Sweltering-Commitment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

284

Trades

2,301

lifetime

Volume

$6.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-01 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 73% +$73

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No		+56	$3	7¢	$4	+$1	06-16 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	05-23 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$25	539	0	+539	open	—	05-23 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$20	46	0	+46	open	—	05-23 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$15	539	0	+539	open	—	05-23 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-23 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-23 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-23 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	05-23 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-23 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$14	23	0	+23	open	—	05-24 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$14	24	0	+24	open	—	05-23 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-23 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$10	98	0	+98	open	—	05-23 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-23 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-23 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-23 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-23 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-23 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-23 01:39
xrp updown 5m 1775455500	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 06:08
xrp updown 5m 1775456400	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 06:24
btc updown 5m 1775455200	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 06:04
btc updown 5m 1775455800	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 06:13
btc updown 15m 1775463300	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 08:27
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-05 15:07
btc updown 5m 1775457600	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 06:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	05-05 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$9	11	0	+11	Up	+$2	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	05-25 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:43:44	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 347	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x65b2ad…
06-27 01:22:14	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x85bd85…
06-23 12:42:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc3a3a6…
06-23 07:20:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7b2038…
06-20 02:26:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa63d00…
06-16 06:46:22	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb747ca…
06-16 06:45:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xf8af74…
06-04 01:37:34	sol updown 5m 1780536900	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe55381…
06-04 00:52:45	sol updown 5m 1780534200	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x33c5a7…
06-03 14:02:42	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf7804a…
06-03 09:03:39	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x207ed4…
06-03 05:17:38	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x28b670…
06-03 04:17:44	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xeefca0…
06-03 03:42:18	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x27debe…
06-02 10:42:53	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xb86767…
06-02 09:58:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xdf0244…
06-02 09:43:30	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x41a99d…
06-02 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xe29934…
06-02 09:07:06	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbaf62f…
06-02 03:32:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xc16ccb…
06-02 03:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xfa776e…
06-02 03:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4669bf…
06-02 03:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x807be7…
06-02 03:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xcc21bb…
06-02 02:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x047561…
06-02 02:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x388558…
06-02 02:37:23	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x92ba3f…
06-02 02:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0a0282…
06-02 02:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x1628e3…
06-02 02:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xedd2f0…
06-02 01:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x1d1d27…
06-02 01:57:27	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x3e746a…
06-02 01:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x7c4ac3…
06-02 01:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x33fa2c…
06-02 01:32:34	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x722a60…
06-02 01:32:34	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x44ec93…
06-02 01:32:33	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbe1a98…
06-02 01:17:23	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xdc2b02…
06-02 01:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xfbb8ed…
06-02 00:57:29	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x4a5a42…
06-02 00:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2245bb…
06-02 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xa23a95…
06-02 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x4ae2b4…
06-02 00:32:38	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x79ff1b…
06-02 00:22:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x414cb3…
06-02 00:12:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0d4e5a…
06-02 00:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x9117ad…
06-02 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x93c4d7…
06-01 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xfff244…
06-01 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xa96d53…
06-01 15:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x4c3fd7…
06-01 14:52:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xd093ef…
06-01 14:33:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xcd890c…
06-01 14:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x34649f…
06-01 14:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x88abb4…
06-01 14:13:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xf96906…
06-01 14:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc6e828…
06-01 14:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xf3c14f…
06-01 13:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xd4d1e7…
06-01 13:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3b88a0…
06-01 13:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa02aec…
06-01 13:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc8e468…
06-01 13:22:09	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x212628…
06-01 12:57:16	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x96359a…
06-01 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfe2b1d…
06-01 12:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xaeded5…
06-01 12:32:22	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc64a92…
06-01 12:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x881a37…
06-01 12:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x54681e…
06-01 12:12:41	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xc16992…
06-01 12:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xbcc893…
06-01 11:53:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xa3fcf7…
06-01 11:53:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa1f331…
06-01 11:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x1d0b27…
06-01 11:23:11	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x74968e…
06-01 11:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x2777fa…
06-01 11:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6d2cca…
06-01 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc89fad…
06-01 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x1fa587…
06-01 10:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xb3be31…
06-01 10:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xc7422d…
06-01 10:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x626e82…
06-01 10:32:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xcb9c95…
06-01 10:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xdf0be0…
06-01 10:13:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd2e8eb…
06-01 10:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3393d0…
06-01 09:53:02	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x02fae6…
06-01 09:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x811bbe…
06-01 09:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x4d241e…
06-01 09:23:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe02503…
06-01 09:23:03	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd286b0…
06-01 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xfd683d…
06-01 09:07:28	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x33ba73…
06-01 09:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xbc9391…
06-01 08:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x334db0…
06-01 05:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xc9c45d…
06-01 05:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfe75c6…
06-01 05:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xad37ae…
06-01 05:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x119fce…
06-01 05:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x05094b…