Triangular-Thermometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$162

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 09-11 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

86% 40% -$12

Politics

14% 100% +$175

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$438	2,167	2,167	+0	No	-$66	03-19 20:37
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	2	$230	132	132	+0	Yes	+$30	04-12 20:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$220	120	120	+0	Yes	+$20	04-08 21:18
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$212	147	147	+0	Yes	+$12	05-04 17:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$163	0	1,019	-1,019	No	+$163	05-27 22:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	29	$150	289	0	+289	No	+$139	06-29 19:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$121	2,424	2,424	+0	No	-$39	03-19 20:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$100	189	0	+189	Yes	+$89	09-11 11:23
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$100	270	0	+270	No	-$100	05-18 19:34
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 12?	3	$74	109	0	+109	No	+$35	07-13 01:58
Games Total: O/U 6.5	1	$65	70	0	+70	Under	-$65	05-26 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?	1	$53	98	0	+98	No	-$53	05-26 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?	6	$51	55	0	+55	No	+$4	05-12 21:49
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$51	0	388	-388	Yes	+$51	05-04 17:14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$50	217	0	+217	No	-$50	07-10 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?	8	$36	138	0	+138	No	-$36	05-26 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12?	8	$36	40	0	+40	Yes	+$4	05-12 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	6	$35	231	0	+231	No	-$35	06-26 19:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	3	$34	61	0	+61	No	-$2	06-01 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	3	$30	228	62	+166	No	-$16	06-03 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	1	$25	42	0	+42	Yes	+$17	06-04 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	3	$22	111	0	+111	No	-$22	06-04 03:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 7?	3	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	05-07 17:55
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	1	$20	76	0	+76	Yes	+$56	07-10 14:13
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	1	$20	118	0	+118	No	-$20	06-26 16:32
will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	1	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	+$10	07-30 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?	7	$20	79	0	+79	No	-$7	05-28 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?	1	$20	22	0	+22	Yes	+$2	05-28 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?	5	$20	47	0	+47	No	-$20	06-01 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	6	$20	29	25	+4	No	-$1	06-03 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 11:23:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xe69fdc…
07-30 11:38:18	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x984454…
07-30 11:35:47	will donald tusk visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126049	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7b0944…
07-13 01:58:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 12?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xada859…
07-13 01:58:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 12?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x203f19…
07-13 01:58:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 12?	No	BUY	98	68¢	$66	0xb58a18…
07-10 14:13:35	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x4bbbeb…
07-10 14:13:23	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x2b5217…
06-29 20:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xb78c3d…
06-29 20:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xc5cca3…
06-29 20:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0b2a62…
06-29 20:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x96c6bb…
06-29 19:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xee4c0b…
06-29 19:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x92f862…
06-29 19:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe6ca68…
06-29 19:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x44e5ca…
06-29 19:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6bdc42…
06-29 19:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf685fb…
06-29 19:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4feef5…
06-29 19:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9b6a91…
06-29 19:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x08cee9…
06-29 19:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0b945…
06-29 19:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe6b37d…
06-29 19:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xffb57c…
06-29 19:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdda46d…
06-29 19:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x75d404…
06-29 19:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x41968a…
06-29 19:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x22a2bd…
06-29 19:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3a58b4…
06-29 19:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf5d9f2…
06-29 19:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x730318…
06-29 19:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x46c2b9…
06-29 19:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1ab324…
06-29 19:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0e1f24…
06-29 19:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x511d06…
06-29 19:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb3edda…
06-29 19:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9330a8…
06-29 19:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x38985c…
06-29 19:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c3941…
06-29 19:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x465ebc…
06-29 19:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x95b208…
06-26 19:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x039651…
06-26 19:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x874a7d…
06-26 19:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xebe074…
06-26 19:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x59f421…
06-26 19:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x093f7d…
06-26 19:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	121	15¢	$18	0x2982c8…
06-26 16:32:46	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xdcd3e4…
06-26 16:32:41	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x4e5d3b…
06-04 04:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x23e81e…
06-04 03:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	89	20¢	$18	0x2136e9…
06-04 03:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x26020e…
06-04 03:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x7cdf1f…
06-03 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x0cedf6…
06-03 08:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x51b5f9…
06-03 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x203f09…
06-03 08:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x541480…
06-03 07:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe8f0d2…
06-03 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0x98e59f…
06-03 06:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8b2c98…
06-03 06:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x75162d…
06-03 06:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x679e49…
06-03 06:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xfd5984…
06-03 06:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x653d80…
06-03 02:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0x903df1…
06-03 01:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x23df45…
06-03 01:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	228	10¢	$23	0x4844d5…
06-02 08:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x1de53c…
06-02 05:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x306be3…
06-02 02:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	139	6¢	$9	0xbc839d…
06-02 02:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x9ba142…
06-02 02:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	90	14¢	$13	0xbad2ea…
06-02 02:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x286c85…
06-02 01:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0x38b0d9…
06-01 16:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xe29fa8…
06-01 16:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb09590…
06-01 16:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x72695a…
06-01 16:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x8af30d…
06-01 16:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2a44af…
06-01 16:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcded8f…
06-01 16:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0f97c8…
06-01 16:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe26017…
06-01 16:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2b6642…
06-01 16:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbd2d4a…
06-01 16:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xaa4338…
06-01 16:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7b2e61…
06-01 16:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xff56d9…
06-01 16:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x219054…
06-01 16:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfbdf46…
06-01 16:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa4e6a7…
06-01 16:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5eacad…
06-01 16:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x52fea1…
06-01 16:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x9bd2d7…
06-01 16:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x549a0f…
06-01 16:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xbce368…
06-01 15:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xd4f00d…
06-01 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x5a9fcb…
06-01 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x7530fa…
06-01 07:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9a3e67…
06-01 07:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x771aad…