Arctic-Smell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

167

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-14 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

89% 78% -$25

Sports

11% 60% +$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi cha 2026 01 26	2	$29	52	+52	Hornets	+$23	01-26 20:03
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$19	475	+475	No	-$19	06-10 07:30
bra cor sao 2026 02 26 total 2pt5	2	$19	43	+43	Under	-$19	02-25 09:50
uel lyo1 pao1 2026 01 29 lyo1	1	$18	46	+46	Yes	+$28	01-29 19:56
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?	3	$17	18	+18	No	+$1	05-02 16:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 3?	3	$17	18	+18	No	+$1	05-03 12:35
nba phi cha 2026 01 26 spread home 2pt5	1	$16	32	+32	Hornets	+$16	01-26 20:03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 6?	3	$15	19	+19	No	+$3	05-05 16:34
ucl psg1 new1 2026 01 28 psg1	1	$14	21	+21	No	-$14	01-28 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	2	$11	12	+12	No	+$1	04-28 02:31
arg new est 2026 02 25 est	1	$10	25	+25	Yes	+$15	02-25 16:03
nba nyk phi 2026 02 11 points kelly oubre jr 14pt5	1	$10	19	+19	No	-$10	02-11 11:47
nba okc den 2026 02 01 spread away 7pt5	1	$10	20	+20	Thunder	+$10	02-02 02:23
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	2	$10	13	+13	Magic	-$10	02-25 04:50
nba ind bkn 2026 02 11 points jay huff 11pt5	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	02-11 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?	1	$10	17	+17	Yes	-$10	04-29 05:35
cbb tulsa charlt 2026 01 14 total 149pt5	1	$9	20	+20	Over	+$11	01-14 22:39
cbb gb clvst 2026 01 15 spread away 3pt5	1	$8	16	+16	Green Bay Phoenix	-$8	01-15 23:33
nhl fla buf 2026 01 12	1	$7	20	+20	Panthers	-$7	01-13 00:49
highest temperature in seattle on march 6 2026 50 51f	1	$7	12	+12	Yes	-$7	03-06 12:03
highest temperature in miami on march 7 2026 84 85f	1	$6	9	+9	No	+$3	03-07 09:05
highest temperature in miami on march 7 2026 82 83f	1	$6	11	+11	Yes	-$6	03-07 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?	1	$6	8	+8	No	-$6	06-01 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 2?	1	$6	8	+8	Yes	+$2	06-02 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	06-01 14:25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 2?	1	$6	8	+8	Yes	+$2	06-02 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	1	$6	6	+6	No	-$6	06-04 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 7?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	06-07 13:57
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 1?	1	$6	8	+8	Yes	+$2	06-02 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x996007…
06-14 14:55:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x501b45…
06-14 10:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 14?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8ca8c2…
06-13 05:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa46046…
06-12 13:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x66cbf7…
06-12 05:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x85dcd7…
06-12 03:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf67a1f…
06-11 16:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9735dd…
06-11 08:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd5a904…
06-10 07:30:37	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	475	4¢	$19	0xea8485…
06-09 10:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x4e3775…
06-09 09:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf70933…
06-09 06:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc2079f…
06-08 18:34:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 8?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xcbacd3…
06-08 17:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3c260f…
06-08 05:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x985d1b…
06-08 03:54:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x986550…
06-08 02:54:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x034366…
06-07 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x60e2a0…
06-07 16:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xdcaae8…
06-07 15:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x50b07e…
06-07 15:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6a6ea9…
06-07 15:07:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x52395a…
06-07 14:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x855cfb…
06-07 13:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5b081e…
06-07 12:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x186431…
06-07 11:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xdf2cc3…
06-07 09:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd78679…
06-06 17:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd1828c…
06-06 08:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x2b0c0b…
06-06 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x37529b…
06-06 06:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc3cfd2…
06-06 06:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9c27fb…
06-06 06:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x899298…
06-05 19:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x6887f0…
06-05 19:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf7a734…
06-05 18:57:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x874dd2…
06-05 17:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xcb4df5…
06-05 16:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x12fe9e…
06-05 15:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xfe55db…
06-05 15:25:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe51ed7…
06-05 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x29e11a…
06-05 13:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9dca71…
06-05 09:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8e8789…
06-05 08:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x418ca9…
06-05 07:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5e5783…
06-05 06:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdd562c…
06-05 05:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4ca796…
06-04 23:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa25419…
06-04 21:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xcbbb6b…
06-04 21:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x86ec63…
06-04 20:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa1bfaa…
06-04 20:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0642f5…
06-04 20:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xd16fda…
06-04 18:58:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x25b103…
06-04 13:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x592227…
06-04 13:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfde8f8…
06-04 12:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x98c7da…
06-04 12:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfbb703…
06-04 10:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xeb2d29…
06-04 09:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2ac7ae…
06-04 08:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa302c5…
06-04 08:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x770a7e…
06-04 07:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x17cf05…
06-04 07:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8707e1…
06-04 06:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x8a7c64…
06-04 03:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2686dd…
06-03 21:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x833a34…
06-03 20:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x5ebd18…
06-03 20:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x102d64…
06-03 19:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x6ab74a…
06-03 18:57:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x021926…
06-03 17:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x8211cf…
06-03 14:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xfbbb5e…
06-03 14:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xa91bfc…
06-03 13:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x22e9e0…
06-03 13:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xfca443…
06-03 11:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x022bf3…
06-03 10:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xd56155…
06-03 10:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xbada9b…
06-03 08:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xaf817c…
06-03 04:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x034063…
06-03 04:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xc4feaa…
06-02 20:01:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x0a47dc…
06-02 19:56:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xbfc120…
06-02 17:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xb69eee…
06-02 17:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x0d5ee0…
06-02 17:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x6d398a…
06-02 16:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x138e1b…
06-02 13:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x965701…
06-02 12:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x88e492…
06-02 12:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x4316a9…
06-02 12:06:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4e570b…
06-02 12:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7e147b…
06-02 11:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x5bf4ef…
06-02 10:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2c8d17…
06-02 10:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb5a112…
06-02 09:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x140727…
06-02 09:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x793460…
06-02 08:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x22e929…