Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$340

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved

1,442

Trades

8,230

lifetime

Volume

$7.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-05 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

99% 4% -$382

Politics

1% 29% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+48	$10	23¢	$11	+$1	11-05 09:41
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+36	$5	18¢	$7	+$2	11-05 09:42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	+25	$5	20¢	$5	$0	11-05 09:44
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+26	$5	16¢	$4	-$1	11-05 09:41
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	+26	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	10-02 07:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	11-05 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?	14	$194	198	198	+0	Yes	+$185	07-11 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 6?	10	$164	160	160	+0	Yes	+$155	07-06 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	8	$162	171	171	+0	Yes	+$154	07-11 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?	7	$155	162	162	+0	Yes	+$148	07-12 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	2	$119	115	115	+0	No	+$111	07-12 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	9	$110	113	113	+0	Yes	+$105	07-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	14	$110	116	116	+0	Yes	+$104	07-13 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	12	$98	104	103	+1	No	+$93	07-15 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 11?	4	$37	39	39	+0	Yes	+$35	07-11 22:07
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?	4	$36	36	36	+0	No	+$33	07-03 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?	2	$34	34	34	+0	Yes	+$32	07-11 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?	2	$33	34	34	+0	No	+$31	07-12 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	11	$25	199	100	+99	No	+$7	06-28 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	9	$23	494	0	+494	Yes	+$51	07-06 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?	13	$23	205	205	+0	No	+$9	06-13 11:11
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	5	$21	40	0	+40	No	-$1	09-24 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	15	$21	396	0	+396	No	+$325	06-30 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?	4	$20	420	0	+420	Yes	-$20	07-06 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?	23	$20	199	79	+120	Yes	+$121	06-28 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?	18	$20	425	0	+425	Yes	-$20	07-06 05:58
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 28?	14	$19	298	0	+298	No	-$19	06-27 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 6?	6	$19	368	0	+368	No	-$19	07-06 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 28?	7	$19	443	7	+436	No	-$17	06-28 10:06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?	9	$18	304	277	+27	Yes	-$6	07-01 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?	16	$18	368	0	+368	No	-$18	07-06 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	14	$18	373	373	+0	No	-$8	06-28 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?	7	$18	375	0	+375	Yes	-$18	07-03 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 6?	9	$18	368	0	+368	No	-$18	07-06 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?	6	$17	346	0	+346	Yes	-$17	07-02 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 09:44:31	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbb9757…
11-05 09:42:21	Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcc30e6…
11-05 09:41:13	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbac972…
11-05 09:41:01	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xeebdfc…
11-05 08:34:45	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xb2bbe8…
10-07 09:52:32	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xbc80a6…
10-07 09:51:56	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x716a8e…
10-07 09:50:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1e24f7…
10-02 08:19:23	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd8f835…
10-02 08:18:33	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf6e4df…
10-02 08:17:29	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x120230…
10-02 08:14:08	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x4ae045…
10-02 08:04:42	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0e85e6…
10-02 08:02:06	Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x426716…
10-02 07:59:54	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4503c7…
10-02 07:56:29	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa9d035…
09-30 19:26:54	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb4bf45…
09-24 19:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0ad888…
09-24 18:40:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf85127…
09-24 17:53:50	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa2228d…
09-24 17:53:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb32dad…
09-24 17:53:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x0652a8…
09-24 17:28:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf3ab32…
09-24 16:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x2b23de…
09-24 16:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 26?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfd4ca8…
09-24 14:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb0b541…
09-24 14:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x70cb40…
07-15 13:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1b44b8…
07-15 13:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xce9ac0…
07-15 13:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdf5095…
07-15 13:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xaf9765…
07-15 13:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x768ed0…
07-15 13:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb962ca…
07-15 04:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xaacb2c…
07-15 04:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8dd95b…
07-15 04:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x92caf2…
07-15 04:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7dbd35…
07-15 04:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfa89b3…
07-15 04:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x328ed0…
07-15 04:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x57db23…
07-15 01:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	103	93¢	$95	0xecff43…
07-15 00:23:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xb9b5cb…
07-14 23:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xb34e39…
07-14 21:58:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xef2654…
07-14 21:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa335b8…
07-14 21:25:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc341a3…
07-14 21:14:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf086ef…
07-14 21:14:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x72da37…
07-14 21:14:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x46d262…
07-14 20:17:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xff41c7…
07-14 18:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa1c336…
07-14 18:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xf578da…
07-14 18:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8db4fc…
07-14 18:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0xb12c56…
07-14 18:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x9bd85d…
07-14 17:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x6849d2…
07-14 16:43:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xea072c…
07-14 15:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x463392…
07-14 15:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf10bf0…
07-14 15:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x90178d…
07-14 15:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6b7f61…
07-14 15:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$0	0x14bd5c…
07-14 14:42:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa08559…
07-14 14:42:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x054692…
07-14 14:42:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe9249c…
07-14 14:26:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbb69f8…
07-14 14:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x7d1617…
07-14 13:39:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x18cb0c…
07-14 13:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xccdd95…
07-14 13:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa20d87…
07-14 13:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb9c9a7…
07-14 13:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xdc0d87…
07-14 13:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb2aaf7…
07-14 13:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x94a3cf…
07-14 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc0bead…
07-14 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x15e783…
07-14 13:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xe7dc72…
07-14 11:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2a7d97…
07-14 10:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xaf5450…
07-14 10:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x0d5d1d…
07-14 10:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x39a044…
07-14 10:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x52109d…
07-14 10:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x066ca3…
07-14 10:20:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x392804…
07-14 09:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x0f0558…
07-14 09:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5593a8…
07-14 08:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xfc0a27…
07-14 08:10:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x6d3419…
07-14 07:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc8ba29…
07-14 07:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0a06e8…
07-14 07:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0xf3693b…
07-14 07:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x112505…
07-14 07:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x45a873…
07-14 07:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1d906b…
07-14 07:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xe98334…
07-14 07:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x693372…
07-14 07:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xed32ad…
07-14 07:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xf349ce…
07-14 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x303fdd…
07-14 07:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$3	0xcc7b08…