135ac…
05-20 13:00:18	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x24abc7…
05-20 13:00:16	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Houston Astros	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x889d2e…
05-20 13:00:14	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x85530b…
05-20 13:00:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x6bfb88…
05-20 13:00:13	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x1fa573…
05-20 13:00:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x653c79…
05-20 13:00:09	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xecb3a0…
05-20 01:08:33	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x240f59…
05-19 22:43:35	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xcd7f59…
05-19 13:21:57	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x35a592…
05-19 13:21:55	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xba116f…
05-19 13:21:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x87dc1a…
05-19 13:21:52	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xc21ea0…
05-19 13:21:52	Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Boston Red Sox	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x5e197c…
05-19 13:21:50	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x09c77e…
05-19 08:46:00	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x2fea41…
05-19 06:15:09	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xee53b8…
05-19 00:32:55	Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x4612db…
05-19 00:32:15	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x5ad3ff…
05-19 00:30:05	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x945f35…
05-19 00:09:45	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xa4cfe3…
05-18 14:25:29	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x16184a…
05-18 13:45:53	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x33ed5b…
05-18 13:44:36	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x335bf2…
05-18 13:44:34	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xfe7419…
05-18 13:44:32	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6d8371…
05-18 13:42:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5cfc6f…
05-18 13:42:28	Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Boston Red Sox	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x70f644…
05-18 13:40:24	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x36de3e…
05-18 13:38:20	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xd77d88…
05-18 13:38:18	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xc370eb…
05-17 21:36:28	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x42d848…
05-17 21:01:42	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x422687…
05-17 21:01:37	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Texas Rangers	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe1f5c7…
05-17 21:01:33	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x62dc95…
05-17 21:01:33	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x469e3f…
05-17 21:01:33	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x3d508b…
05-17 21:01:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf9fd2…
05-17 18:44:13	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd2103a…
05-17 09:22:26	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x016115…
05-17 08:53:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x7a66ed…
05-17 08:53:28	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x1f3bc8…
05-17 05:22:04	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x48fd9e…
05-17 05:05:46	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe49681…
05-17 05:05:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb3a736…
05-17 04:15:22	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Texas Rangers	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x9c1ca9…
05-17 04:15:20	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago Cubs	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x7b8d48…
05-17 04:06:28	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x816c46…
05-17 04:06:26	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xdc3e92…
05-17 04:06:26	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x517a8b…
05-17 04:06:25	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x653a10…
05-17 04:04:20	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x50e065…
05-17 03:11:31	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Sabres	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8d8889…