Silver-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

342

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$592.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.12K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 10-29 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

67% 81% +$21,103

Sports

31% 76% -$16,870

Politics

2% 86% +$604

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	11	$15.9K	24,444	0	+24,444	Thunder	+$8,561	05-20 21:28
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$14.0K	20,030	0	+20,030	Knicks	-$14,000	06-06 00:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	5	$10.5K	12,193	6,817	+5,376	Knicks	-$9,525	05-20 03:12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	1	$10.0K	10,256	0	+10,256	Yes	+$256	06-24 22:56
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	1	$10.0K	11,314	0	+11,314	No	+$1,358	06-24 18:45
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$9.4K	16,150	0	+16,150	Spurs	+$6,783	05-24 23:42
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions	4	$9.0K	10,375	0	+10,375	Shanghai Sharks	+$1,365	05-26 13:01
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$8.0K	9,091	0	+9,091	Yes	+$1,091	06-20 00:41
wnba sea por 2026 08 08	2	$7.6K	9,339	1,774	+7,565	PortlandFire	+$3,554	08-09 02:46
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$7.3K	4,307	4,307	+0	Pistons	+$1,303	05-06 02:03
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions	6	$7.1K	4,780	4,710	+69	Zhejiang Lions	-$518	05-23 18:10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$7.0K	4,035	4,035	+0	Yes	+$1,031	10-26 23:19
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	2	$7.0K	8,271	0	+8,271	No	+$1,271	06-19 19:19
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)	3	$6.0K	7,473	0	+7,473	Spurs	+$1,473	05-19 00:42
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks	13	$5.8K	3,855	3,855	+0	Shanghai Sharks	+$1,895	05-20 14:03
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	1	$5.7K	9,285	0	+9,285	Knicks	-$5,734	06-05 14:58
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	2	$5.3K	2,927	2,927	+0	No	+$553	06-20 19:11
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$5.0K	5,814	0	+5,814	Yes	+$814	07-06 01:41
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	4	$5.0K	6,809	0	+6,809	Knicks	-$5,000	06-04 02:12
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$5.0K	6,160	0	+6,160	Spurs	+$1,160	05-29 02:12
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	3	$4.8K	6,083	0	+6,083	Knicks	-$4,781	05-24 01:04
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$4.7K	7,492	0	+7,492	Thunder	+$2,772	05-23 01:58
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	2	$4.5K	4,949	0	+4,949	No	+$463	06-21 22:06
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	4	$4.5K	5,373	0	+5,373	Cavaliers	+$898	05-18 01:43
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	4	$4.4K	5,669	0	+5,669	Thunder	+$1,269	05-27 01:29
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?	4	$4.3K	2,314	2,314	+0	No	+$322	05-20 21:27
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	5	$4.3K	2,289	2,289	+0	Spurs	+$296	05-25 03:19
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	3	$4.1K	2,259	2,259	+0	open	—	08-18 09:09
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	2	$4.0K	4,832	0	+4,832	Knicks	+$832	05-26 00:56
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	2	$4.0K	4,315	0	+4,315	Atlanta Dream	+$315	10-29 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:14:53	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	3,191	94¢	$3,000	0x92cd90…
10-29 16:58:05	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x59d4bb…
10-29 12:58:32	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0xaa5b78…
10-29 12:58:08	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x123a9f…
10-29 01:28:47	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	834	60¢	$500	0x407b74…
10-29 01:08:59	Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x838161…
10-29 01:08:07	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xad2b3b…
10-29 01:07:46	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	496	90¢	$446	0xe0c0f9…
10-27 12:04:47	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	659	76¢	$500	0xd01079…
10-27 03:57:50	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	1,163	86¢	$1,000	0x916b9f…
10-26 23:19:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4,035	100¢	$4,031	0xe7ea46…
10-25 02:42:06	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0xc42430…
10-25 02:41:29	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	2,299	87¢	$2,000	0x2e9965…
10-24 23:41:36	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	143	84¢	$120	0x2e577e…
10-24 23:41:15	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	SELL	1,493	8¢	$119	0x466cb2…
10-24 23:16:15	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,989	85¢	$1,691	0xfe3af6…
10-24 22:19:02	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x55b9ba…
10-24 14:05:12	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x8e7243…
10-24 01:54:23	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,201	80¢	$961	0xd47653…
10-24 00:04:29	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x4e08cb…
10-23 23:59:17	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x36ce65…
10-23 11:46:33	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x2ee393…
10-21 22:49:53	Bulls vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	288	80¢	$230	0xff5ea1…
10-21 12:05:12	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,542	59¢	$1,500	0xff8749…
10-21 00:16:02	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,371	73¢	$1,000	0x9cac18…
10-20 11:24:51	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xf0521d…
10-20 11:24:11	Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Beijing Ducks	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0xda5cc4…
10-20 02:37:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,035	74¢	$3,000	0x18b003…
10-19 11:23:03	Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xec9c31…
10-19 09:46:29	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0xba0602…
10-18 12:50:27	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	708	83¢	$590	0xc23085…
10-18 12:50:14	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	180	85¢	$152	0x203158…
10-18 12:49:48	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	234	83¢	$194	0xe0eb8d…
10-18 04:23:42	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1,237	81¢	$1,000	0x3130aa…
10-17 14:21:50	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1,074	90¢	$967	0x22f0ad…
10-17 14:12:38	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,014	56¢	$572	0x8ae36c…
10-17 14:12:38	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	252	57¢	$144	0x823804…
10-17 14:12:38	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,045	57¢	$596	0x7ec37e…
10-17 14:02:45	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	SELL	1,644	2¢	$36	0xa661d4…
10-17 12:17:29	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	467	86¢	$400	0xc990b5…
10-17 11:44:54	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	1,177	85¢	$1,000	0x9d3d2e…
10-17 10:32:15	Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	1,181	85¢	$1,000	0x723a6e…
10-17 10:26:17	atp zverev fokina 2026 10 16	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xe0d787…
10-17 10:24:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,448	87¢	$3,000	0x0aad5b…
08-18 09:09:52	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	2,259	94¢	$2,134	0xb47eb3…
08-10 10:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	553	100¢	$552	0x2a493b…
08-10 08:40:15	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	558	90¢	$500	0x624be2…
08-10 08:39:51	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1,701	88¢	$1,500	0xf75cb6…
08-10 07:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	553	90¢	$500	0xe237ef…
08-10 05:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0xace9e6…
08-09 21:09:10	wnba dal min 2026 08 09	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	1,140	88¢	$1,000	0x5b0f27…
08-09 20:10:12	wnba phx wsh 2026 08 09 spread home 1pt5	Washington Mystics	BUY	2,108	95¢	$2,000	0xde8f9a…
08-09 16:54:54	wnba las nyl 2026 08 09	New York Liberty	BUY	1,613	93¢	$1,500	0x34c27c…
08-09 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x96565e…
08-09 07:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x41366d…
08-09 07:22:04	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	SELL	402	88¢	$354	0xd96b9e…
08-09 05:07:31	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	BUY	402	75¢	$300	0x4ec5fc…
08-09 04:10:34	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	Deportivo Toluca FC	BUY	1,499	88¢	$1,322	0xe82666…
08-09 02:46:57	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	1,958	91¢	$1,781	0xc204f7…
08-09 02:46:27	wnba sea por 2026 08 08	PortlandFire	SELL	1,774	100¢	$1,773	0xdc3e3f…
08-09 01:14:21	wnba sea por 2026 08 08	PortlandFire	BUY	9,339	62¢	$5,783	0x7888f9…
08-08 00:04:12	wnba atl wsh 2026 08 07 spread away 5pt5	Washington Mystics	BUY	265	76¢	$200	0x87479c…
08-08 00:02:33	wnba phx conn 2026 08 07	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	1,236	81¢	$1,000	0x6b3b6a…
08-07 02:01:36	wnba tor por 2026 08 06	PortlandFire	BUY	2,666	60¢	$1,590	0xe0fe1c…
08-07 01:39:31	wnba la min 2026 08 06 spread home 15pt5	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	1,379	73¢	$1,000	0x6fef1d…
08-07 01:39:09	wnba la min 2026 08 06 spread home 15pt5	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	1,388	72¢	$1,000	0x15771d…
08-07 01:38:36	wnba la min 2026 08 06 spread home 15pt5	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	1,417	71¢	$1,000	0xd0df20…
08-07 01:35:55	wnba las ind 2026 08 06 total 195pt5	Under	SELL	879	100¢	$878	0x3f9cc6…
08-07 01:35:48	wnba las ind 2026 08 06 total 193pt5	Under	SELL	1,122	100¢	$1,121	0x251856…
08-06 23:44:36	wnba las ind 2026 08 06 total 195pt5	Under	BUY	879	91¢	$800	0x342ee5…
08-06 23:43:24	wnba las ind 2026 08 06	Indiana Fever	BUY	2,299	87¢	$2,000	0xf1806e…
08-06 23:38:39	wnba las ind 2026 08 06	Indiana Fever	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x8994c4…
08-06 23:38:03	wnba las ind 2026 08 06 total 193pt5	Under	BUY	1,122	89¢	$1,000	0xa15cd9…
08-06 18:38:00	atp darderi shang 2026 08 06	Juncheng Shang	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0xa88cbf…
08-06 18:33:53	wta sabalen zhang 2026 08 06	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0xd1a94c…
08-06 03:57:05	lec laf gua 2026 08 05 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles FC	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x8fd7c2…
08-06 02:07:48	wnba la chi 2026 08 05	Chicago Sky	BUY	1,932	80¢	$1,545	0xfb6969…
08-06 00:28:20	wnba phx atl 2026 08 05	Atlanta Dream	BUY	464	98¢	$452	0xa62b3d…
08-06 00:27:42	wnba sea nyl 2026 08 05	New York Liberty	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xe07554…
08-06 00:27:06	wnba dal wsh 2026 08 05	Dallas Wings	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0x38bf93…
08-05 03:08:53	wnba tor gsv 2026 08 04	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,312	85¢	$1,114	0xb80db3…
08-05 03:08:18	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,099	99¢	$1,088	0x7600cc…
08-04 05:06:35	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x695816…
08-04 05:05:39	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xf38b55…
08-04 03:49:15	mlb sd ari 2026 08 03 spread away 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	530	94¢	$500	0x4c6320…
08-04 01:58:33	wnba phx chi 2026 08 03	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	1,899	79¢	$1,500	0xb553c5…
08-04 01:57:00	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Las Vegas Aces	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xb94509…
08-04 01:56:50	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Las Vegas Aces	SELL	575	100¢	$575	0x7e17b8…
08-04 01:56:35	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Las Vegas Aces	SELL	865	100¢	$864	0x1cceab…
08-04 00:16:54	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	1,632	88¢	$1,436	0xb5a0c9…
08-03 00:53:51	wnba tor gsv 2026 08 02	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1,445	89¢	$1,290	0x36fb10…
08-01 19:32:57	wnba nyl phx 2026 08 01	New York Liberty	BUY	1,294	80¢	$1,038	0x81848d…
08-01 15:22:56	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	800	62¢	$500	0xef286e…
08-01 03:01:50	wnba ind por 2026 07 31	Indiana Fever	BUY	1,658	87¢	$1,443	0x2abd4e…
07-31 02:24:05	wnba min tor 2026 07 30	Minnesota Lynx	SELL	1,454	100¢	$1,453	0x38c58d…
07-31 00:45:05	wnba min tor 2026 07 30	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	1,454	92¢	$1,338	0x84f36e…
07-30 02:34:41	wnba gsv phx 2026 07 29	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	2,370	55¢	$1,300	0x72e6ae…
07-30 01:34:24	wnba atl dal 2026 07 29	Dallas Wings	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x8ee8b0…
07-29 19:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0x62c041…
07-29 09:00:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8d22ce…