Clean-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

212

Trades

427

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 08-05 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

66% 28% -$791

Crypto

20% 56% -$210

Politics

11% 29% -$1,301

Sports

3% 50% +$129

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$1.2K	305,799	500	+305,299	Yes	-$1,194	04-08 10:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	3	$625	589	562	+26	Yes	+$525	04-03 06:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:25 UTC	3	$448	255	253	+2	Up	+$50	03-21 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC	3	$442	244	242	+1	Up	+$44	03-21 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC	3	$412	214	214	+0	Up	+$12	03-21 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 14:50 UTC	3	$402	202	202	+0	Down	+$2	03-21 14:55
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 4 2026 37corhigher	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$0	04-04 11:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 5 2026 17c	2	$391	429	415	+14	Yes	+$105	04-05 02:06
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	4	$360	470	470	+0	No	-$38	05-02 06:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	2	$341	197	195	+2	No	+$44	04-05 07:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$332	1,163	891	+271	No	+$132	07-19 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$273	139	139	+0	No	+$1	03-30 06:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 20c	2	$266	193	189	+5	Yes	+$71	04-08 02:00
highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 5c	2	$264	223	214	+9	Yes	+$172	04-07 00:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$254	33,796	5,263	+28,533	Yes	-$76	04-28 10:28
highest temperature in wellington on april 6 2026 23corhigher	2	$252	135	134	+1	No	+$11	04-06 03:41
highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 7c	2	$238	172	170	+2	No	-$20	04-06 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:50 UTC	2	$234	137	135	+1	Up	+$35	03-21 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:20 UTC	2	$230	132	131	+1	Up	+$31	03-21 15:25
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	2	$210	230	221	+9	Yes	+$119	04-07 15:31
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 9corhigher	2	$210	2,550	0	+2,550	Yes	-$10	04-03 07:36
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 16corhigher	7	$204	2,709	0	+2,709	No	-$204	04-05 05:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:35 UTC	2	$203	103	103	+0	Down	+$3	03-21 13:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	03-31 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:40 UTC	2	$200	206	0	+206	Down	-$200	03-21 15:43
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 7 2026 34c	2	$170	155	149	+6	No	+$100	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 78forhigher	6	$160	3,427	70	+3,356	No	-$20	04-03 08:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$152	42,615	0	+42,615	No	-$152	04-28 10:29
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 17corhigher	1	$150	862	0	+862	Yes	+$712	04-03 06:23
highest temperature in miami on april 1 2026 78 79f	2	$146	110	106	+4	Yes	+$70	04-02 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 02:47:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	732	4¢	$27	0x8409cd…
08-01 01:46:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,389	2¢	$25	0x0dec55…
08-01 01:46:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,396	2¢	$25	0xc236fb…
08-01 01:46:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,440	2¢	$25	0xe959f3…
07-28 01:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5066b0…
07-28 01:58:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	71¢	$70	0xdc6cb4…
07-28 01:58:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xd2b02b…
07-28 01:58:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xc77df5…
07-22 09:34:31	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	Yes	BUY	1,079	1¢	$12	0xae2a8d…
07-21 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	447	1¢	$6	0x3d6924…
07-19 14:35:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0x48f905…
07-19 14:34:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	173	41¢	$71	0x973e63…
07-17 03:10:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x94f051…
07-17 03:09:21	will trump say russia during speech to the nation 20260713200621434	No	BUY	3,409	0¢	$15	0xa26512…
07-17 03:01:48	will trump say biden 5 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621422	Yes	BUY	3,225	1¢	$30	0xd66d0c…
07-17 03:00:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	148	41¢	$61	0x3c6edd…
07-11 22:51:56	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0xfc7fff…
07-11 22:51:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	59	26¢	$15	0xa6dd0c…
07-11 16:27:16	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0xbe0b38…
07-11 16:26:19	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	153	25¢	$39	0x0e9155…
07-11 16:18:47	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	145	25¢	$37	0x7a5966…
07-11 16:17:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	570	18¢	$100	0xed2ef8…
06-12 13:14:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,180	0¢	$9	0x89f325…
06-12 13:14:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$7	0x658cdb…
06-10 02:05:43	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xd3c849…
06-10 01:57:12	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,167	1¢	$50	0x8a98dd…
06-10 01:53:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,163	9¢	$100	0xce91a6…
05-12 01:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0xf4f8fb…
05-12 01:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x9303b9…
05-12 01:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x800ad5…
05-11 16:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	No	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x3f8678…
05-11 16:08:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x846477…
05-11 15:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x677613…
05-11 15:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	216	4¢	$9	0x27add5…
05-11 13:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xda6307…
05-11 09:26:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xa25c34…
05-11 09:26:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe2b2d9…
05-11 03:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x9e9d1d…
05-10 06:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,970	0¢	$2	0x025d09…
05-10 06:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x04d5e3…
05-10 06:10:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,467	0¢	$10	0xd8f9b4…
05-10 05:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x962b5b…
05-10 05:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa0f026…
05-10 05:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0xfb61f1…
05-10 02:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x71e48c…
05-10 02:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xecc724…
05-10 00:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0xb68827…
05-10 00:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x140a27…
05-09 14:10:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x60d909…
05-09 14:10:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x13069e…
05-09 13:38:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$5	0xffce51…
05-09 13:21:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xfd1897…
05-09 13:21:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xca1cfd…
05-09 13:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0xedc815…
05-09 13:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x38fb74…
05-09 02:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xc5b702…
05-09 02:08:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,200	0¢	$10	0xf60cc2…
05-07 14:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x3e0423…
05-07 14:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xb3367b…
05-07 13:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe44d9a…
05-07 06:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x4640c0…
05-07 06:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7951a9…
05-06 03:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x2dbdf6…
05-06 03:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x1544a1…
05-06 03:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xa85fe3…
05-06 01:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfa935d…
05-05 09:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8bdcf6…
05-05 03:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x42efb3…
05-05 03:49:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,208	1¢	$12	0xe8815f…
05-04 05:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x45ce09…
05-04 05:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x234208…
05-04 05:20:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,839	1¢	$20	0x7f8743…
05-03 01:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xc3e9aa…
05-02 06:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 2?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0009f8…
05-02 06:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	829	1¢	$8	0xf19800…
05-02 06:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7,237	0¢	$7	0x00b51e…
05-02 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	3,161	0¢	$3	0xe83a3f…
05-02 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	590	0¢	$1	0x83aea6…
05-02 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7,890	0¢	$8	0x68c8b5…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	470	0¢	$0	0xfea58a…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	535	0¢	$1	0xf50a34…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	730	0¢	$1	0xb13f21…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0x95ba3f…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	710	0¢	$1	0x883516…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	370	0¢	$0	0x840efd…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0x734d5b…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$1	0x6ca7d8…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$0	0x594b3f…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	499	0¢	$0	0x50e98b…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	455	0¢	$0	0x4cde7e…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,025	0¢	$1	0x374d63…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	585	0¢	$1	0x335526…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	355	0¢	$0	0x0bf7a7…
05-02 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x08ce61…
05-02 06:22:04	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x09bd92…
04-28 10:29:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x9e437b…
04-28 10:28:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17,500	0¢	$35	0xbec204…
04-28 10:25:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35,000	0¢	$35	0x72fca9…
04-28 10:23:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xafdf32…
04-28 10:23:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xbad89f…