Devoted-Effort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

232

Trades

1,524

lifetime

Volume

$53.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-23 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

94% 36% -$946

Crypto

5% 47% -$309

Politics

1% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint zaf3 ind3 2026 06 21	8	$4.7K	5,695	2,859	+2,837	South Africa	-$1,763	06-21 15:12
crint wst4 lka3 2026 06 21	3	$3.5K	1,827	1,827	+0	West Indies	+$126	06-21 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	17	$3.5K	3,386	3,386	+0	Yes	+$2,201	05-22 15:56
crint pak3 bgd3 2026 06 20	3	$3.1K	1,769	1,769	+0	Bangladesh	+$449	06-20 16:47
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 20	5	$2.7K	1,438	1,438	+0	India	+$110	06-20 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$160	06-21 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	28	$1.4K	1,577	1,577	+0	Yes	+$135	08-31 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	27	$1.2K	1,871	1,871	+0	No	+$124	05-21 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	33	$1.2K	4,009	4,009	+0	No	-$129	05-13 15:08
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	6	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$12	05-20 18:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	7	$1.1K	737	737	+0	Yes	+$198	08-28 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	13	$1.0K	578	578	+0	Yes	+$58	09-19 11:18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	40	$986	4,465	4,465	+0	No	-$927	05-25 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	19	$936	2,299	2,299	+0	No	-$263	09-24 20:02
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	20	$837	2,268	2,268	+0	No	-$257	09-25 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$832	1,254	1,254	+0	No	+$76	05-13 15:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	3	$818	746	100	+646	No	+$20	08-30 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	33	$815	979	979	+0	Yes	+$74	09-22 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	14	$807	769	769	+0	Yes	+$85	06-12 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	5	$758	402	402	+0	No	+$46	09-05 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	7	$752	499	499	+0	Yes	+$203	08-29 07:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	22	$736	1,185	1,185	+0	No	+$72	05-21 00:44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$638	354	354	+0	Yes	+$62	05-26 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	12	$598	431	431	+0	Yes	+$151	09-05 04:25
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	36	$595	2,330	2,330	+0	No	+$2	10-09 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	9	$588	442	442	+0	Yes	+$25	09-01 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	13	$560	600	600	+0	Yes	+$137	05-29 18:25
bitcoin above 64k on june 21 2026	3	$508	733	733	+0	Yes	+$4	06-21 09:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	17	$504	640	640	+0	Yes	+$129	09-18 14:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	7	$484	459	459	+0	No	+$57	09-22 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x29cbfd…
10-12 14:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	340	1¢	$5	0x2b2832…
10-12 14:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,032	3¢	$29	0xab9f06…
10-12 12:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x97d0ca…
10-12 12:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xaeb536…
10-12 12:47:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x9261e7…
10-12 12:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	8¢	$12	0x9100e2…
10-12 12:40:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	8¢	$17	0x8b5641…
10-12 12:13:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xfb62f0…
10-12 12:10:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf40dd9…
10-12 12:07:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x44ee3a…
10-12 12:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xaa65cb…
10-12 12:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa59d69…
10-12 12:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb4ca5a…
10-12 12:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9d5b1a…
10-12 11:59:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb5ebab…
10-12 11:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfe50f7…
10-12 11:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1bd9da…
10-12 11:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa79f2d…
10-12 11:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3a697e…
10-12 11:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2116da…
10-12 11:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0xe61fa5…
10-12 11:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	7¢	$18	0x27bad1…
10-10 06:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xc8d531…
10-10 06:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xcaf560…
10-10 06:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	722	4¢	$26	0xde01d2…
10-10 04:42:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xadbd40…
10-10 02:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x5348b9…
10-10 02:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xaf8ff1…
10-10 02:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x8d7963…
10-10 02:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x697343…
10-10 02:39:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb81483…
10-10 02:39:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x833037…
10-10 02:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x922b07…
10-10 02:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x77e8f0…
10-10 02:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f7830…
10-10 02:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xf209d5…
10-10 02:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x51dc52…
10-10 02:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x1f6ba5…
10-10 02:28:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x318217…
10-10 02:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa77c1b…
10-10 02:24:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9bc43e…
10-10 02:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x64b0af…
10-10 02:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf8539a…
10-10 02:21:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0xdc99fe…
10-10 02:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x28b2a2…
10-10 02:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x04579b…
10-10 02:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa2d80a…
10-10 02:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9165e2…
10-10 02:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe7bd04…
10-10 02:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x6f1285…
10-10 02:11:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3d7e47…
10-10 02:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb4be36…
10-10 02:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2b7860…
10-10 02:04:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xccad79…
10-10 02:02:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe3ad71…
10-10 02:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f699f…
10-10 01:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x23d24f…
10-10 01:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc735a6…
10-10 01:54:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc98490…
10-10 01:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf07268…
10-09 23:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	5¢	$30	0xb9737a…
10-09 23:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	6¢	$5	0xd0b75e…
10-09 19:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$16	0xca89d2…
10-09 19:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd74785…
10-09 19:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfac91a…
10-09 19:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x34295d…
10-09 19:04:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x53424a…
10-09 18:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf967db…
10-09 18:38:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0x2b92da…
10-09 18:35:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$6	0xc8704e…
10-09 17:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	21¢	$76	0xb964d3…
10-09 17:38:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0x89d18a…
10-09 17:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0x5cdd85…
10-09 17:30:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	25¢	$93	0x6f77e1…
10-09 17:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xd6205f…
10-09 17:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xe04cbb…
10-09 17:09:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0x0eb8f4…
10-09 17:07:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	19¢	$85	0x7ff0d3…
10-09 17:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	30¢	$51	0x18f657…
10-09 16:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	20¢	$13	0x5da488…
10-09 16:38:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x7097e4…
10-09 14:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,472	9¢	$138	0x3974db…
10-09 12:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x6f91f7…
10-09 12:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5b1772…
10-09 12:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf22cee…
10-09 12:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x80f618…
10-09 12:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0a8a58…
10-09 12:52:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xae4e3e…
10-09 12:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe3a31b…
10-09 12:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x588f8f…
10-09 12:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa19398…
10-09 12:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	14¢	$12	0xe37d96…
10-09 12:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x58925f…
10-09 12:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x11abc4…
10-09 12:49:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xf38c64…
10-09 12:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xcfab37…
10-09 12:47:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x2e66ed…
10-09 12:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xcc50d2…
10-09 12:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x362fcc…