Devoted-Effort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$3.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-03 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Other

42% 0% $-35

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	4	$861	623	331	+292	open	—	05-20 18:30
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings	6	$260	497	497	-0	open	—	04-23 17:18
bitcoin above 70k on february 16	11	$230	1,859	514	+1,345	open	—	02-16 15:08
btc updown 5m 1771087800	2	$180	94	94	+0	open	—	02-14 16:54
btc updown 5m 1771089000	2	$172	102	101	+1	open	—	02-14 17:15
btc updown 5m 1771088700	2	$155	125	124	+2	open	—	02-14 17:10
btc updown 5m 1771088400	2	$150	84	83	+0	open	—	02-14 17:05
bitcoin above 68k on february 16	4	$141	336	336	+0	open	—	02-16 11:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$117	23,523	23,523	+0	open	—	05-16 11:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 18:55
btc updown 5m 1771087500	2	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	02-14 16:50
btc updown 5m 1771316400	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-17 08:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	14	$60	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	05-30 04:02
btc updown 5m 1771087200	3	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	02-14 16:46
btc updown 5m 1772317800	5	$51	38	28	+10	open	—	02-28 22:34
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	4	$38	80	79	+1	open	—	04-25 14:09
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 13?	2	$38	139	139	+0	Yes	$-32	05-13 15:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$36	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-18 18:53
btc updown 5m 1771907100	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	02-24 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$35	78	0	+78	open	—	05-30 16:59
btc updown 5m 1771089600	2	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	02-14 17:25
btc updown 5m 1772318100	4	$33	28	28	+0	open	—	02-28 22:39
another us government shutdown by february 14	8	$33	875	875	+0	open	—	02-14 11:54
btc updown 5m 1771089300	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	02-14 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$30	48	0	+48	open	—	05-30 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	05-30 17:39
btc updown 5m 1771318200	2	$28	19	18	+0	open	—	02-17 08:54
btc updown 5m 1771317900	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	02-17 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$25	833	0	+833	open	—	05-30 17:08
btc updown 5m 1771088100	1	$25	86	0	+86	open	—	02-14 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 14:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xeb3995…
06-02 06:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc865de…
06-02 05:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9281f5…
06-02 05:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x80f0e1…
06-02 05:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4e762…
06-02 05:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7000d9…
05-31 13:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4b5db7…
05-31 13:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe53e6a…
05-31 13:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1dfa99…
05-31 13:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2b6aab…
05-31 13:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x96fd9e…
05-31 13:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xcaa464…
05-31 13:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5cbc33…
05-30 18:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x1dd060…
05-30 18:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3ee66a…
05-30 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdd038e…
05-30 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0c38f7…
05-30 17:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xc3134a…
05-30 17:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x730b75…
05-30 17:42:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x614f48…
05-30 17:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x431400…
05-30 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc2336e…
05-30 17:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xb85b8e…
05-30 17:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd6f128…
05-30 17:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	63¢	$24	0x2a3920…
05-30 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0x85398f…
05-30 17:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xdaf8d4…
05-30 17:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x3f94fc…
05-30 16:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x93c580…
05-30 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xd84a25…
05-30 16:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa0304c…
05-30 16:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xc4bfb0…
05-30 04:02:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe04f28…
05-30 04:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2d4b6a…
05-30 04:01:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9bc4fa…
05-29 20:03:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x7105ca…
05-29 20:03:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	90	4¢	$3	0x79655b…
05-29 19:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x748d50…
05-29 19:40:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x2dd61f…
05-29 19:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x1c4655…
05-29 19:17:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x87c148…
05-29 19:16:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2f1ec1…
05-29 19:16:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0xffb087…
05-29 19:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x866774…
05-29 19:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	220	7¢	$16	0x15c4cf…
05-29 18:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x094660…
05-20 18:30:23	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x8b0479…
05-20 17:49:08	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	331	88¢	$291	0x263567…
05-20 17:35:24	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0xe071b7…
05-20 17:16:37	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x24998c…
05-19 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5f3566…
05-19 13:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x2d58c4…
05-19 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xcb1dc2…
05-19 13:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x14ae87…
05-19 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x964007…
05-19 13:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xacc91c…
05-18 21:52:56	Will Trump say "China" this week?	No	BUY	207	0¢	$0	0xd418a9…
05-18 21:45:30	Will Trump say "China" this week?	No	BUY	993	0¢	$2	0x26a906…
05-18 18:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x8eac3d…
05-18 18:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb646f7…
05-18 18:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x582383…
05-18 18:41:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x83ffcb…
05-18 18:37:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9ad0ee…
05-18 18:36:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2fb110…
05-18 08:30:41	Will Trump say "China" this week?	No	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xa42ec0…
05-16 13:16:36	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0xc85476…
05-16 11:36:07	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$1	0x75adea…
05-16 11:33:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$0	0xb13307…
05-16 11:31:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	408	0¢	$0	0xf87d97…
05-16 11:30:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x12ca5b…
05-16 11:28:35	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x7f9536…
05-16 11:28:09	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x42df67…
05-16 05:14:00	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0x739dab…
05-14 23:05:02	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5d802…
05-14 23:01:33	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	3,500	0¢	$4	0x0143f5…
05-14 18:44:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9,307	0¢	$19	0xa95bda…
05-14 18:44:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9,307	0¢	$28	0xc1ecf8…
05-14 18:38:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	13,667	0¢	$27	0xc63c85…
05-14 18:32:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13,667	0¢	$41	0xfc8718…
05-14 17:01:47	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x4903e8…
05-14 11:25:30	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	2,210	0¢	$2	0xaaadc2…
05-13 15:36:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	2,490	0¢	$2	0x5138a5…
05-13 15:24:46	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 13?	No	SELL	139	2¢	$3	0x444848…
05-13 14:13:55	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 13?	No	BUY	139	25¢	$35	0x062ad5…
04-30 09:39:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x1de7ae…
04-29 19:57:50	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x210892…
04-29 17:21:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6488d5…
04-29 17:11:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x07f5c4…
04-29 16:55:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1bf214…
04-29 16:54:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe1ca40…
04-28 07:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xe39fd4…
04-28 07:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$4	0xa53f9e…
04-28 07:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd8163c…
04-28 07:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x65fb63…
04-28 07:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5eace…
04-28 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x196b24…
04-27 16:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xfaa753…
04-27 16:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcdc326…
04-25 14:09:54	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x39706a…
04-25 13:31:36	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x82d235…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	52	$7.87K	1,458	06-03 14:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	41	$38.6K	1,517	06-03 14:54
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	40	$8.52K	931	06-02 06:00
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	35	$9.52K	303	05-31 13:53
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	35	$3.12K	365	06-03 14:50
Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042	35	$1.90K	304	04-20 09:28
Motherly-Dart 0xdbb5…73d5	35	$527	164	05-31 13:32
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	34	$18.7K	1,139	06-02 06:01