Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$781

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

1,833

Trades

3,399

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-06-20

last 10-07 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 75% -$243

Other

33% 53% -$538

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 535 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+190	$118	54¢	$102	-$16	10-07 19:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol we al 2026 08 06 game2	2	$198	400	0	+400	Team WE	+$2	08-06 14:29
lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06	3	$193	200	100	+100	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$7	08-06 15:15
lol we al 2026 08 06	1	$136	200	0	+200	Team WE	-$136	08-06 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?	2	$131	94	94	+0	No	-$1	07-16 11:55
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$118	190	0	+190	open	—	10-07 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?	5	$115	83	83	+0	No	+$2	07-16 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 17?	2	$110	75	75	+0	No	-$1	07-16 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	6	$106	76	69	+8	No	+$2	07-16 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 17?	2	$102	84	84	+0	No	-$3	07-16 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?	2	$101	93	93	+0	No	-$1	07-16 11:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 18?	2	$98	61	61	+0	No	-$2	07-16 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:20 UTC	15	$97	185	0	+185	Up	-$6	08-07 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:35 UTC	13	$96	150	0	+150	Down	-$33	08-07 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:50 UTC	17	$96	206	0	+206	Down	+$13	08-07 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:40 UTC	14	$95	178	0	+178	Down	+$2	08-07 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:00 UTC	13	$94	164	0	+164	Down	-$6	08-07 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 17?	2	$94	71	71	+0	No	-$2	07-16 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:30 UTC	16	$91	195	0	+195	Up	+$19	08-07 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:05 UTC	15	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	08-07 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:10 UTC	12	$62	181	0	+181	Up	$0	08-07 12:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	1	$56	60	0	+60	Yes	+$4	09-15 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:45 UTC	9	$55	113	0	+113	Down	+$9	08-07 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:45 UTC	8	$54	109	0	+109	Down	-$6	08-07 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:15 UTC	9	$53	133	0	+133	Up	-$3	08-07 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:30 UTC	8	$52	99	0	+99	Up	+$9	08-07 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:20 UTC	7	$50	85	0	+85	Up	-$2	08-07 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:10 UTC	7	$50	86	0	+86	Up	-$1	08-07 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:35 UTC	9	$47	116	0	+116	Down	+$3	08-07 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:30 UTC	5	$46	63	0	+63	Up	+$3	08-07 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 11:25 UTC	4	$43	48	0	+48	Down	+$5	08-07 11:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 19:07:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	190	62¢	$118	0x2037d5…
09-15 21:00:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x6213ab…
09-15 20:58:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x34c63e…
09-06 15:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfb25f6…
09-06 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x246891…
09-06 15:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc1e108…
09-06 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xeeaade…
09-06 14:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x06a6aa…
09-06 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe2f77d…
09-06 14:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd2aa9a…
09-06 14:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x063d50…
09-06 14:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x831520…
09-06 13:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc2d21e…
09-06 13:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3aca44…
09-06 13:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x76914e…
09-06 13:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbecb89…
09-06 12:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xee2b9c…
09-06 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaefae6…
09-06 12:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x99908e…
09-06 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc55b47…
09-06 11:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x471820…
09-06 11:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xac637a…
09-06 11:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x17e8bc…
09-06 11:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb2adec…
09-06 10:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xeac62a…
09-06 10:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2ea2b1…
09-06 09:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7ce916…
09-06 09:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xacc858…
09-06 07:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1bf582…
09-06 07:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd6e8b9…
09-06 07:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5d0e72…
09-06 06:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9eb3e2…
09-06 05:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5474e1…
09-06 05:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x368c20…
09-06 05:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x35f535…
09-06 05:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x10a942…
09-06 04:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x74950f…
09-06 04:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9d01ff…
09-06 04:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa29063…
09-06 04:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x564f17…
09-06 04:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x37bfd4…
09-06 03:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7f4f33…
09-06 03:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3c8772…
09-06 03:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xeebc51…
09-06 03:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3cb262…
09-06 02:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x72cba7…
09-06 02:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb105a7…
09-06 01:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb4fde6…
09-06 01:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2659c1…
09-06 01:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8754b7…
09-06 01:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfcb759…
09-06 01:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xff90e0…
09-06 01:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9f9780…
09-06 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x232fd3…
09-05 23:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x391f92…
09-05 23:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x43340c…
09-05 23:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x448209…
09-05 23:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6ea47d…
09-05 23:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x82b4ee…
09-05 22:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x620557…
09-05 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc28900…
09-05 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd658d0…
09-05 22:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0d17a4…
09-05 21:48:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xd3db22…
09-05 21:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x18321a…
09-05 21:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1aaf66…
09-05 20:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb1a8b7…
09-05 20:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8b3700…
09-05 20:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb28527…
09-05 19:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x94f5e4…
09-05 19:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe1319a…
09-05 19:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4e3780…
09-05 19:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf95f6d…
09-05 17:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xff3a87…
09-05 17:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb091c0…
09-05 17:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x19b92e…
09-05 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe49337…
09-05 16:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd7885f…
09-05 16:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe68098…
09-05 16:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x189587…
09-05 16:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe5c05b…
09-05 15:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x49dda0…
09-05 15:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1d635b…
09-05 13:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe91b69…
09-05 08:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x861882…
09-05 08:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x05e4b1…
09-05 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd87c2d…
09-05 08:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdac4de…
09-05 08:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4dc960…
09-05 08:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x53e0df…
09-05 07:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf1acf3…
09-05 07:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x696307…
09-05 07:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8465aa…
09-05 07:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5d751b…
09-05 07:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x58f5ec…
09-05 07:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4b8314…
09-05 06:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd53a58…
09-05 03:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xacbee0…
09-05 03:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5135b4…
09-05 01:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd8cb59…