Productive-Lay-Empire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

2,734

Trades

3,487

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 09-11 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 74% +$48

Other

23% 39% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	8	$120	80	80	+0	Yes	+$14	08-29 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	4	$42	85	25	+60	No	-$35	08-28 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 28?	3	$42	25	25	+0	Yes	+$8	08-28 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	4	$39	120	120	+0	Yes	+$37	08-30 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	4	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	09-02 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	4	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	09-09 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	3	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	08-31 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 19?	3	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	08-19 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	6	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	09-02 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 21?	2	$32	25	25	+0	Yes	+$18	08-21 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	2	$32	25	25	+0	Yes	+$18	09-07 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	2	$31	25	25	+0	Yes	+$19	09-06 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$29	30	0	+30	Up	$0	04-26 21:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 04:15 UTC	2	$29	30	0	+30	Down	-$1	04-10 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC	3	$28	59	0	+59	Up	+$18	04-14 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:00 UTC	2	$27	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	04-10 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	2	$27	29	0	+29	Up	-$24	04-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:00 UTC	3	$27	15	14	+1	Down	+$1	04-17 01:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 10:00 UTC	2	$26	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	04-10 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	2	$26	29	0	+29	Down	+$0	04-17 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	5	$25	25	25	-0	Yes	+$15	08-29 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 29?	2	$19	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	08-29 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	2	$18	25	0	+25	No	-$18	09-10 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	3	$17	25	25	+0	No	+$2	08-29 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:25 UTC	6	$16	11	9	+2	Down	+$2	07-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$16	16	0	+16	Up	-$1	04-25 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 30?	2	$15	40	40	+0	No	+$13	08-30 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 05:45 UTC	2	$15	16	0	+16	Down	-$1	04-17 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 07:45 UTC	2	$15	16	0	+16	Up	-$14	04-24 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$15	16	0	+16	Down	$0	04-26 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 06:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4bc972…
09-11 06:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xfc717c…
09-11 06:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe89221…
09-11 06:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf0f89e…
09-11 06:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x8762e4…
09-10 05:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd2ad30…
09-10 05:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x963416…
09-09 14:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf6ea40…
09-09 04:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xaed5b1…
09-09 04:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xf03193…
09-09 04:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa35ae9…
09-09 04:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xb1a079…
09-08 06:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x533e79…
09-07 13:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf6d808…
09-06 23:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xe825f2…
09-06 23:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xd9af8e…
09-06 23:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x0453d1…
09-06 22:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe3bc5d…
09-06 22:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xcb00af…
09-06 22:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xbe1d1a…
09-06 22:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x8b6fc5…
09-06 22:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x0aefe6…
09-06 18:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xf6655a…
09-06 09:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdaaa9a…
09-06 01:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0xd72045…
09-06 01:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x8a534e…
09-06 01:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x910288…
09-05 03:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5e96b5…
09-05 03:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x7d889a…
09-05 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x63c558…
09-05 02:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xad253d…
09-05 02:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xd125e4…
09-04 14:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x22c415…
09-04 14:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb38b27…
09-04 14:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x6cf05a…
09-04 14:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x4df10a…
09-04 14:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xa3acb2…
09-03 08:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x8db0f1…
09-03 08:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xeff6f2…
09-03 08:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb39cf0…
09-03 08:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x178716…
09-03 08:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfb37be…
09-03 06:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x61820f…
09-03 06:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xf56b4e…
09-03 04:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xc537d4…
09-02 14:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8c4011…
09-02 14:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x596605…
09-02 06:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9bd52b…
09-01 12:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbee828…
09-01 12:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0844d3…
09-01 12:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x733947…
09-01 11:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbe16ad…
09-01 11:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa85a84…
09-01 11:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x9459f3…
09-01 11:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x97b4f7…
09-01 11:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x8f42f6…
09-01 05:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xfb51fc…
09-01 05:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x117617…
09-01 05:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0c19e8…
09-01 05:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xed70a6…
09-01 05:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x73ff0e…
09-01 05:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x36fa74…
09-01 05:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5b25fd…
09-01 05:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x179103…
09-01 05:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x57eadd…
09-01 04:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe212ec…
09-01 03:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf3875e…
09-01 03:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcec464…
09-01 03:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x113722…
09-01 03:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x322e71…
09-01 03:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe7ee62…
09-01 03:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9c359f…
09-01 03:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd5b31f…
09-01 03:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xfdb95a…
09-01 03:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xba3de2…
09-01 03:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2cc721…
09-01 03:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8b7d55…
08-31 03:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc86ee9…
08-30 06:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x26bd98…
08-30 06:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xb42618…
08-30 06:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x1d2b17…
08-30 06:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$3	0x9a6ccc…
08-30 06:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	SELL	120	31¢	$38	0xafbc90…
08-30 06:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x6ef553…
08-30 01:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x0fb66a…
08-30 01:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x8c8f67…
08-29 23:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x041164…
08-29 23:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x6dc336…
08-29 23:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x2b343a…
08-29 23:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb3d32…
08-29 23:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb5012e…
08-29 22:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xa21712…
08-29 17:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb898b2…
08-29 16:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x138b12…
08-29 16:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x177924…
08-29 15:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xd56285…
08-29 15:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2fd51c…
08-29 14:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x15d98b…
08-29 14:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xad6e4c…
08-29 13:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x6962f9…